# Predict: Prediction Markets on BNB Chain Predict is a prediction market platform on BNB Chain. Learn how markets work, explore categories like politics, crypto and sports, and start making predictions. Welcome to BNB Chain's favorite prediction market. Predict is your one-stop shop for making predictions on future outcomes across a range of categories — including politics, crypto, sports and **many more**. Here, you'll learn more about how Predict works, from the concept of prediction markets to the rich functionality of the platform. ### Quick links
How Does Predict Work?The high-level overview.https://1627684912-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FuBy5cIxCH65sso6lWCM8%2Fuploads%2FZv3HDSohVcSK3SLKPQxW%2Fhdpw.png?alt=media&token=c7240f2c-e7df-44f4-bd84-c35b718921e2
How to Earn PointsPlace orders to get rewards!https://1627684912-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FuBy5cIxCH65sso6lWCM8%2Fuploads%2Fmo8a6ifVFMgBNNmelThv%2Fpp.jpg?alt=media&token=94f19729-dbd8-4368-9654-6b3f2f8e681b
Making Your First PurchaseBuy your first share.https://1627684912-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2FuBy5cIxCH65sso6lWCM8%2Fuploads%2F4JzmxHwDiMMDfK8vQBZ7%2Fmyfp.png?alt=media&token=f4700f76-15dd-4361-bb17-1734ed916051
# How Does Predict Work? Predict lets you buy and sell YES and NO shares priced on the probability of a future event. Learn how binary and multi-outcome markets work.
Predict is a **prediction market**: a platform where you can buy and sell shares whose value is **based on the outcome of a future event**. In many ways, it's similar to the classic trading venues you know. In others, not so much. Let's dive right in with an example of a market: #### **`Will Candidate McCandidateFace win the election on December 21, 2026?`** There are only two answers to the question above: **yes** and **no**. Fittingly, the market has two tradable assets (we call them *shares*): **YES** and **NO**. One other thing you need to know, each market is time-bound, meaning it has an **expiry date**. The above market expires on December 21, 2026, which is when we'll know for certain whether Mr. McCandidateFace has won the election. Once we reach this stage, the correct share can be redeemed for **$1** — while the other becomes valueless. Up until that point, though? These shares will trade freely, but the market will price them commensurate with their probability of occurring. For instance, if YES trades at **$0.95** while NO trades at **$0.05**, it would suggest a high likelihood (**95%**) that Candidate McCandidateFace will win, based on currently available information. Naturally, as more information becomes available, the market will trade to reflect an updated price. Assuming Mr. McCandidateFace wins and **YES** resolves to $1.00, anyone that purchased a share at $0.95 will make a $0.05 profit on it. However, should he drop out of the race or lose, **YES** resolves to $0.00 while **NO** resolves to $1.00 — meaning that anyone having purchased **NO** at $0.05 would have made a per-share profit of $0.95. {% hint style="info" %} **Why does price represent probability?** In short, because people like making money. With an incentive to be correct, rational participants will examine all available information before taking a position — bidding the price to the probability they assign to that event. In a case where the wider market believes probability to be higher than the share’s current trading price, it’ll bid it up until the share is no longer ‘undervalued.’ By aggregating these ‘educated guesses’ across hundreds, thousands, or millions of people, we arrive at an approximate probability of an event taking place. Note, however, the inherent limitations of these systems: participants have limited liquidity and may be risk-averse, meaning they won’t necessarily bet with full conviction on a single position. {% endhint %} ### Multi-outcome Markets Above, we demonstrated how an event with only two possible outcomes works. But Predict also supports *multi-outcome* markets, where you can place bets on more than two options. For instance: #### `Which candidate will win the 2026 December election?` * `Candidate McCandidateFace` * `Runner McRunnerFace` * `Politician McPoliticianFace` The same rules apply as in binary markets, but this YES/NO mechanism is used on a per-candidate basis (such that each 'answer' will resolve to either YES or NO). Again, only **one** of these outcomes is possible — so the winning candidate's YES share will resolve to $1 upon expiry, while the rest becomes valueless. ### How Are Answers Determined? At present, Predict's outcomes are proposed by AI workflows and reviewed by our in-house team (based on trusted sources such as reputable news sites or official data sources) upon market resolution. ### What are Bond Markets? Will Elon Musk twerk on the surface of Mars in 2026? Will DOGE flip BTC in market cap by the end of the month? Will the Cookie Monster be the first Sesame Street character to become US President? Ask 99% of people, and the answer to these questions will be a resounding *NO*. Many would even consider these events not happening to be a certainty, and, therefore, any **NO** share trading at less than $1 to be free money. As mentioned, the vast, vast majority of participants accept these events to be virtually impossible — but some outliers will buy very cheap **YES** shares in the same way they might purchase a lottery ticket. We call these markets *bond markets*, as they provide an opportunity for ‘rational’ actors to earn a slight return by parking their funds in them until market expiry. For example, buying **NO** shares at $0.98 in a bond market would result in a $0.02 profit (effectively, a 2% yield) upon market resolution. However, it’s worth noting that there’s **no such thing as a sure thing**. No matter how certain an outcome looks, there’s always a chance that it doesn’t pan out.
# Making Your First Purchase A step-by-step guide to creating a Predict account, depositing USDT or USDC, and making your first prediction on a market.
#### Prerequisites For the super-simple Predict experience, **you just need some crypto** (which you'll later deposit). With the Predict Smart Wallet, you'll enjoy **gas-free** and **zero-approval** **transactions**, and you can log in with your socials or email address. {% hint style="info" %} If you want to make things more difficult on yourself, we're not going to stop you. You can elect to use a traditional Web3 wallet, but each action will require multiple approvals (and you'll pay gas fees). {% endhint %} ### 1. Create your account To authenticate yourself (the easy way!) on Predict, you'll use a **Google**, **X** or **email account**. This will generate your smart contract wallet, which requires no management on your behalf. Click **Sign Up** on the top-right corner of the [homepage](https://predict.fun) to create your account. Click **Connect** on the top-right corner of any page to sign up. You'll be prompted to select your preferred login method. Be warned, however: if you lose access to this, **Predict cannot help you recover your account**. Ensure that you've taken the appropriate steps to backup your desired method. Confirm that you've understood this, and you'll be prompted to create a username (we'll suggest one for you if you've authenticated via X, but feel free to change it). ### 2. Deposit Funds Following the pop-up confirming your signup, you'll be prompted to deposit funds to your **deposit address**. Using the wallet of your choosing, copy and paste either of the two deposit addresses or scan the QR code: * The **Predict Smart Wallet** address is on BNB Chain, and **only supports USDT deposits**. * The **Global Deposit Address** supports USDC and USDT deposits from a number of chains, including Ethereum, Base and Arbitrum. {% hint style="warning" %} Do not deposit anything other than USDC or USDT, as you won't be able to recover other asset types! {% endhint %} It can take a few minutes for the funds to appear in your account. Can't see them? Check your transaction's status or deposit address on [BscScan](https://bscscan.com/). ### 3. Choose Your Market When your funds appear in your account, you're good to go. Head over to the [**Markets**](https://predict.fun/markets) page to discover trending markets across a range of categories (use the filters to refine your search further). Once you've found your desired market, you can either navigate to it for additional information (e.g. the orderbook and details about its resolution), or buy shares by clicking directly on **YES** or **NO** (for binary markets), or on your preferred option (for multi-outcome markets). At this stage, you'll need to specify the dollar value you wish to spend (with a minimum of $1), and whether your order is a **limit order** or a **market order**. If you want to purchase immediately at the current price, a market order is recommended. If you want to specify a price at which to buy, use a limit order instead. Additionally, if your limit orders are close to the market price, you'll earn points for providing liquidity. The **To Win** field will populate based on your selection, representing the approximate value of your shares should your bet be correct. If all looks good, hit the **Buy** button. You can then track your position via the [Portfolio](https://predict.fun/porfolio) page. {% hint style="info" %} For selling shares, the process is near-identical: just select **Sell** in the top-left corner of the flow. {% endhint %} # How to Earn Predict Points (PP) Learn how Predict Points (PP) are earned by providing liquidity on the order book, including reward tiers and the rules that keep rewards fair. ## How to Earn Predict Points (PP) Predict Points (PP) are how Predict rewards traders and liquidity providers who make its markets work. The more you contribute (and the more genuinely you do so), the more you earn. The majority of points are allocated to LPs on the platform. Users will also receive points for other factors each week like trading activity and holding positions. Below, we explore how the LP points system works and what it means for you. #### How Points Are Allocated for LPs Certain Predict markets are assigned **Predict Points per hour (PP/hr)**. This rate is visible directly on each market card and each market’s individual page, so you always know exactly what you're earning before you commit liquidity. Snapshots of all limit orders on all market order books are taken frequently in the background and used to calculate how much liquidity each user has contributed to each market. Note: Although the rate of PP points is set on a per hour basis, the amount of PP rewarded is calculated pro-rata for the final hour that a market is live. For example, if a market resolves 15 minutes into a certain hour, it will receive 25% of that hour’s PP rewards. #### How to Earn LP Points Earned by providing liquidity i.e. by placing limit orders on both sides of the order book, close to the market price. Users will also need to adhere to certain liquidity requirements to earn rewards in a market, namely: * Meet the **minimum order size** for that market * Keep the **bid-ask spread below the market's threshold** * Place orders on **both the bid and ask sides** for maximum reward * Place orders **closer to the market rate**. The tightest spreads earn the most Markets with active point rewards will display a **Points Active** badge in the order book. #### LP Reward Tiers Not all markets offer the same PP/hr rate. A five-tier system makes it easy to identify where liquidity is most needed and most rewarded, starting at one star (baseline rate) up to five stars (highest allocation). #### Fair Play Predict Points reward real liquidity, meaning orders that are live, executable, and available to be matched. The team actively monitors order liveness and cancellation patterns, and automatically invalidates orders based on certain criteria. Users who consistently place non-executable orders (including balance manipulation and cancellation abuse) will have their PP balance set to zero. This enforcement will be applied both proactively and reactively, using historical data and executed in periodic waves. We will continue to monitor activity and refine the system to ensure the best possible trading experience, while ensuring PP is allocated to users who have genuinely provided meaningful liquidity to the platform. #### Points Distribution PP is distributed weekly. Allow 5–6 days after each week closes for the calculation period before points appear in your account. The leaderboard updates on the same schedule. {% hint style="info" %} The rewards system will continue to evolve as Predict grows. Check back here for the latest. {% endhint %} # Predict Fees and Limits See Predict's trading fees and limits: makers pay no fee, takers pay a variable fee based on share price, and the minimum order size is 1 USDT.
### Fees Makers pay **no fee** on Predict. Takers pay anywhere from **0.018%** to **2%**, depending on share price and whether a **10%** **fee discount** is active. #### Taker fee schedule *The table below shows the price per share/contract.*
Share Price ($)Trade ValueFee (USDT)Discounted Fee (USDT)
0.0110.020.018
0.0550.100.09
0.1100.200.18
0.15150.300.27
0.2200.400.36
0.25250.500.45
0.3300.600.54
0.35350.700.63
0.4400.800.72
0.45450.900.81
0.5501.000.9
0.55550.900.81
0.6600.800.72
0.65650.700.63
0.7700.600.54
0.75750.500.45
0.8800.400.36
0.85850.300.27
0.9900.200.18
0.95950.100.09
0.99990.020.018
Taker fees are calculated using the following formula: $$ \text{Raw Fee} \= \text{Base Fee } % \times \min\bigl(\text{Price},, 1 - \text{Price}\bigr) \times \text{Shares} $$ So, for a share priced at **$0.2**, with a base fee of 2%: * A **single share** will cost 0.02 x $0.2 x 1 = **$0.004** * **100 shares** will cost 0.02 x $0.2 \* 100 = **$0.4** The percentage fee can be calculated as follows: $$ \text{Percentage Fee} \= \frac{\text{Raw Fee (at given Price, Contracts, and Base Fee)}}{\text{Price} \times \text{Contracts}} $$ For a share price of $0.2, a base fee of 2% and 100 contracts: **Percentage Fee** = $0.4 / ($0.2\*100) = 0.02 = **2%** To apply the 10% fee discount, simply multiply either the **Raw Fee** or **Percentage Fee** by 0.9. The chart below demonstrates how the taker fee adjusts: {% embed url="" %} ### Limits There is a minimum order amount of **1 USDT**. # Understanding the Order Book Learn how Predict's order book matches YES and NO shares, the difference between limit and market orders, and how bid-ask spreads affect your trades.
Understanding the order book is crucial for traders that wish to make the most of Predict. Getting to grips with how it works will help you place **limit orders**, which, in turn, can earn you points. {% hint style="info" %} A limit order differs from a market order in that it is only triggered when the price of your limit order reaches the top bid / lowest ask and another user decides to "take" your order. It will sit on the order book until executed. Conversely, a market order will immediately execute based on the current available limit orders available on the order book. {% endhint %} ### How the Order Book Works Let's suppose you're interested in buying YES shares for a given market, but you're reluctant to pay the 80¢ price it's currently trading at. You will, however, consider scooping a handful of shares up should the price dip to 75¢. You create a limit order to this effect — stating your intention to buy 500 YES shares at 75¢. This is added to the order book, along with all the other currently active limit orders. In a 'liquid' market, we'd expect the order book to look something like this: | YES Bids | YES Asks | | ------------------------------------- | -------------------------------------- | | 75¢ \| 90,000 shares \| $67,500 total | 79¢ \| 100,000 shares \| $79,000 total | | 74¢ \| 80,000 shares \| $59,200 total | 78¢ \| 80,000 shares \| $62,400 total | | 73¢ \| 50,000 shares \| $36,500 total | 77¢ \| 70,000 shares \| $53,900 total | | 72¢ \| 20,000 shares \| $14,400 total | 76¢ \| 62,000 shares \| $47,120 total | The **Bids** column aggregates the limit orders looking to buy YES shares, while the **Asks** column aggregates those looking to sell YES shares: * The **Bids** column represents the **highest price** buyers are willing to pay * The **Asks** column represents the **lowest price** sellers are willing to accept {% hint style="info" %} Observe that the highest bid and lowest ask don't match up in our example. This discrepancy is called a **spread**. The more liquid a market, the smaller the spread is — meaning less price impact on transactions. {% endhint %} When orders from both columns hit the same price, the trade is automatically executed by Predict's matching engine. Note the share quantity plays a role here — to fill an order in its entirety, the seller must offer the number of shares that the buyer desires. Otherwise, the order will only be partially filled, and the buyer must wait for further matches to get the rest of their shares. This same market will treat NO shares exactly the same way — YES asks are equivalent to NO bids, and YES bids are equivalent to NO asks. {% hint style="success" %} By default, your limit orders will remain open until they're filled or canceled. You can, however, set it to expire after a period of time by using the **Order Expiry** drop-down. {% endhint %} # Yields Learn how Yield works on Predict: open positions earn interest through Venus Protocol while a market is pending, claimable weekly from your portfolio.
Say goodbye to the days of **wasted capital**. On Predict, your open positions earn yield — meaning that you’ll keep earning while you wait for market expiry. ### Why Does This Matter? Ordinarily, when you open a position on a prediction market, your funds are trapped until a) the market resolves or b) you sell your shares. During this time, they’re not put to work in other ways (e.g., by earning interest in a DeFi protocol or by being used to trade). We call this **opportunity cost**. This may not be an issue for markets that resolve within a couple of days. But what about those that span months or years? Suppose that you purchase $10,000 worth of **YES** shares in January, each priced at 80¢, on whether a candidate will be elected in December. That’s almost an entire year of waiting. If successful, you’ll make a return of 25% ($2,500), which isn’t bad, but it could be better — **and that’s where Predict’s innovation comes in**.
### How It Works You may have noticed the **Yield** badges on the **Markets** page. They mean that **the market’s open positions are currently generating yield**. This is achieved via our partners at Venus Protocol’s decentralized money market, where all USDT collateral is routed to earn interest. The result? Your funds generate yields around the clock — **even when deployed**! ### How to Claim Your Yield Yield (if available) can be claimed via the **Portfolio** page. ### How Often Can I Claim My Yield? Yield is distributed weekly. ### How Is Yield Calculated? Yield is attributed to accounts based on regular on-chain snapshots of open positions. ### What Rate of Yield Is Generated? There is no fixed rate. Yield is based on the utilization rate of the USDT pool on Venus at any given time, which you can see [here](https://app.venus.io/#/markets/0xfD36E2c2a6789Db23113685031d7F16329158384?chainId=56\&tab=assets). Note that Predict takes a management fee of **10%** on yield generated. ### Disclaimer While we actively monitor utilization and available liquidity rates in accordance with internal risk management thresholds, it is still possible for a sudden liquidity crunch to occur on the USDT pool on Venus. This would occur when the utilization rate crosses a set threshold, meaning at that time, there is little to no floating liquidity which could be used to unwind positions if required. However, by design, if that were to happen, the cost to borrowers would be so high that they would be incentivized to pay back their positions. Additionally, the yield for supplying funds would also increase significantly, incentivizing more users to deposit into the pool. Both of these would result in a lowering of the utilization rate, eventually resolving the liquidity crunch altogether. From a user’s point of view, In the rare event of a liquidity crunch, it may be the case that users with open positions on yield-bearing markets may be unable to claim winnings for a short period of time. Based on historical data, liquidity crunches typically resolve within one day based on normal market dynamics. In the event where there is still sufficient liquidity available (even though on a very tight margin), Predict has the right to withdraw all funds from Venus and turn yield bearing markets into non yield bearing markets until the liquidity crunch is resolved. Should a liquidity crunch with insufficient liquidity available occur, the following actions would be executed:
1. Announcement in Discord to Predict users 2. Immediate sync with Venus team 3. Work with Venus team to lower utilization rate 4. Pause deployment of new yield-bearing markets 5. Evaluate potential revised risk thresholds
To further decrease the likelihood that Predict.fun is impacted by liquidity crunches, we are also in discussions with various protocols to diversify the platform’s yield sources.
# Block Trades How Predict's block trades work: privately negotiate large trades and settle them on-chain with no slippage and no partial fills. Predict's block trades enable you to **privately negotiate large trades** and settle them on-chain, without ever touching the public order book. The trade executes in full at an agreed price, with no slippage and no partial fills. The platform can be accessed [here](https://predict.fun/blocktrade). ### When to Use Block Trades Want to move size? That's what this venue is for. Filling a large order on the public book exposes you to more unfavorable pricing, as it eats into the available depth. A block trade, on the other hand, matches you directly with a single counterparty (either another trader, or Predict's market maker), where you'll get a single price for the entire quantity. {% hint style="info" %} Block trades have a minimum order size of 100,000 shares. {% endhint %} ### How It Works A block trade has two sides: * The creator builds and signs the order, then shares a secret token with their counterparty. * The counterparty loads the order with that token, reviews it, and executes it. {% hint style="info" %} The whole flow is private. The order only exists between you, your counterparty, and the settlement contract. {% endhint %} #### 1. Create the order On the **Create** tab: * **Pick a market and outcome**: search for a market or paste a market link, then choose the outcome you want to trade. * **Set your side**: whether you're buying or selling that outcome. * **Set quantity and price**: the number of shares (minimum 100,000) and your price in cents. The current book price is shown for reference. * **Choose your role**: Maker or Taker. This decides who pays the trading fee: the taker pays it, the maker pays nothing. Agree with your counterparty ahead of time who takes which role. When you create the order, you sign it with your connected wallet. Signing costs nothing and moves no funds - it just authorizes the trade at exactly these terms. Funds only move when your counterparty executes. #### 2. Share the secret token After creating, you get a secret token. This is the key to your order: * Send it to your counterparty however you like (DM, chat, etc.). They can paste it on the **Accept** tab, or open it directly via `predict.fun/blocktrade/`. * Copy it immediately. It's shown only once, and we can't recover or re-display the token later. {% hint style="danger" %} Anyone with the secret token can fill your order. Only share it with your intended counterparty. {% endhint %} While the order is live you'll see it under **Open Orders**, and you can cancel it at any time (free, no transaction needed), from the share screen or from **Open Orders**. #### 3. Accept and execute On the **Accept** tab, the counterparty pastes the token (or opens the shared link) and hits **Load Order**. Loading only previews the order: the market, outcome, quantity, price, notional, what you'd pay or receive, and any fee. Nothing executes until you review and confirm. If it looks right, hit **Execute Trade**. You sign the matching side of the trade with your wallet, our matching engine verifies both signed orders line up exactly, and the trade settles on-chain. Both sides receive their assets, shares to the buyer and USDT to the seller, in the same settlement. In a binary market the counterparty can also fill from the other outcome. For example, if the creator is buying YES at 60¢, you can fill it by buying NO at 40¢ instead of selling YES. The two positions are minted as a pair. The Accept screen shows exactly how you'll fill before you confirm. #### Fees {% hint style="info" %} Block Trades are currently running under a **Zero Fee Promotion** — takers pay no fee while it's active. The schedule below is what applies once the promotion ends. {% endhint %} * Only the taker pays a fee; the maker pays nothing. Which party is the taker is chosen when the order is created. * The taker fee uses the same schedule as regular trading on the market, including any fee discount on your account, and it scales down for prices near 0¢ or 100¢ (it's based on the cheaper of the two outcomes, not flat on notional). * The exact fee amount and rate are always shown before you sign anything. #### Settlement Block trades settle in USDT on BNB Chain, through the same audited exchange contracts as regular Predict orders. The position you receive is identical to one bought on the public book: it appears in your portfolio and pays out $1 per share if your outcome wins. #### Tracking your orders The bottom of the Block Trades page has two tabs: * **Open Orders**: your live orders, with inline cancel. * **Tx History**: every event on your block trades (created, fulfilled, cancelled, expired, and match results), with links to the on-chain transaction on the block explorer. An order stays open until it's fulfilled or you cancel it. #### Good to know * Your balance is checked at creation, and again at execution. If the creator no longer holds the shares or USDT backing the order when the counterparty executes, the trade fails rather than settling partially. * You can't fill your own order. * Cancelling is free and instant. The order never touched the chain, so there's nothing to unwind. * Lost the secret token? Cancel the order from **Open Orders** and create a new one. #### FAQ **Does creating an order lock my funds?** No. Creating and signing an order doesn't move or lock anything. Your funds are only used at the moment the counterparty executes, which is also why the trade fails if you've since spent them. **Can other people see my block trade?** No. The order never appears on the public book. Only someone with the secret token can see or fill it. **Can an order be partially filled?** No. Block trades execute in full or not at all. **Who can be my counterparty?** Anyone: another Predict user you've negotiated with, or our market maker. You just need to send them the secret token. # The Predict International The Predict International hub: place predictions on TI 2026 matches, earn Activity Points, and share a 100,000 USDT and 5,000,000 Predict Points prize pool. # The Predict International Cheat Sheet Quick-start guide to The Predict International: place predictions on TI 2026 matches and earn a share of 100,000 USDT and 5,000,000 Predict Points.
Predict is putting up **100,000 USDT and 5,000,000 Predict Points** for those placing predictions on *The International 2026*. Lock in your predictions across matches to earn your share of the prize pool during Dota 2's biggest tournament. On this page, you'll get the low-down on how it works — from placing predictions to earning Activity Points. ### The TL;DR Predict is funding a prize pool across The International, with a total of **100,000 USDT and 5,000,000 Predict Points** in rewards on the table. You don't have to stay loyal to one team. Instead, you'll place predictions on a range of markets tied to each match. Get it right, and you get Activity Points (AP). Your AP (and everyone else's) stacks on a single, tournament-wide leaderboard. Rewards pay out in two phases (Group Stage and Final) to the top 1,000 ranked players at each snapshot. ### Step 1: Place Your Predictions Every match at The International has a card of markets to predict. Here's what you should know: * You're not locked into a single team. Predict across as many matches as you like, for whichever teams you like. * Each match's card has four match-level markets (Match Winner, Game 1/2 Winner, Total Games, Game Handicap) plus First Blood and Kill Totals markets for the games within it. * A standard Bo3 match can net you up to **40,000 AP** if you qualify and win in every market. ### Step 2: Earn Activity Points Each market on a match's card earns you a fixed number of Activity Points if the conditions are met. #### Qualifying for a market To make sure Activity Points reward real trading, each market has three requirements. You need to meet all three for that market to count. 1. **Buy and lock a position.** Buy at least 20 shares of the side you want before the match begins, and lock that selection in. 2. **Hold the position.** You must hold at least 20 shares of that position when the market resolves. 3. **Win!** Your locked option needs to be the correct one. If you miss any of the three, that market's Activity Points will not be credited, even if your prediction was correct. {% hint style="info" %} Watch your position during the match. If you sell below 20 shares and fail to buy back before the market resolves, you forfeit that market's Activity Points. The activity page shows your live qualification status for every market, so you always know where you stand. {% endhint %} #### The leaderboard The Predict International has a single, tournament-wide Activity Points leaderboard. As each market resolves, your Activity Points are credited automatically and the leaderboard updates. There's no claim step to worry about — your total grows as matches play out. ### Step 3: Collect Your Rewards Predict.fun funds a fixed prize pool across two reward phases, mirroring the structure of The International itself: | Phase | Pool | Dates | | ------------------- | -------------------------- | --------------- | | Group Stage Rewards | 25,000 USDT + 1,000,000 PP | Aug 13 – Aug 16 | | Final Rewards | 75,000 USDT + 4,000,000 PP | Aug 20 – Aug 23 | At the close of each phase, the top 1,000 ranked players share that phase's pool, paid out in tiers by Activity Points rank. The higher you rank, the bigger your reward. If two or more players finish tied on the exact same number of Activity Points, there's no tiebreaker. They share the combined rewards of the ranks they're tied across, split equally. Pools are paid in USDT and Predict Points after each phase ends. Market resolution follows [UMA Optimistic Oracle timing](https://predict.fun/learn/how-uma-optimistic-oracle-powers-prediction-market-resolutions), the same trusted resolution that powers the rest of Predict.fun. ### Step 4: See Step 1 Your Activity Points are cumulative. They don't reset between phases, so everything you've earned since the event started carries into your Final Rewards ranking. * **Group Stage Rewards** pay out after the group and elimination round stages, based on your AP at that snapshot. * **Final Rewards** pay out after the Bo5 Grand Final, based on your total AP across the whole event. Keep predicting across both windows to make the most of your running total. ### FAQ **I traded on a Dota 2 market but didn't earn any points. Why?** Activity Points are only earned on markets visible in the activity hub, and only once you've bought and locked shares on them. **What counts as a valid lock?** At least 20 shares, locked in before the match begins and held until the market resolves. **Does locking more shares earn more points?** No. 20 shares is a minimum threshold, not a multiplier — each market pays a fixed amount, once per user. **Do I need to claim my Activity Points?** No, they're credited automatically. Only the Group Stage Reward and the Final Reward have a claim step. **Do my points reset after the Group Stage Reward?** No. Your AP carries over: everything you've accumulated since the event started counts toward your Final Reward ranking. **When do I get my rewards?** After each phase ends, once markets have settled and points are finalized. *** Ready to play? Head to [The Predict International](https://predict.fun/dota2-activity) on Predict.fun and start placing predictions. # Full Rules and Reference The complete rules for The Predict International: markets, Activity Points, qualification requirements, the leaderboard, and reward pools. ## Full Rules and Reference ### The Predict International: Full Rules and Reference This is the complete reference for The Predict International activity on Predict.fun. It serves to answer detailed questions about how markets, Activity Points, qualification, the leaderboard, prize pools, and payouts work. Looking for a general overview? Head over here first and return to this page for the specifics. The document below outlines the standard design for the activity. Live pools, market cards, and your qualification status are always shown in the app, and the app is the source of truth for any given match. #### 1. The Big Picture The Predict International runs alongside The International 2026 (TI 2026), Dota 2's biggest tournament, held August 13–23 in Shanghai. You don't pick a single team to follow — instead, you predict on any match, for any team, across the whole event. Here is the full loop, end to end: 1. Predict.fun lists a card of markets for every TI 2026 match (five match-level markets, plus First Blood and Kill Totals markets for each individual game in that match). 2. You make your predictions by buying and locking a position in each market you want to play. 3. When a market resolves, every market you qualified on and got right pays you a fixed amount of Activity Points (AP). 4. Your AP stacks on a single, tournament-wide leaderboard alongside every other player. 5. Rewards are paid out in two phases — Group Stage and Final — to the top 1,000 ranked players at each snapshot. 6. Your AP carries forward from the Group Stage phase into the Final phase, so nothing resets mid-event. There is **100,000 USDT and 5,000,000 Predict Points** in total rewards across the activity, funded entirely by Predict.fun. {% hint style="info" %} You don't need to remain loyal to a single team in The Predict International. The more markets you participate in, across as many matches as you like, the greater your AP-earning potential. {% endhint %} #### 2. Tournament Structure The Predict International mirrors the structure of TI 2026 itself: | **Stage** | **Format** | **Dates** | | ----------------------------- | --------------- | --------------- | | Group Stage (Swiss) | All matches Bo3 | Aug 13 – Aug 16 | | Elimination Round | Bo3 | Aug 13 – Aug 16 | | Playoffs (double elimination) | Bo3 | Aug 20 – Aug 23 | | Grand Final | Bo5 | Aug 20 – Aug 23 | Predict.fun lists markets for every match at every stage. The market list and AP values are the same regardless of stage — what changes is only how many games a match can run to (up to 3 games for a Bo3, up to 5 for the Bo5 Grand Final). #### 3. The Markets Every match has a card of markets to predict. There are two types: **match-level markets**, which resolve once per match regardless of how many games it takes, and **per-game markets**, which resolve separately for each individual game played. **3.1 Match-level markets** | Market | Option A | Option B | | ------------- | -------------- | -------------- | | Match Winner | Team A | Team B | | Game 1 Winner | Team A | Team B | | Game 2 Winner | Team A | Team B | | Total Games | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | | Game Handicap | Team A \[Line] | Team B \[Line] | **3.2 Per-game markets** Listed for Game 1 and Game 2 of every match. For matches that go longer (a Bo3 decider game, or Games 3–5 of the Bo5 Grand Final), the same two markets are listed again for each additional game played. | Market | Option A | Option B | | ----------- | ------------ | ------------- | | First Blood | Team A | Team B | | Kill Totals | Over \[Line] | Under \[Line] | {% hint style="warning" %} **Group Stage and Elimination Round exception:** on Bo3 matches in these stages, First Blood and Kill Totals markets are only listed for Games 1 and 2 — a third (decider) game, if played, does not carry its own markets. From the Playoffs onward, every game played gets its own First Blood and Kill Totals markets, including Games 3–5 of the Bo5 Grand Final. {% endhint %} *Exact lines (goal/kill/game totals, handicaps) are set per match and always shown on the market card in the app.* #### 4. Earning Activity Points Every market on the card is worth a fixed number of Activity Points (AP) if you qualify and your prediction is correct. **4.1 AP by market - Group Stage & Elimination rounds** | Market | AP (if correct) | | ---------------------- | --------------- | | Match Winner | 6,000 | | Game 1 Winner | 5,000 | | Game 2 Winner | 5,000 | | Total Games | 4,000 | | Game Handicap | 4,000 | | First Blood (per game) | 4,000 | | Kill Totals (per game) | 4,000 | **4.2 AP by market - Playoffs** | Market | AP (if correct) | | ---------------------- | --------------- | | Match Winner | 30,000 | | Game 1 Winner | 25,000 | | Game 2 Winner | 25,000 | | Total Games | 20,000 | | Game Handicap | 20,000 | | First Blood (per game) | 20,000 | | Kill Totals (per game) | 20,000 | **4.3 Maximum AP per match** For a standard Bo3 match in the Group Stage or Elimination Round (Games 1 and 2 only carry per-game markets): | Component | AP | | ------------------------------------------ | ---------- | | Match-level markets (5 markets) | 24,000 | | Game 1 markets (First Blood + Kill Totals) | 8,000 | | Game 2 markets (First Blood + Kill Totals) | 8,000 | | **Total** | **40,000** | For Playoff and Grand Final matches, the maximum grows with every additional game played, since each extra game adds its own First Blood and Kill Totals markets. **AP values for these additional games (Games 3–5) are TBA** and will be confirmed before the Playoffs begin. **4.3 How points accumulate** Activity Points are credited automatically after a market resolves in your favor. There is no claim step. Your total simply grows as matches play out, and your position on the leaderboard updates with it. Points are only ever earned on markets where you meet all of the qualification requirements below. A correct prediction that did not qualify earns nothing. #### 5. Qualifying for a Market To make sure Activity Points reward real trading and not just clicking, each market has three requirements. You must meet all three on a given market for it to count. **5.1 The three requirements** 1. **Buy and lock a position before the match begins.** Choose the option you believe will be correct, hold at least 20 shares of it, and lock that selection in before the relevant match/game kicks off. 2. **Hold the position at resolution.** You must be holding at least 20 shares of your locked option when the market resolves. You are free to trade in between, including selling and buying back, as long as you are holding the minimum at both lock-in and resolution. 3. **Win.** Your locked option must be the correct one. If you miss any of the three, that market's Activity Points are not credited, even if your prediction turns out to be correct. **5.2 No single-transaction requirement** The 20 shares can be bought across transactions (e.g., 10 shares followed by 10 shares), provided they're locked via the activity page prior to the match starting. Splitting USDT into shares will not count. **5.3 Locking more shares** 20 shares is a minimum threshold, not a multiplier. Each market awards a fixed number of Activity Points, and each market pays once per user, so locking 200 shares earns the same as locking 20. **5.4 The lock lifecycle** * **Before the match begins:** You can select an option, lock it, unlock it, and switch to a different option as many times as you like. Nothing is final until the match starts. If you're holding fewer than 20 shares of your selected option, the Lock button stays disabled and the card shows a BUY prompt instead. * **At kickoff:** Your locked selection becomes final for that market. You can no longer switch options or unlock. * **During the match:** You can keep trading. If your holding drops below the minimum, the market will show a warning that you are not currently eligible. You can buy back above the minimum any time before the market resolves to restore eligibility. * **At resolution:** The system checks that you are holding the minimum and that your locked option won. If both are true, your Activity Points are credited automatically. {% hint style="info" %} Watch your position during the match. If you sell below the minimum and do not buy back before the market resolves, you lose that market's Activity Points even if your pick was correct. The activity page shows your live qualification status for every market, so you always know where you stand. {% endhint %} #### 6. The Leaderboard The Predict International has a single, tournament-wide Activity Points leaderboard — there is no per-team leaderboard. * **Live and automatic.** As each market resolves, your points are credited and the board re-ranks instantly. There is no claim step. * **What you see.** The Leaderboard and My Points tabs show your live rank and AP total at all times. * **Only the top 1,000 are paid.** Each phase's prize pool is split among the top 1,000 ranks on the leaderboard at that phase's snapshot (see sections 7 and 8). **6.1 Ties** If two or more players finish on exactly the same number of Activity Points, there is no tiebreaker. They jointly occupy the consecutive ranks they span, and they split the combined rewards of those ranks equally. #### 7. Reward Pools Predict.fun funds a fixed prize pool for each of the two reward phases, for a total of **100,000 USDT and 5,000,000 Predict Points**. **7.1 The schedule** | **Phase** | **Pool** | **Dates** | **Paid out after** | | ------------------- | -------------------------- | --------------- | ------------------------------- | | Group Stage Rewards | 25,000 USDT + 1,000,000 PP | Aug 13 – Aug 16 | Group Stage + Elimination Round | | Final Rewards | 75,000 USDT + 4,000,000 PP | Aug 20 – Aug 23 | The Bo5 Grand Final | **7.2 Points carry over** Activity Points earned during the Group Stage phase do not reset before the Final. Everything you've accumulated since the event started counts toward your Final Rewards ranking. Each phase pays out based on a separate leaderboard snapshot taken at that phase's cutoff — your Group Stage rank and your Final rank are independent snapshots of the same, ever-growing AP total. #### 8. How Each Pool Is Split Each phase's pool is shared among the top 1,000 ranked players, paid out in tiers by AP rank. The higher you finish, the more you take. The #1 spot alone takes 20% of the Group Stage pool and roughly a third of the Final pool. **8.1 Tier table (amount per winner, by phase)** | **Rank** | **Winners** | **Group Stage (25,000 USDT + 1,000,000 PP)** | **Final (75,000 USDT + 4,000,000 PP)** | | --------------------- | ----------- | -------------------------------------------- | -------------------------------------- | | #1 | 1 | 5,000 USDT + 50,000 PP | 25,000 USDT + 200,000 PP | | #2 | 1 | 2,000 USDT + 20,000 PP | 10,000 USDT + 100,000 PP | | #3 | 1 | 1,000 USDT + 10,000 PP | 3,000 USDT + 50,000 PP | | #4 to #10 (each) | 7 | 500 USDT + 5,000 PP | 1,000 USDT + 25,000 PP | | #11 to #25 (each) | 15 | 200 USDT + 4,000 PP | 500 USDT + 15,000 PP | | #26 to #50 (each) | 25 | 100 USDT + 3,000 PP | 200 USDT + 11,000 PP | | #51 to #100 (each) | 50 | 50 USDT + 2,000 PP | 100 USDT + 7,500 PP | | #101 to #250 (each) | 150 | 20 USDT + 1,000 PP | 50 USDT + 4,000 PP | | #251 to #500 (each) | 250 | 10 USDT + 1,000 PP | 20 USDT + 4,000 PP | | #501 to #750 (each) | 250 | 500 PP (no USDT) | 2,000 PP (no USDT) | | #751 to #1,000 (each) | 250 | 500 PP (no USDT) | 2,000 PP (no USDT) | Every column adds up exactly to that phase's pool across all 1,000 paid ranks: 25,000 USDT + 1,000,000 PP for the Group Stage, and 75,000 USDT + 4,000,000 PP for the Final. #### 9. Payouts * **Currency.** Pools are paid in USDT and Predict Points. * **Timing.** Pools pay out after each phase ends, once markets have settled and Activity Points are finalized. * **Claiming.** Activity Points themselves require no claim step. Only the Group Stage Reward and the Final Reward have a claim step. * **Resolution.** Market resolution follows UMA Optimistic Oracle timing, the same trusted resolution that powers the rest of Predict.fun. #### 10. FAQ **I traded on a Dota 2 market but didn't earn any points. Why?** Activity Points are only earned on the markets visible in the activity hub, in which you've locked in your shares. **What counts as a valid lock?** You must lock at least 20 shares — bought in one transaction or several — and hold them until the market resolves. If you have fewer than 20 shares available, the Lock button stays disabled. **Does locking more shares earn more points?** No. 20 shares is a minimum threshold, not a multiplier. Each market awards a fixed number of Activity Points, and each market pays once per user, so locking 200 shares earns the same as locking 20. **Do I need to claim my Activity Points?** No. Activity Points are calculated and displayed automatically once your locked markets resolve. Only the Group Stage Reward and the Final Reward have a claim step. **Do my points reset after the Group Stage Reward?** No. The two phases are separate and your points carry over — everything you've accumulated since the event start counts toward your Final Reward ranking. Each phase pays out based on a leaderboard snapshot taken for that phase. **Do I have to lock every market?** No. Lock only the markets you want to play. Each market qualifies independently, and you can play markets across as many matches and teams as you like. **Can I sell my shares during a match?** Yes. You only need to be holding the minimum (20 shares) of your locked option at lock-in and again at resolution. What you do in between is up to you. **What happens if my holding drops below the minimum mid-match?** The market shows a warning that you are not currently eligible. Buy back above the minimum before the market resolves to restore your eligibility. If you are still below the minimum at resolution, that market does not pay. **How are ties on the leaderboard handled?** There is no tiebreaker. Tied players jointly take the combined rewards of the ranks they span and split them equally. **When do I get my rewards?** After each phase ends, once markets have settled and points are finalized. Payouts are in USDT and Predict Points, with a claim step for the Group Stage and Final Rewards. #### 11. Glossary **Activity Points (AP):** the activity's scoring points. Earned on qualifying, correct market predictions, they determine your rank on the leaderboard and therefore your share of the reward pools. **Match-level market:** a market that resolves once per match regardless of how many games it takes (e.g. Match Winner, Total Games). **Per-game market:** a market that resolves separately for each individual game played within a match (e.g. First Blood, Kill Totals). **Option:** a specific outcome within a market, for example "Team A" in Match Winner or "Over 2.5" in Total Games. **Lock:** committing your chosen option in a market before the match/game begins, with at least 20 shares locked in. A locked, qualifying, winning option is what earns Activity Points. **Qualify:** meeting all three requirements on a market: buy and lock 20+ shares before the match/game begins, hold the minimum at resolution, and win. **Pool:** the prize money Predict.fun funds for a given reward phase (Group Stage or Final), shared by the top 1,000 ranked players. **Phase:** one of the two reward periods in The Predict International — Group Stage (Aug 13–16) or Final (Aug 20–23) — each paid out from its own leaderboard snapshot. **Tier:** a band of leaderboard ranks that all receive the same payout amount in a phase's pool. # Predict International 活动速查手册 Predict International 活动速查手册：预测 TI 2026 赛事赚取活动积分，瓜分 100,000 USDT 与 5,000,000 Predict Points 奖池。
Predict 为参与 *The International 2026* 竞猜的玩家拿出了 **100,000 USDT 与 5,000,000 Predict Points**。 在 Dota 2 最大规模的赛事期间，锁定你在各场比赛中的预测，赢取属于你的那份奖池。 本手册将带你一站式了解活动玩法——从下注预测到赚取活动积分。 ### 一句话概览 Predict 将为 Predict International 全程出资，总奖励为 **100,000 USDT 与 5,000,000 Predict Points**。 你不必只押注一支队伍。你可以对每场比赛的各类市场进行预测，预测正确即可获得活动积分（AP）。 你的活动积分（以及其他所有玩家的积分）将累积到一个覆盖全赛事的统一排行榜上。奖励分两个阶段发放（小组赛阶段和总决赛阶段），分别面向各自阶段快照时排名前 1,000 名的玩家。 ### 第一步：下注你的预测 TI 2026 的每场比赛都有一组预测市场。以下是你需要了解的内容： * 你不必只押注一支队伍。你可以对任意数量的比赛、任意队伍进行预测。 * 每场比赛的市场卡片包含四个整场市场（大局胜者、第一/二局胜者、总局数、让局盘），外加该场比赛中每一局的一血和击杀总数市场。 * 一场标准的 BO3 比赛，若你获得资格并赢下所有市场，最高可获得 **40,000 活动积分**。 ### 第二步：赚取活动积分 市场卡片中的每个市场，只要满足条件，都将获得固定数量的活动积分。 #### 获得市场资格 为确保活动积分真正奖励实质性交易，每个市场设有三项要求。你必须满足全部三项，该市场才算有效。 1. **买入并锁定仓位。** 在比赛开始前买入至少 20 份你所选一方的份额，并锁定该选择。 2. **持有仓位。** 市场结算时，你必须持有该仓位至少 20 份份额。 3. **预测正确！** 你锁定的选项必须是正确的那一个。 若未满足三项中的任一项，即使预测最终正确，该市场的活动积分也不会被计入。 {% hint style="info" %} 请在比赛过程中留意你的持仓。如果你卖至 20 份以下且未在市场结算前买回，将失去该市场的活动积分。活动页面会实时显示你在每个市场的资格状态，让你随时掌握自己的情况。 {% endhint %} #### 排行榜 Predict International 采用覆盖全赛事的统一活动积分排行榜。 每当市场结算，活动积分会自动计入，排行榜也随之更新。无需手动领取——你的积分总额会随着比赛进行持续增长。 ### 第三步：领取你的奖励 Predict.fun 为两个奖励阶段各设立固定奖池，赛制与 The International 本身保持一致： | 阶段 | 奖池 | 日期 | | ------- | -------------------------- | ------------------- | | 小组赛阶段奖励 | 25,000 USDT + 1,000,000 PP | 8 月 13 日 – 8 月 16 日 | | 总决赛阶段奖励 | 75,000 USDT + 4,000,000 PP | 8 月 20 日 – 8 月 23 日 | 每个阶段结束时，排名前 1,000 名玩家将分享该阶段奖池，按活动积分排名分级发放。排名越高，所得越多。 如果两名或多名玩家以完全相同的活动积分并列，则不设加赛决胜机制。他们将共同获得所跨越名次的合计奖励，并平均分配。 奖池将在每个阶段结束后以 USDT 和 Predict Points 发放。市场结算采用 [UMA 预言机机制](https://predict.fun/learn/how-uma-optimistic-oracle-powers-prediction-market-resolutions)，与 Predict.fun 平台其他市场采用相同的可信结算机制。 ### 第四步：回到第一步 你的活动积分是累计叠加的。它们不会在阶段之间重置，自活动开始以来累积的全部积分，都会计入你的总决赛阶段排名。 * **小组赛阶段奖励** 在小组赛和淘汰轮结束后发放，依据该快照时的活动积分。 * **总决赛阶段奖励** 在 BO5 总决赛结束后发放，依据你在整场活动中的活动积分总额。 在两个阶段窗口中持续参与预测，才能让你的累计积分发挥最大价值。 ### 常见问题 **我在 Dota 2 市场交易过，但没有获得任何积分，为什么？** 活动积分仅在活动页面所列出的市场中获得，且只有在你买入并锁定份额之后才能获得。 **什么才算有效锁定？** 在比赛开始前锁定至少 20 份份额，并持有至市场结算。 **锁定更多份额能获得更多积分吗？** 不能。20 份是最低门槛，并非倍增系数——每个市场发放固定金额，且每位用户只能获得一次。 **我需要领取我的活动积分吗？** 不需要，会自动计入。只有小组赛阶段奖励和总决赛阶段奖励需要手动领取。 **小组赛阶段奖励发放后，我的积分会重置吗？** 不会。你的活动积分会持续累积：自活动开始以来积累的全部积分，都计入你的总决赛阶段排名。 **我什么时候能拿到奖励？** 每个阶段结束后，待市场结算、积分最终确认后发放。 *** 准备好了吗？前往 [Predict International](https://predict.fun/zh-cn/dota2-activity) 开始你的预测。 # Predict International 完整规则与参考手册 Predict International 完整规则：市场类型、活动积分、资格要求、排行榜与奖池详解。 ## Predict International 完整规则与参考手册 ### Predict International 完整规则与参考手册 本文是 Predict.fun 平台 Predict International 活动的完整参考手册。 本手册旨在详细解答有关市场、活动积分、资格要求、排行榜、奖池和奖励发放等方面的具体问题。如需了解整体概览，请先查看概览页面，再返回本页查阅具体细节。 以下文档阐述了活动的标准设计方案。实时奖池、市场卡片以及你的资格状态均会在应用内显示，应用内信息为任何特定比赛的最终依据。 #### 1. 总览 Predict International 与 TI 2026（Dota 2 最大规模的赛事，8 月 13 日至 23 日在上海举行）同步进行。你无需选定某一支球队来跟随——你可以对任意比赛、任意队伍进行预测。 以下是完整的游戏流程，从头到尾： 1. Predict.fun 为 TI 2026 的每场比赛列出一组市场（五个整场市场，外加该场比赛中每一局的一血和击杀总数市场）。 2. 你通过买入并锁定每个想参与市场的仓位来进行预测。 3. 市场结算后，你获得资格且预测正确的每个市场都将为你带来固定数量的活动积分（AP）。 4. 你的活动积分将累积到一个覆盖全赛事的统一排行榜上，与所有其他玩家一起排名。 5. 奖励分两个阶段发放——小组赛阶段和总决赛阶段——分别面向各自阶段快照时排名前 1,000 名的玩家。 6. 你在小组赛阶段积累的活动积分会带入总决赛阶段，赛事期间不会重置。 整场活动总奖励为 **100,000 USDT 与 5,000,000 Predict Points**，全部由 Predict.fun 出资。 {% hint style="info" %} 在 Predict International 中，你无需只押注一支球队。你参与的市场越多——无论是哪场比赛——你能赚取的活动积分潜力就越大。 {% endhint %} #### 2. 赛事结构 Predict International 的结构与 TI 2026 本身保持一致： | **阶段** | **赛制** | **日期** | | ------------ | ---------- | ------------------- | | 小组赛（瑞士轮） | 全部比赛均为 BO3 | 8 月 13 日 – 8 月 16 日 | | 淘汰轮 | BO3 | 8 月 13 日 – 8 月 16 日 | | 淘汰赛阶段（双败淘汰制） | BO3 | 8 月 20 日 – 8 月 23 日 | | 总决赛 | BO5 | 8 月 20 日 – 8 月 23 日 | Predict.fun 会为每个阶段的每场比赛列出市场。无论处于哪个阶段，市场列表都保持一致——淘汰赛阶段的活动积分数值会更高（详见第 4 节），且比赛最多可打多少局也不同（BO3 最多 3 局，BO5 总决赛最多 5 局）。 #### 3. 市场类型 每场比赛都有一组预测市场。市场分为两类：**整场市场**，无论比赛打几局都只结算一次；以及**单局市场**，每一局单独结算。 **3.1 整场市场** | 市场 | 选项 A | 选项 B | | ----- | --------- | --------- | | 大局胜者 | A 队 | B 队 | | 第一局胜者 | A 队 | B 队 | | 第二局胜者 | A 队 | B 队 | | 总局数 | 大 2.5 | 小 2.5 | | 让局盘 | A 队 \[盘口] | B 队 \[盘口] | **3.2 单局市场** 每场比赛的第一局和第二局都会列出以下市场。若比赛打得更久（BO3 的决胜局，或 BO5 总决赛的第三至第五局），后续每一局也会重新列出这两个市场。 | 市场 | 选项 A | 选项 B | | ---- | ------- | ------- | | 一血 | A 队 | B 队 | | 击杀总数 | 大 \[盘口] | 小 \[盘口] | {% hint style="warning" %} **小组赛与淘汰轮的例外情况：** 在这两个阶段的 BO3 比赛中，一血和击杀总数市场仅在第一局和第二局列出——若打到第三局（决胜局），该局不设专属市场。从淘汰赛阶段起，每一局都会有各自的一血和击杀总数市场，包括 BO5 总决赛的第三至第五局。 {% endhint %} *具体盘口（总击杀、总局数、让局分等）按每场比赛设定，并始终显示在应用内的市场卡片上。* #### 4. 赚取活动积分 市场卡片中的每个市场，只要你获得资格且预测正确，都将获得固定数量的活动积分（AP）。淘汰赛阶段的活动积分高于小组赛和淘汰轮。 **4.1 各市场活动积分 — 小组赛与淘汰轮** | 市场 | 活动积分（预测正确） | | -------- | ---------- | | 大局胜者 | 6,000 | | 第一局胜者 | 5,000 | | 第二局胜者 | 5,000 | | 总局数 | 4,000 | | 让局盘 | 4,000 | | 一血（每局） | 4,000 | | 击杀总数（每局） | 4,000 | **4.2 各市场活动积分 — 淘汰赛阶段** | 市场 | 活动积分（预测正确） | | -------- | ---------- | | 大局胜者 | 30,000 | | 第一局胜者 | 25,000 | | 第二局胜者 | 25,000 | | 总局数 | 20,000 | | 让局盘 | 20,000 | | 一血（每局） | 20,000 | | 击杀总数（每局） | 20,000 | > 注：淘汰赛阶段第三局（决胜局）以及总决赛所有比赛的活动积分数值待定，将在相关比赛开始前公布确认。 **4.3 单场比赛最高可获积分** 对于小组赛或淘汰轮中的标准 BO3 比赛（仅第一局和第二局设有单局市场）： | 项目 | 活动积分 | | ---------------- | ---------- | | 整场市场（5 个市场） | 24,000 | | 第一局市场（一血 + 击杀总数） | 8,000 | | 第二局市场（一血 + 击杀总数） | 8,000 | | **合计** | **40,000** | 对于淘汰赛阶段和总决赛的比赛，每多打一局都会新增一血和击杀总数市场，因此上限会随之提升。**第三至第五局的具体活动积分数值待定**，将在淘汰赛阶段开始前公布确认。 **4.4 积分如何累积** 当市场以对你有利的方式结算后，活动积分将自动计入，无需手动领取。随着比赛逐步进行，你的积分总额会持续增长，你在排行榜上的排名也随之更新。 只有在满足以下所有资格要求的市场中，你才能赚取积分。未获得资格的正确预测不会带来任何积分。 #### 5. 获得市场资格 为确保活动积分真正奖励实质性交易而非单纯点击，每个市场设有三项要求。在某个市场中，你必须满足全部三项要求，该市场才算有效。 **5.1 三项要求** 1. **开赛前买入并锁定仓位。** 选择你认为正确的选项，持有至少 20 份份额，并在相关比赛/该局开始前锁定该选择。 2. **结算时持有仓位。** 市场结算时，你必须持有所选项至少 20 份份额。中途可自由交易，包括卖出后再买回，只要在锁定时和结算时都持有最低份额即可。 3. **预测正确。** 你锁定的选项必须是正确的那一个。 若未满足三项中的任一项，即使预测最终正确，该市场的活动积分也不会被计入。 **5.2 无需单次交易** 这 20 份份额可以分多次交易买入（例如先买入 10 份，再买入 10 份），只需在比赛开始前通过活动页面完成锁定即可。 将 USDT 拆分为份额的方式不计入资格。 **5.3 持有更多份额** 20 份是最低门槛，并非倍增系数。每个市场发放固定数量的活动积分，且每位用户每个市场只能获得一次奖励，因此锁定 200 份与锁定 20 份所获得的积分相同。 **5.4 锁定机制的完整流程** * **开赛前：** 你可以任意次数地选择选项、锁定、解锁，并切换到其他选项。在比赛开始前，一切都不是最终结果。如果你持有所选选项的份额不足 20 份，锁定按钮将保持禁用状态，卡片会显示「买入」提示。 * **开赛时：** 你锁定的选择将成为该市场的最终选择。你将无法再切换选项或解锁。 * **比赛进行中：** 你可以继续交易。如果持仓低于最低要求，市场将显示警告，提示你当前不符合资格。你可以在市场结算前任意时间买回超过最低要求的份额，以恢复资格。 * **结算时：** 系统会检查你是否持有最低份额，以及你锁定的选项是否获胜。若两者均满足，活动积分将自动计入。 {% hint style="info" %} 请在比赛过程中留意你的持仓。如果你在市场结算前卖至最低要求以下且未及时买回，即使预测正确，该市场的活动积分也将作废。活动页面会实时显示你在每个市场的资格状态，让你随时掌握自己的情况。 {% endhint %} #### 6. 排行榜 Predict International 采用覆盖全赛事的统一活动积分排行榜——不设分队排行榜。 * **实时自动更新。** 每当市场结算，积分立即计入，排行榜即时重新排名，无需手动领取。 * **你能看到的内容。** 排行榜和「我的积分」页面会随时显示你的实时排名和活动积分总额。 * **仅前 1,000 名获得奖励。** 每个阶段的奖池将在该阶段快照时排名前 1,000 名玩家之间分配（详见第 7 和第 8 节）。 **6.1 并列名次** 如果两名或多名玩家以完全相同的活动积分结束，则不设加赛决胜机制。他们将共同占据所跨越的连续名次，并平均分配这些名次的合计奖励。 #### 7. 奖池 Predict.fun 为两个奖励阶段各设立固定奖池，总额为 **100,000 USDT 与 5,000,000 Predict Points**。 **7.1 奖池时间表** | **阶段** | **奖池** | **日期** | **发放时间** | | ------- | -------------------------- | ------------------- | ------------ | | 小组赛阶段奖励 | 25,000 USDT + 1,000,000 PP | 8 月 13 日 – 8 月 16 日 | 小组赛 + 淘汰轮结束后 | | 总决赛阶段奖励 | 75,000 USDT + 4,000,000 PP | 8 月 20 日 – 8 月 23 日 | BO5 总决赛结束后 | **7.2 积分带入下一阶段** 小组赛阶段积累的活动积分不会在总决赛前清零。你从活动开始以来积累的全部积分，都会计入你的总决赛阶段排名。每个阶段都基于该阶段截止时的独立排行榜快照发放奖励——你的小组赛阶段排名和总决赛阶段排名，是同一个持续增长的活动积分总额在不同时间点的两次独立快照。 #### 8. 每个奖池如何分配 每个阶段的奖池在排名前 1,000 名玩家之间分配，按活动积分排名分级发放。排名越高，所得越多。 **8.1 分级表（各名次每人所得，按阶段）** | **名次** | **人数** | **小组赛阶段（25,000 USDT + 1,000,000 PP）** | **总决赛阶段（75,000 USDT + 4,000,000 PP）** | | --------------- | ------ | ------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------- | | #1 | 1 | 5,000 USDT + 50,000 PP | 25,000 USDT + 200,000 PP | | #2 | 1 | 2,000 USDT + 20,000 PP | 10,000 USDT + 100,000 PP | | #3 | 1 | 1,000 USDT + 10,000 PP | 3,000 USDT + 50,000 PP | | #4–#10（每名） | 7 | 500 USDT + 5,000 PP | 1,000 USDT + 25,000 PP | | #11–#25（每名） | 15 | 200 USDT + 4,000 PP | 500 USDT + 15,000 PP | | #26–#50（每名） | 25 | 100 USDT + 3,000 PP | 200 USDT + 11,000 PP | | #51–#100（每名） | 50 | 50 USDT + 2,000 PP | 100 USDT + 7,500 PP | | #101–#250（每名） | 150 | 20 USDT + 1,000 PP | 50 USDT + 4,000 PP | | #251–#500（每名） | 250 | 10 USDT + 1,000 PP | 20 USDT + 4,000 PP | | #501–#750（每名） | 250 | 500 PP（无 USDT） | 2,000 PP（无 USDT） | | #751–#1,000（每名） | 250 | 500 PP（无 USDT） | 2,000 PP（无 USDT） | 每一列在全部 1,000 个获奖名次中的金额合计，恰好等于该阶段奖池总额：小组赛阶段为 25,000 USDT + 1,000,000 PP，总决赛阶段为 75,000 USDT + 4,000,000 PP。 #### 9. 奖励发放 * **币种。** 奖池以 USDT 和 Predict Points 发放。 * **时间。** 每个阶段结束后，待市场结算、活动积分最终确认后发放。 * **领取。** 活动积分本身无需领取。仅小组赛阶段奖励和总决赛阶段奖励需要手动领取。 * **结算。** 市场结算采用 UMA 预言机，与 Predict.fun 平台其他市场采用相同的可信结算机制。 #### 10. 常见问题
我在 Dota 2 市场交易过，但没有获得任何积分，为什么？ 活动积分仅在活动页面所列出的市场中获得。你需要在这些市场中买入并锁定份额——在 Predict.fun 其他地方的交易不计入。
什么才算有效锁定？ 你必须锁定至少 20 份份额（可通过一次或多次交易买入），并持有至结算。如果你的可用份额不足 20 份，锁定按钮将保持禁用状态。
锁定更多份额能获得更多积分吗？ 不能。20 份是最低门槛，并非倍增系数。每个市场发放固定数量的活动积分，且每位用户每个市场只能获得一次奖励，因此锁定 200 份与锁定 20 份所获得的积分相同。
我需要领取我的活动积分吗？ 不需要。你锁定的市场结算后，活动积分会自动计算并显示。只有小组赛阶段奖励和总决赛阶段奖励需要手动领取。
小组赛阶段奖励发放后，我的积分会重置吗？ 不会。两个阶段是独立发放的，你的积分会持续累积——自活动开始以来积累的全部积分，都计入你的总决赛阶段排名。每个阶段根据该阶段截止时的排行榜快照发放奖励。
我必须锁定每个市场吗？ 不需要。只锁定你想参与的市场即可。每个市场的资格独立判定，你可以在任意数量的比赛和队伍上参与市场。
比赛进行中可以卖出份额吗？ 可以。你只需在锁定时和结算时持有所锁定选项的最低份额（20 份）即可，中途如何操作由你自行决定。
如果比赛中途我的持仓低于最低要求怎么办？ 市场会显示警告，提示你当前不符合资格。在市场结算前买回至最低要求以上即可恢复资格。如果结算时你仍低于最低要求，该市场将不发放奖励。
排行榜并列名次如何处理？ 不设加赛决胜机制。并列的玩家将共同获得所跨越名次的合计奖励，并平均分配。
我什么时候能拿到奖励？ 每个阶段结束后，待市场结算、积分最终确认后发放。奖励以 USDT 和 Predict Points 形式发放，小组赛阶段和总决赛阶段奖励均需手动领取。
#### 11. 术语表 **活动积分（Activity Points，AP）：** 本活动的计分点数。通过在符合资格的市场中做出正确预测而获得，决定你在排行榜上的排名，从而决定你在奖池中的分成。 **整场市场：** 无论比赛打几局都只结算一次的市场（例如大局胜者、总局数）。 **单局市场：** 每一局单独结算的市场（例如一血、击杀总数）。 **选项：** 市场内的某个具体结果，例如大局胜者中的「A 队」或总局数中的「大 2.5」。 **锁定：** 在比赛/该局开始前，锁定你所选选项的 20 份以上份额。一个已锁定、符合资格且获胜的选项才能赚取活动积分。 **获得资格：** 满足某市场的全部三项要求：在比赛/该局开始前买入并锁定 20 份以上份额、结算时持有最低份额、预测正确。 **奖池：** Predict.fun 为某个奖励阶段（小组赛阶段或总决赛阶段）出资的奖金，由排名前 1,000 名玩家分享。 **阶段：** Predict International 中的两个奖励发放周期之一——小组赛阶段（8 月 13 日–16 日）或总决赛阶段（8 月 20 日–23 日）——各自基于独立的排行榜快照发放奖励。 **分级：** 在某阶段奖池中获得相同奖励金额的一组排行榜名次区间。 # Wallets How Predict Smart Wallets work: sign up with email or socials, skip gas fees and approvals, then manage deposits, withdrawals, and key exports. Predict skips the traditional DeFi approach of wallet connection and endless approvals, instead using [Privy](https://www.privy.io/) and [ZeroDev](https://zerodev.app/) to provide you with a streamlined experience. This means that you can sign up with your email, a Google or X account, or a Web3 wallet for the purists. When you create an account, your smart contract wallet is automatically generated and ready for deposits. With this approach, you can skip the approvals process every time you want to make a transaction. Predict cannot access your private keys — meaning that, if you lose your credentials, we can't help you retrieve them! Make sure that your authentication method is kept secure and backed-up. ### Deposits Deposits and withdrawals are powered by [Fun.xyz](https://fun.xyz), giving you a single checkout flow that supports 50+ payment methods across 100+ countries — card, bank transfer, or crypto from any supported chain — instead of manually sending assets to a deposit address. To deposit to Predict, select the Deposit button in the top navigation (or just [click here](https://predict.fun/account/deposit)). Pick your preferred payment method and asset, and follow the on-screen steps — funds land directly in your Predict Smart Wallet once the deposit completes. ### Withdrawals Withdrawals are handled from the [Settings page](https://predict.fun/account/settings). Open the Deposit section there and hit Withdraw. Choose your withdrawal method and destination, confirm the amount and details, and you're good to go. If you sign into Predict using a Web3 wallet, we'll default to that as a withdrawal option. ### Key Exports and Withdrawal from Contract If you want to backup your keys, you can do so via the [Settings page](https://predict.fun/account/settings). Simply click on Export, then choose whether you'd like to copy the private key or seed phrase. Anyone with knowledge of this data can control your funds. If you choose this option, be sure to store your keys in a safe place — and don't share them with anyone. Note that the resulting keys are EOA keys from Privy. To retrieve funds from Predict, you'll need to interact with the ZeroDev smart contract tied to your keys. #### Manually extracting USDT from your ZeroDev smart account Once you've exported your private key, import it into an external wallet such as MetaMask. Next, access the helper contract [here](https://bscscan.com/address/0xf4aa30b537882eca7e69defb68d6f631cda77b00#readContract), navigating to Contract > Read Contract. Expand the third dropdown (encodeUSDTTransfer). You'll now be presented with two fields: * to (address): enter your desired withdrawal address here. * amount (uint256): enter the amount of USDT to withdraw. Once you've double-checked the details, hit Query to produce your payload. Copy/take note of this — you'll need it shortly. Then, search your Deposit address (found [here](https://predict.fun/account/deposit)) on [BscScan](https://bscscan.com/), navigating to Contract > Write Contract as Proxy. Almost there. Connect your wallet (Connect to Web3), then expand execute to reveal three inputs: * execute: enter 0 * execMode (bytes32): enter 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 * executionCalldata: enter the payload copied earlier Once finished, hit Write to withdraw your USDT to your specified withdrawal address. #### Manually extracting BNB from your ZeroDev smart account To withdraw BNB mistakenly deposited to your Predict account, follow the steps above but use the encodeBNBTransfer function instead. Note that you must specify the amount to withdraw in wei — so, to withdraw 1 BNB, you would specify 1000000000000000000. You can use [this calculator](https://bscscan.com/unitconverter) to work out your amount. #### Manually extracting ERC-20s from your ZeroDev smart account For ERC-20 tokens, it's the same process — but with the encodeERC20Transfer function. Additionally, you'll need to specify the token's contract address. # FAQs Find answers to common Predict questions, including how to place limit and market orders, order limits per market, and how market resolution works. #### How do I place a limit order? Navigate to your desired market's page. In the 'Buy' modal, select your preferred action (**Buy** or **Sell**) and order type (**Limit**). Next, choose the share you want to set the order for (**YES** or **NO**). From here, you'll need to input the price that a single share must reach before your order is triggered, and the number of shares you want to buy. For instance, if you wanted to purchase 500 YES shares at a price of 60¢, you'd input **60** in the *Limit Price* field and **500** in the *Shares* field. When this information is provided, you can view your projected outcome should the market resolve in your favor under *To Win*. Finally, select your preferred order expiry from the drop-down (or leave it as is if you don't want it to expire), and click **Create** **Buy Order** / **Create Sell Order**. Once the order is confirmed, it will appear under the **Open Orders** tab on the market. #### How do I place a market order? Navigate to your desired market's page. In the 'Buy' modal, select your preferred action (**Buy** or **Sell**). Next, choose the type of share you want to buy (**YES** or **NO**). Finally, input the amount you'd like to spend to populate the **To Win** and **You Get** fields. If you're happy with the result, hit the **Buy X / Sell X** button to initiate the transaction. {% hint style="warning" %} As a market order takes from the order book and could potentially match with invalid orders, you may receive less shares than estimated. {% endhint %} #### How many orders can I have open concurrently? On a single market, you can have up to **10 limit orders** open at the same time. Note that this is a **per-market limit** — so you could, for example, have 30 orders open across three separate markets. #### When do markets resolve? It depends on the market. You can find this information for any given market on its respective page. #### How do resolutions work? As of March 2026, Predict uses UMA's optimistic oracle for resolutions. # Brand Assets Download official Predict brand assets, including wallpapers, logos, and social media headers and profile pictures. In the ZIP file below, you'll find the following Predict assets: * Wallpapers (desktop and mobile) * Logos * Twitter headers and profile pictures {% file src="/files/scrsqz8fAyydx4RyMopb" %} # Converting Complementary Positions (NO → YES) Learn how to convert NO shares into YES shares across sub-markets in winner-takes-all markets on Predict, without selling and rebuying. On Predict, you can easily swap your NO shares for YES ones on the opposite side — without the hassle of selling and rebuying. {% hint style="info" %} Share conversion is supported only in ‘winner takes all’ markets. In other words, multi-outcome markets where only one option can resolve to YES. Supported markets can be identified by the crown icon on their respective cards. {% endhint %} When you convert NO shares in a supported market, you’ll automatically receive the equivalent amount of YES shares in other sub-markets. Consider a winner-takes-all market with three sub-markets: * **Option A:** YES 48¢ | NO 52¢ * **Option B:** YES 50¢ | NO 50¢ * **Option C:** YES 1¢ | NO 99¢ * **Option D:** YES 1¢ | NO 99¢ Suppose that we own 100 NO shares for Option D, and we want YES shares for Options A-C instead. We could sell our shares and buy these three alternatives, but **Convert** will instead swap them for **100 YES (Option A)**, **100 YES (Option B)** and **100 YES (Option C)**. ### How it works
Clicking the button above will trigger a menu enabling us to select all sub-markets whose NO shares we want to convert. In the event that we want to exchange more than one set of NO shares, we’ll receive: * A corresponding amount of YES shares for the remaining sub-market * A USDT amount On this secondary bullet point, the following formula can be applied to calculate our USDT amount: ``` (number of share types - 1) * number of shares ``` To revisit our example above, suppose that we own 10 NO shares in Option B, Option C and Option D. If we choose to convert them into Option A shares, we’ll receive 10 YES shares for Option A, plus an additional $20 in USDT. {% hint style="info" %} In a case where you choose to convert NO shares from two sub-markets (out of a possible four or more), you will only receive YES shares for the **first** sub-market in the order they're listed. {% endhint %} # Splitting/Merging Shares How Split and Merge work on Predict: turn USDT into a YES/NO share pair, or combine matching shares back into USDT. Complementing the regular buy/sell functionality are *Merge* and *Split*. **Split** is accessible by hovering over **More** in the dropdown on the market's buy/sell modal. **Merge** appears as its own button directly on your Positions table on the [Portfolio](https://predict.fun/portfolio) page, whenever you're holding a mergeable pair of YES/NO shares.
### Merge Use Merge to exit markets where you have both **YES** and **NO** shares. In every market, the value of opposing YES/NO shares always equals $1. So, when you merge shares, you essentially combine these positions to receive a dollar for every pair. Note that merging will only rid you of an equal portion of YES/NO shares — so, for an uneven distribution (e.g., 20 YES and 50 NO), you’ll receive **$20 (20 YES + 20 NO)**, but retain the excess NO shares (**30**). ### Split With the same logic used above (a combination of YES/NO always equals $1), **Split** enables you to *split* USDT into one YES and one NO share in a shared transaction.
# Invites Learn how Predict's invite program works: share your code for a trading fee discount, and earn a share of your referrals' fees and Predict Points. Sure, trading is fun, but did you know you could generate passive income simply by referring your friends and followers to Predict? That's right. Not only will you give them the gift of **10% off trading fees**, but you'll pocket **10% of *****their*** **trading fees (paid in USDT and shares), and 10% of all their Predict Points, in perpetuity!** All it takes is for them to click on one of your shared links. #### How do I get my invite code? Easy. Just deposit $10. #### How do I share my invite code? Once unlocked, simply head over to the [**Invite**](https://predict.fun/invite) page and copy the URL from the modal at the top of the page. {% hint style="info" %} Pro tip: you can add the *?ref=...* part to *any* Predict URL to refer users — this can come in handy if you're sharing a particular market! {% endhint %} # Boosted PP Markets Learn how Boosted PP markets work on Predict, where selected markets offer a larger share of weekly Predict Points than standard markets. On regular markets, you earn **Predict Points (PP)** at a standard rate. But not all markets are regular. If you see the gold **PP Boosted** badge on a card, it’s party time: participating in the selected markets means you’ll accrue more Points than you would on a non-boosted one.
Soon, you’ll see them crop up on markets across Predict. #### How much more PP does the market get? PP boosted markets will receive a larger share of the points given out to the community each week. #### How many markets are eligible? At any given time, up to six markets will be boosted. Keep an eye out for new golden PP boosts, there will be multiple markets being boosted a day. #### What activities earn Predict Points? The same as always — read more here. # How Resolution Works on Predict Learn how Predict resolves markets using UMA's optimistic oracle, from proposal and challenge periods to automated, on-chain settlement. As of March 2026, all new markets on Predict are served by [UMA’s Optimistic Oracle](https://news.predict.fun/predict-x-uma-automated-resolutions-are-here/). **The TL;DR?** Faster, automated resolutions with less human intervention and more on-chain goodness. As UMA's favored prediction market partner on BNB Chain, Predict is among the first platforms to integrate UMA's automated resolution infrastructure at this scale. ### What Is UMA? UMA (*Universal Market Access*) is a decentralized oracle protocol by Risk Labs. It brings real-world data (election results, sports scores, economic figures, and more) onto blockchains without a need for centralized authorities. Rather than pulling from a single data feed, UMA uses an optimistic oracle model: anyone can submit a resolution proposal — and it’s considered correct unless challenged (the optimistic part). This way, resolutions tend to be much quicker in straightforward cases, and appropriately contested in case of disagreement. With this infrastructure, UMA powers some of the largest dApps and prediction markets available, including Polymarket. ### How the Resolution Process Works #### The Proposal Once a market expires and the outcome is known, anyone can submit a resolution proposal by: * Selecting the winning outcome * Posting a **bond** (collateral that will be forfeited if the proposal is incorrect) * Submitting it to the UMA Oracle If the proposal goes undisputed, the proposer recovers their bond plus a reward for honest participation. #### The Challenge Period After a proposal is submitted, a short window opens during which anyone can dispute it. * **In case of no dispute:** the proposal is accepted and the market resolves. This is the most common path. * **In case of dispute:** a second proposal round begins. If that is also disputed, the question escalates to a full UMA token holder vote. #### Dispute and Escalation In case of dispute, the challenger posts a “counter-bond” of equal size. This triggers either a new proposal round or, if it's the second dispute, a structured debate and vote. During the debate period, both sides can submit evidence. UMA token holders then vote on the correct outcome, with economic incentives designed to reward accuracy and penalize dishonesty. #### The Resolution Once the challenge period passes without dispute (or once a vote concludes) the market resolves: * **Winning shares** become redeemable for $1 each * **Losing shares** become worthless * Trading on the market closes ### How Long Does Resolution Take? In cases where the outcome is undisputed, it takes **roughly two hours** for the market to resolve. In a dispute, this timeline can extend for several hours to a day (and in case of UMA vote escalation, it can be as long as a week).
With that said, with the economic incentives at play, the vast majority of markets are resolved undisputed. ### What This Means for Predict Users Predict's integration with UMA means resolutions are: * **Automated:** no manual intervention required in the standard case * **Fast:** most markets settle within hours of the outcome being known * **Trustless:** outcomes are verified and settled on-chain * **Disputable:** any user can challenge an incorrect proposal, keeping the system honest This infrastructure also allows Predict to expand its market coverage significantly, and lays the groundwork for future features like user-generated markets. # Enabling MFA on Your Account Learn how to enable multi-factor authentication on your Predict account using a passkey or authenticator app for stronger login security. Multi-factor authentication (MFA) adds an additional layer of security to your Predict account, by requiring an extra verification when you log in. That means that, even if your credentials (X, Google, email) are compromised, malicious actors can't get into your account without also having access to your passkey or authenticator app. {% hint style="info" %} We STRONGLY recommend enabling MFA on your account (doing so will take you less than a minute). {% endhint %} ### How to Add MFA to Your Predict Account On Predict, you have two options for MFA: **passkeys** or **authenticators**. Both of these are strong options — though these days, passkeys tend to be the preferred option, both for convenience and security. In fact, many services do away with passwords altogether, in favor of the cryptographic magic of passkeys. Whichever option you prefer, you can activate it by going to your [account settings](https://predict.fun/account/settings) and locating the **Multifactor Authentication** section.
Hit **Enable** to launch the flow, where you'll be asked to select your preferred option. Follow the steps to secure your account. # Maker Rebates Predict now pays market makers to provide liquidity. ## Why Maker Rebates? Tight spreads and deep order books make markets better for everyone — takers get better prices, and makers get filled more often. Makers already pay no fee on Predict, but until now, quoting tight and resting size near the touch earned nothing extra. Maker rebates change that. Makers now earn a share of the fee takers pay on every fill, rewarding the behavior that makes markets efficient. ## How It Works On every fill on an eligible market, the maker receives up to **30% of the taker fee** paid on that fill. The rebate is paid directly in the fill transaction (without any additional claim step or minimum payout). {% hint style="info" %} **Worked example:** A taker buys $1,000 worth of YES shares on an eligible market, paying a 1% taker fee ($10). The maker on the other side of that fill receives $3 (30% of $10), automatically, as part of the same transaction. {% endhint %} Because the rebate comes directly out of the fee collected on that fill, it applies to every maker on eligible markets automatically. ## Which Markets Are Eligible? Maker rebates apply to the following market categories: * UP/DOWN (25%) * Crypto (25%) * Finance (30%) * Politics (30%) * Tech (30%) * Economics (30%) * Culture (30%) * Weather (30%) Eligible markets show a **Maker Rebate** badge in the order book, so you can tell at a glance where rebates are active. Coverage may expand to other market categories in the future. ## How Long Does the Program Run? The maker rebate trial will run until late October, and may be extended later. ## How Do I See My Rebates? Rebates you've earned are visible on the **Portfolio** page, under the **Maker Rebate** tab. You can view them two ways: * **USDT Distribution** — amount, distribution time, and a link to the on-chain transaction. * **Shares Distribution** — shares distributed, outcome, price at distribution, value, market, distribution time, and transaction link. ## Does this affect my Predict Points? Maker rebates and Predict Points (PP) are complementary, not competing. Points reward resting liquidity — orders sitting on the book. Rebates reward execution. You can earn both from the same order. ## FAQ
Do I need to sign up for maker rebates? No. If you're the maker on a fill on an eligible market, the rebate is paid automatically.
Which orders earn rebates? The maker side of a matched fill on supported markets (i.e., your resting limit order gets filled by a taker).
What happens when the program ends? Predict will review liquidity data gathered during the trial and decide whether to extend the program, expand it to more markets, or end it.
# Join The Team Want to join the Predict team? Find out what openings BNB's favorite prediction market is currently hiring for. Predict.fun is a decentralized prediction market, built on BNB Chain, backed by YZi Labs and the official prediction market provider for Binance. We empower users to trade on outcomes across crypto, sports and real-world events. What differentiates Predict? **Its DeFi core**. User collateral (USDT) remains productive while positions are open, eliminating idle capital and opportunity cost. We create on-chain market infrastructure that's fast, scalable and integrated with real-time trading systems. We're looking for builders to join us as we write the next chapter in prediction market history. *** We're currently hiring for the following roles: * [Staff Frontend Engineer](https://docs.predict.fun/hiring/join-the-team/staff-frontend-engineer) * [Principal Backend Engineer](https://docs.predict.fun/hiring/join-the-team/principal-backend-engineer) * [AI Operator](https://docs.predict.fun/hiring/join-the-team/ai-operator) * [Markets Operator](https://docs.predict.fun/hiring/join-the-team/markets-operator)
# Staff Frontend Engineer Predict is hiring a Staff Frontend Engineer to build real-time trading interfaces in React, Next.js, and TypeScript. Remote, competitive salary. ### About the Role Predict.fun is hiring a Staff Frontend Engineer to build and improve the user-facing experience of our exchange. This role focuses on developing real-time web applications that directly interface with trading systems and on-chain data. You'll work closely with backend engineers and the design and product team to build responsive, reliable, and intuitive interfaces where correctness, and user experience directly impact trading outcomes. You'll operate with high ownership in a fast-moving fully remote environment, taking features from idea to production while shaping frontend architecture, performance, and reliability standards across the platform. ### What You'll Do #### Build high-performance trading interfaces Develop responsive, real-time interfaces for trading, orderbooks, and market data using React, Next.js, and TypeScript. Ensure UI systems remain fast, accurate, and resilient under live market conditions. #### Own frontend architecture Design and evolve frontend systems across state management, data fetching, caching, and rendering strategies. Make decisions that balance performance, scalability, and maintainability.\ \ You will have direct influence to help shape the functionality and design of our product. #### Work closely with backend and contract systems Collaborate with backend engineers on API design, data contracts, and system behavior. Handle edge cases such as partial failures, stale data, and real-time updates gracefully when orders and trading are core to the experience. #### Optimize performance & reliability Continuously improve frontend performance (rendering, network-usage and reliability). Implement logging and error tracking to quickly detect and resolve production issues.\ \ Take ownership of frontend reliability during incidents and assist with ensuring code quality remains high and user reported bugs are dealt with in a timely manner. #### Ship end-to-end features Own complex features from scoping and design through implementation and launch. Work closely with product and design to deliver high-quality user experiences. ### What We're Looking For * 3–5+ years of frontend web engineering experience * Strong and demonstrable experience with React, Next.js, and TypeScript * Experience working closely with Websockets and GraphQL APIs * High ownership and the ability to operate independently in a remote environment * Ability to debug and investigate complex user reported production bugs * Product-minded with strong attention to user experience * Clear cross-team communication during planning and development * AI-assisted development, grounded in strong engineering judgment. #### Nice to Have * Experience with trading platforms, marketplaces, or financial systems * Background in crypto, Web3, or DeFi * Experience improving frontend observability and reliability practices ### Benefits * Competitive salary with meaningful long-term upside * Remote-friendly team * Top-tier hardware setup ### Apply Now Interested in shaping the future of prediction markets? Send your CV and cover letter to us at . # Principal Backend Engineer Predict is hiring a Principal Backend Engineer to build high-performance trading systems in Rust and TypeScript. Remote, competitive salary. ### About the Role Predict.fun is hiring a Principal Backend Engineer to work with part of a lean team to build and scale the core systems and APIs powering our exchange. This role focuses on high-performance backend services, APIs, and trading infrastructure. You'll work on everything from GraphQL and REST APIs and external integrations, to high performance orderbooks and matching engines. Systems where correctness, latency, and reliability directly impact real capital. You'll work with high ownership and autonomy in a fast-moving environment, building both off-chain services and components that interact closely with on-chain systems. ### What You'll Do #### Build and scale backend trading systems Design and implement performant backend services in Rust and TypeScript that power our orderbook, on-chain execution, and realtime exchange operations. There is a core focus on code quality, low latency and correctness. #### Develop APIs and integrations Own and extend internal and public facing REST APIs used by traders, market makers, and enterprise partners such as Binance interacting with the platform. Optimize systems for throughput, latency, and fault tolerance under real trading conditions. #### Real-world indexing pipelines Build services that interact with smart contracts, index high-volume blockchain data, and ensure consistency between on-chain state and backend systems. #### Drive engineering quality Work closely with product, trading, and operations to ship systems that directly impact users and liquidity whilst participating in architecture decisions, code reviews, and system design to maintain a high technical bar. #### Have infrastructure ownership Our backend engineering team takes ownership over the full CI/CD pipeline, infrastructure monitoring and observability and system uptime. Past experience working closely in a DevOps or similar capacity will be heavily favourable. There is also room to improve at this on the job. ### What We're Looking For * 3–8+ years of backend engineering experience * Strong experience with Rust; Rust is preferred, other lower-level language experience such as C++, Go, Zig can substitute for Rust. * Experience building high-performance APIs and data-intensive systems * Solid understanding of PostgreSQL and event-driven architectures * Background in Blockchain, DeFi, or Fintech systems * Ability to work independently in a high-autonomy environment * Familiarity with maintaining or contributing to AWS EKS, Terraform, Helm and VPC Networking * AI-assisted development, grounded in strong engineering judgment. Nice to have: * Experience with trading systems, orderbooks, or matching engines * Experience working on low-latency systems * Extensive experience working with Rust in production settings *** ### Benefits * Competitive salary with meaningful long-term upside * Remote-friendly team * Top-tier hardware setup ### Apply Now Interested in shaping the future of prediction markets? Send your CV and cover letter to us at . # AI Operator Predict is hiring an AI Operator to build LLM-powered workflows with structured outputs. Rust/Node.js and PostgreSQL experience needed. Remote. ### About the Role Predict.fun is looking for an AI Operator to build LLM-driven tools and workflows. You will focus on building robust control flows where LLMs return structured outputs that directly drive application logic, orchestration, and multi-step reasoning. This is a technical role that blends software engineering and LLM prompting. You will help create systems where AI agents and models help automate or speed up complex tasks. ### What You'll Do #### Design and implement AI workflows using structured outputs Provided some requirements and guidance, you will be responsible for building and maintaining tools and workflows, either standalone or integrated with our backend systems, that help automate complex tasks. #### Collaborate with the team to improve reliability, quality, and cost-efficiency of LLM-powered features The tools and workflows you contribute to will need monitoring to make sure they stay useful, reliable and cost-effective. Both expense monitoring and tracking key metrics around error rates will be an important part of this role. ### What We're Looking For * AI Workflow Experience: Practical experience coding AI/LLM applications, particularly using structured outputs to control application logic and multi-step workflows (e.g., via OpenRouter, OpenAI, Anthropic, Groq, or similar APIs). * 1–2+ years of software engineering experience, preferably backend. * Solid understanding of PostgreSQL. * Proficiency with Rust and/or Node.js (TypeScript); Rust is preferred, other lower-level language experience such as C++ or Go can substitute for Rust. * Blockchain Understanding: Working knowledge of blockchain concepts (smart contracts, wallets, on-chain transactions, etc.). #### Nice-to-Haves * Experience or familiarity with prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket, Kalshi, or similar platforms). ### Benefits * Competitive salary with meaningful long-term upside * Remote-friendly team * Top-tier hardware setup * Opportunity to work at the intersection of AI, blockchain, and prediction markets. * Direct impact on cutting-edge products. * Growing your AI-driven development skills in a supervised environment. ### Apply Now Interested in shaping the future of prediction markets? Send your CV and cover letter to us at .
# Markets Operator Predict is hiring a Markets Operator to draft market rules and turn emerging events into clear, tradeable prediction markets. Remote, competitive package. ## About the Role Predict.fun is looking for a **Markets Operator** to help launch and manage the markets we offer. You'll help draft, review and manage new markets, and also identify promising events that are appealing to users. In this role, you'll have the chance to shape the topics that people forecast. ## What You'll Do ### Market creation and review The majority of your work will involve writing tight rules and reviewing market rules to anticipate possible issues, inconsistencies and edge cases. Market wording is fundamental to good trader UX, and you'll be a core contributor to making sure our markets are crystal clear to traders. ### Research and discovery Surface trending events and help turn them into markets. This requires the ability to quickly pick up the signal amid the noise, as well as being able to quickly structure a market that is coherent, solid and appealing to users. ## What We're Looking For * **Highly proficient in English**. You must be able to write concise rules that cover all the key details while remaining legible. * **Strong analytical skills**. Being able to drill into market rules to spot potential problems and prevent. * **Willingness to explore new topics**. You'll frequently have to assist with novel or unfamiliar topics, which will require you to quickly learn the key facts. **Nice-to-Haves** * **Experience with prediction markets**, especially around how rules and resolution work. * Attention to detail. ## Benefits * Remote-friendly team * Competitive package * Direct impact on cutting-edge products * Growing your technical writing skills in a supervised environment ### Apply Now Interested in shaping the future of prediction markets? Send your CV and cover letter to us at . # Terms of Service Predict's Terms of Service: the rules governing your use of Predict.fun's Interfaces, Features, and the Predict protocol on BNB Chain. *Last Updated: November 18, 2025* ### 1. Introduction These Terms of Use provide the terms and conditions under which you, whether personally or on behalf of an entity (“you” or “your”), are permitted to use, interact with or otherwise access the Interfaces or Features provided by PDF Labs Limited (“the Company,” “we,” “us,” or “our”). These Terms of Use, together with any documents and additional terms or policies that are appended hereto or that expressly incorporate these Terms of Use by reference as well as our Privacy Policy (collectively, the “Terms”), constitute a binding agreement between you and us. These Terms are applicable to (i) all content, informational functionality, and information features (the “Content Features”) available on Predict.fun (the “Site”) and any other site to which the Terms are posted (each, as applicable, an “Interface”) and (ii) software, including but not limited to the blockchain-based, smart contract protocol (the “Protocol”) known as Predict (hereinafter, the “Platform”), that may be available to users by connecting their self-hosted wallets via an Interface, including but not limited to the Site (the “Technology Features” and together with the Content Features, the “Features”). The Site primarily functions to provide the Content Features — that is, news and information about global current events. If you are in a Restricted Jurisdiction (as defined below), you are only permitted to use the Content Features on the Site or any other Interface and may not use the Site or any other Interface for any other purpose and you may not access the Technology Features, including and in particular the Platform. NOTICE: PLEASE REVIEW THE TERMS CAREFULLY. BY ACCESSING, INTERACTING WITH OR USING THE SITE OR ANY OTHER INTERFACE (INCLUDING BY LINKING YOUR WALLET, OR OTHERWISE CREATING AN IDENTIFIER ON THE SITE), ANY INTERFACE OR ANY FEATURE, YOU AGREE THAT YOU ARE ABLE TO ENTER INTO A BINDING AGREEMENT AND, AS SUCH, HAVE READ, UNDERSTOOD, AND AGREE TO BE BOUND BY THE TERMS, INCLUDING THE BINDING ARBITRATION AGREEMENT AND CLASS ACTION WAIVER BELOW. IF YOU DO NOT AGREE TO ALL OF THE TERMS, YOU ARE NOT AUTHORIZED TO INTERACT WITH, ACCESS OR USE ANY INTERFACE OR FEATURE. USE OF THE SITE, PLATFORM OR TECHNOLOGY FEATURES FOR TRADING IS NOT PERMITTED BY PERSONS OR ENTITIES WHO RESIDE IN, ARE LOCATED IN, ARE INCORPORATED IN, HAVE A REGISTERED OFFICE IN, OR HAVE THEIR PRINCIPAL PLACE OF BUSINESS IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, UNITED KINGDOM, FRANCE, ONTARIO, SINGAPORE, POLAND, THAILAND, AUSTRALIA, BELGIUM, TAIWAN, OR ANY OTHER RESTRICTED TERRITORY AS DEFINED BELOW (ANY SUCH PERSON OR ENTITY FROM THESE JURISDICTIONS, A “RESTRICTED PERSON”). ADDITIONALLY, USE OF THE SITE, PLATFORM OR TECHNOLOGY FEATURES FOR TRADING IS NOT PERMITTED BY PERSONS OR ENTITIES (I) ON BEHALF OF ANY RESTRICTED PERSON(S) OR (II) DIRECTED, COORDINATED OR CONTROLLED BY ANY RESTRICTED PERSON (ANY SUCH PERSON OR ENTITY ALSO SHALL BE CONSIDERED A RESTRICTED PERSON). THERE ARE NO EXCEPTIONS; THEREFORE, IF YOU ARE A RESTRICTED PERSON, THEN DO NOT ATTEMPT TO USE THE SITE, PLATFORM OR ANY OF THE TECHNOLOGY FEATURES TO TRADE. USE OF A VIRTUAL PRIVATE NETWORK (“VPN”) OR ANY SIMILAR TOOL TO ATTEMPT TO OR TO CIRCUMVENT THE RESTRICTIONS SET FORTH HEREIN IS STRICTLY PROHIBITED. ANY PERSON IN VIOLATION OF THESE TERMS MAY HAVE THEIR WALLETS PLACED IN CLOSE-ONLY MODE AND BE PROHIBITED FROM ACCESSING THE TECHNOLOGY FEATURES IN OUR SOLE DISCRETION. ### 2. The Site and Features #### a) Description of the Site and Features The Site contains different functionality – one part provides information about global news and events (the “Information Site”), while another part contains a feature that allows users to send messages and/or transactions to the BNB Chain blockchain network in an entirely self-directed manner in order to engage in trades for certain event-based contracts (the “Contracts”). The Company does not operate a cryptoasset or derivatives exchange platform or offer trade execution or clearing services and, therefore, does not have control concerning your transactions using the Features. The pricing information provided on the Site relating to Contracts does not represent an offer, a solicitation of an offer, or any advice regarding, or recommendation to enter into, a transaction with the Company. Even when the Site appears to be dynamic (e.g., updating or providing new displays when you – on your own accord – provide certain information), at no time is the Company taking action directed by you or on your behalf. In addition, if you click the “Connect Wallet” feature on the Site such that your self-hosted cryptocurrency wallet (“Wallet”) is able to provide information to be transmitted to a blockchain network or other blockchain-based application, you should note that the Company (i) is not involved in providing or transmitting any such information to networks, (ii) cannot transmit any information to networks or otherwise assist in any transaction, (iii) never has access to and cannot control or provide guarantees relating to your Wallet and (iv) has no authority over and does not take possession or custody of your cryptoassets at any time, except as otherwise discussed herein. This also means that the Company is unable to assist with transactions: please be vigilant in interacting with any immutable blockchain technology. Further, the Company does not own or control any of the deployed Contracts, the underlying software through which blockchain networks are formed or the Protocol is deployed. In general, the software underlying blockchain networks, including the BNB Chain network, is open source, such that anyone can use, copy, modify, and distribute it. You are solely responsible for familiarizing yourself with your Wallet and its safety and security features, including any private keys and passwords associated therewith. We will not and cannot access your private key, password, or any cryptoassets held within your Wallet nor can it reverse any transactions you initiate with your Wallet (or otherwise). We cannot be responsible or liable in any way for how you use your Wallet. You should also familiarize yourself with the risks associated with transacting on blockchain networks, including but not limited to smart contract vulnerabilities, front end vulnerabilities, hacks, phishing attacks, social engineering attacks, cryptoasset volatility and transaction irreversibility. The Company does not own or control the Protocol or the BNB Chain blockchain network on which the Protocol has been deployed. The Company is not responsible for the operation of the underlying BNB Chain blockchain network, and the Company does not make any guarantee of the network’s functionality, security, or availability. The Company has no ability in any way to control, maintain, provide, operate, or improve the blockchain network underlying the Protocol nor the activity or data thereon. The Company is not responsible for the activities of persons or entities who develop or use applications or who validate or verify transactions or other operations related to blockchain networks operated by third parties. The Company cannot control how blockchain networks operated by third parties market their blockchain networks and users should not assume any blockchain networks operated by third parties are affiliated with the Company. All transactions broadcast to the applicable blockchain network via your Wallet may require the payment of non-refundable network transaction fees, which shall be borne entirely by you. We do not effectuate, facilitate or control any transactions initiated via the Platform, and the Company will not be responsible for the result of any transactions, including but not limited to failed, inadvertent, or fraudulent transactions that may result in loss of funds or transaction fees or any other loss or harm to you. The Company does not act as custodian, trustee, agent, intermediary, or broker for any user. All transactions are executed solely by users through their own self-hosted wallets. The Company never takes possession or control of any cryptoassets. #### b) Your Acknowledgement Relating to the Site and Information on the Site You hereby acknowledge and agree that all information provided as part of the Content Features in connection with your access and use of the Site is intended for informational purposes only. The Site strives to provide accurate information, but there is no guarantee or warranty that the information is updated, complete, or timely. For this reason, you acknowledge and agree that you are not relying on any of the information on the Site or any other Interface for any purpose and expressly (i) disclaim any reliance on any information on the Site or within the Features, and (ii) acknowledge that the Company will not be liable for any such information provided. From time to time the Site, any other Interface or the Features may be inaccessible or inoperable for any reason, including, without limitation: (A) equipment malfunctions; (B) periodic maintenance procedures or repairs that the Company or any of its suppliers or contractors may undertake from time to time; (C) causes beyond the Company’s control or that the Company could not reasonably foresee; (D) disruptions and temporary or permanent unavailability of underlying blockchain infrastructure; or (E) unavailability of third-party service providers or external partners for any reason. You should take all steps to independently verify any information on the Site and any Interface on which you intend to rely and should not take action based solely on any information contained on any Interfaces, including blog posts, data, articles, links to third-party content, social media content (including Discord, Lens, Farcaster or X), news feeds, tutorials and videos. None of the information provided on the Site, any other Interface, or through the Features should be construed as professional or investment advice, and the Company does not owe any duties and does not have any obligations to you based on the information provided on the Site, any other Interface, or through the Features. You acknowledge and agree that all information provided in connection with your access and use of the Site, any other Interface, and the Features is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as professional advice. You should not take, or refrain from taking, any action based on any information contained on the Site or any other Interface, or any other information that we make available at any time, including, without limitation, blog posts, articles, links to third-party content, discord content, news feeds, tutorials, social media content, and videos. Before you make any financial, legal, or other decisions involving the Features, you should seek independent professional advice from an individual who is licensed and qualified in the area for which such advice would be appropriate. The Terms are not intended to, and do not, create or impose any fiduciary duties on us. You further agree that the only duties and obligations that we owe you are those set out expressly in these Terms. None of the information provided on the Site, any other Interface, or through any of the Features shall be interpreted as an invitation or inducement to (i) exercise any rights to acquire, dispose of, underwrite, or convert any cryptoassets or digital assets or (ii) buy, sell, or induce a user to buy or sell any cryptoassets or digital assets. Some content on the Site may be automatically generated, algorithmically aggregated, or derived from third-party data sources and may contain inaccuracies or errors. The Company does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of such content. Nothing on the Site, Platform, Contracts or Features constitutes a financial promotion, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities, derivatives, or regulated financial instruments. Contracts available through the Platform are not financial instruments and do not represent any ownership or rights in any entity or asset. The Company is not acting as an investment adviser, trading, tax, legal or other adviser to any person or entity. ### 3. Modifications #### a) To The Terms We reserve the right, in our sole discretion, to modify the Terms at any time or from time to time. The modified Terms will be posted on the Site and any other Interface and will provide the last updated date at the top. Any modified Terms will become effective upon posting. By continuing to access, use or otherwise interact with any Interface or Feature after the effective date of any modification to the Terms, you are providing your explicit agreement to be bound by the Terms as modified. If you do not agree to be bound by any updated Terms, you are prohibited from using, accessing, or otherwise interacting with the Interfaces or Features. It is your responsibility to check any Interface you use regularly for modifications to the Terms. #### b) To the Site, any other Interface, or the Features We reserve the right, in our sole discretion, to modify, substitute, eliminate, restrict access to, or add to the Site, any other Interface, or any Feature at any time and from time to time, with or without notice to you, including deleting or otherwise materially modifying content and information. We may, at our sole discretion, from time to time and with or without prior notice to you, modify, suspend or disable (temporarily or permanently) the Site, any other Interface, or the Features, in whole or in part, for any reason whatsoever, including, without limitation, to only allow open contracts to be closed. Upon termination of your access, your right to use the Site, any other Interface, or the Features will immediately cease. We will not be liable for any losses suffered by you resulting from any modification to any Site, any other Interface, or Features or from any modification, suspension, or termination, for any reason, of your access to all or any portion of the Site, any other Interface, or the Features. The Site, any other Interface, and the Features may evolve, which means the Company may apply changes, replace, or discontinue (temporarily or permanently) the Site, any other Interface, or the Features at any time in its sole discretion. The following sections of these Terms will survive any termination of your access to the Site, any other Interface, or the Features, regardless of the reasons for its expiration or termination, in addition to any other provision which by law or by its nature should survive: Sections 5, 7-10. ### 4. Your Responsibilities, Representations & Prohibited Conduct #### a) Your Representations As a condition to accessing or using the Site or the Features, you represent and warrant to the Company the following: Of Age and Legal Authority. The Site, any other Interface, and Features are intended only for users who are 18 years of age or older. If you are entering into the Terms on behalf of an entity, such as the company you work for, you represent to us that you have the legal authority to bind such an entity. If you do not meet these requirements, you are prohibited from accessing, using or otherwise interacting with the Site, any other Interface, or Features. Sanctions. You represent and warrant that you are not, and for the duration of the time you use the Site, any other Interface, and Features, will not be (i) the subject of economic or trade sanctions administered or enforced by any governmental authority or otherwise designated on any list of prohibited or restricted parties; (ii) in contravention of any laws and regulations pertaining to anti-money laundering or terrorist financing; (iii) included on the List of Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons maintained by the US Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) or on any list pursuant to European Union (EU) and/or United Kingdom (UK) regulations (as the latter are extended to the BVI by statutory instrument); or (iv) operationally based or domiciled in a country or territory in which sanctions imposed by the United Nations (whether through the Security Council or otherwise), OFAC, the EU and/or the UK apply, or otherwise pursuant to sanctions imposed by the United Nations, OFAC, EU, or UK. If at any point the above is no longer true, then you must immediately cease using the Site, any other Interface, and Features. Restricted Jurisdictions. You acknowledge and agree that you are not permitted to access, use or trade with the Contracts on the Platform if you are residing in, a citizen of, organized in or located in the following jurisdictions (collectively, the “Restricted Jurisdictions”): a jurisdiction or territory that is the subject of comprehensive country-wide, territory-wide, or regional economic sanctions by the United States, including but not limited to Iran, Syria, Cuba, North Korea, and the Crimea, Dontesk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine; the United States, United Kingdom, France, Ontario, Singapore, Poland, Thailand, or Taiwan. Wallet Configuration. You represent and warrant that you – and only you – are responsible for properly configuring, as applicable, and using the Site, any other Interface, or the Features or incorporating the Features into your applications or Wallet and for taking appropriate action to secure your data, including without limitation, financial or token information and private keys. No VPN To Circumvent or Attempt to Circumvent. You do not, and will not, use VPN software or any other privacy or anonymization tools or techniques to circumvent, or attempt to circumvent, any restrictions that apply to the Site, any other Interface, or the Features. Sophistication. You represent and warrant that you possess sufficient knowledge, market sophistication, professional advice, experience and skills to engage with the Site, any other Interface, and the Features, including the Platform if you are permitted to use it, and that you have the requisite understanding of blockchain technology, cryptoassets and cryptography to be able to engage with the Features. Applicable Law. Your access to the Site, any other Interface, and Features is not (i) prohibited by and does not otherwise violate or assist you to violate any domestic or foreign law, rule, statute, regulation, by-law, order, protocol, code, decree, or another directive, requirement, or guideline, published or in force that applies to or is otherwise intended to govern or regulate any person, property, transaction, activity, event or other matter, including any rule, order, judgment, directive or other requirement or guideline issued by any domestic or foreign federal, provincial or state, municipal, local or other governmental, regulatory, judicial or administrative authority having jurisdiction over the Company, you, the Site, any other Interface, or the Features, or as otherwise duly enacted, enforceable by law, the common law or equity (collectively, “Applicable Laws”); or (ii) contribute to or facilitate any illegal activity. You represent and warrant that you will comply with all Applicable Laws, and you will not use the Site, any other Interface, or the Features if the laws of your country, or any Applicable Law, prohibit you from doing so. ​​ Financial Risks. Use of the Features, in particular entering into Contracts on the Platform, may carry financial risk. You acknowledge and understand that Contracts are inherently risky by their nature and participation in Contracts could result in the loss of the full amount supplied. Contracts such as the Contracts available on the Platform are highly experimental, risky, and volatile. Transactions entered into in connection with the Contracts are irreversible, final and there are no refunds. You acknowledge and agree that you will access and use the Site, any other Interface, and the Features, including the Contracts and the Platform, at your own risk. You acknowledge that prices shown on the interface may not reflect executable on-chain prices and that slippage, MEV extraction, network congestion, and other blockchain dynamics may materially affect execution outcomes. The risk of loss in transacting in cryptoassets using Contracts can be substantial. You should, therefore, carefully consider whether such transactions are suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. Further, such risks and adverse outcomes may be exacerbated when leverage and/or derivative products are used and we may, at any time and in our sole discretion, elect to suspend or terminate our support of any or all supported Contracts. BY USING THE PLATFORM TO TRADE AND ENTER INTO CONTRACTS, YOU CAN LOSE UP TO THE ENTIRE AMOUNT OF THE CRYPTOASSETS SUPPLIED TO THE CONTRACT. Contract Resolution. You acknowledge and understand that the Company is not involved in nor responsible for the resolution of any Contracts displayed on the Platform. You further acknowledge and understand that all Contracts displayed on the Platform are resolved by various on-chain oracles. The Company does not control, guarantee, verify, or warrant the accuracy, timing, availability, or operation of any oracle mechanism, and shall not be liable for any delay, outage, manipulation, inaccuracy, or failure in any oracle or oracle provider. You acknowledge and agree that the Company is not responsible for any disputes related to the resolution of any Contracts and that any such disputes shall be made through the prescribed process through the respective oracles. #### b) Your Responsibilities & Prohibited Conduct You agree to access, use or otherwise interact with the Site, any other Interface, and Features only in an authorized, proper and appropriate manner and in accordance with these Terms and with all applicable laws. You agree that you will not: * Violate any applicable laws or regulations through your access to or use of the Site, any other Interface, or the Features; * Violate the Terms; * Engage in any activity that violates Applicable Law; * Exploit the Site, any other Interface, or Features for any unauthorized purpose; * Circumvent or attempt to circumvent any content-filtering techniques, security measures or access controls that the Company employs on the Site, including, without limitation, through the use of a VPN or similar measures; * Provide false, inaccurate, or misleading information while using the Site, any other Interface, or the Features or engage in activity that operates to defraud the Company, other users of the Features, or any other person; * Harvest or otherwise collect information from the Site, any other Interface, or the Features for any unauthorized purpose; * Engage in activity that violates any Applicable Laws, rule, or regulation concerning the integrity of the Site, any other Interface, and the Features, including (but not limited to): (i) any fraudulent act or scheme to defraud, deceive, trick or mislead; (ii) front-running; (iii) fraudulent trading; (iv) fictitious transactions; (v) pre-arranged or non-competitive transactions; (vi) cornering, or attempted cornering; (vii) violations of bids or offers; (viii) wash trading (e.g., placing or accepting buy and sell orders in the same contract, where you know or reasonably should know that the purpose of the orders is to avoid taking a bona fide market position exposed to market risk); (ix) manipulation; (x) spoofing (i.e., placing buy or sell orders without a bona fide intent to transact and with the intent to cancel before execution); (xi) knowingly making any bid or offer for the purpose of making a market price that does not reflect the true state of the market; or (xii) any other trading activity that, in the reasonable judgment of the Company is abusive, improper or disruptive; * Use the Site, any other Interface, or Features in any manner that could disable, overburden, damage, or impair the Site, any other Interface, or Features or interfere with any other party’s use or enjoyment or the Site, any other Interface, or Features; * Use the Site, any other Interface, or the Features, in any way that is, in our sole discretion, libelous, defamatory, profane, obscene, pornographic, sexually explicit, indecent, lewd, vulgar, suggestive, harassing, stalking, hateful, threatening, offensive, discriminatory, bigoted, abusive, inflammatory, fraudulent, deceptive, or otherwise objectionable or likely or intended to incite, threaten, facilitate, promote, or encourage hate, racial intolerance, or violent acts against others; * Use the Site, any other Interface, or the Features for or on behalf of any person residing in a jurisdiction that we have, in our sole discretion, determined is a jurisdiction where the use of the Site, any other Interface, or the Features is prohibited, including all Restricted Jurisdictions; * Reverse engineer, disassemble, or decompile the Interfaces or Features or apply any other process or procedure to derive the source code of any software included in the Interfaces or Features except to the extent applicable law does not allow this restriction or such rights have been expressly granted to you under a separate license; * Sublicense, sell, or otherwise distribute the Interfaces or Features, or any portion thereof; * Use any data mining tools, robots, crawlers, or similar data gathering and extraction tools to scrape or otherwise remove data from the Site, any other Interface, or Features; * Use any manual process to monitor or copy any of the material on the Site, any other Interface, or Features or for any other unauthorized purpose without our prior written consent; * Introduce any viruses, trojan horses, worms, logic bombs, or other material which is malicious or technologically harmful to the Site, any other Interface, or Features; * Attempt to gain unauthorized access to, interfere with, damage, or disrupt any parts of the Site, any other Interface, or Features, the server(s) on which the Site, any other Interface, or Features are stored, or any server, computer or database connected to the Site, any other Interface, or Features; or * Attack the Site, any other Interface, or Features via a denial-of-service attack or a distributed denial-of-service attack or otherwise attempt to interfere with the proper working of the Site, any other Interface, or Features. You acknowledge and agree that in the event that you use the Site, any other Interface, or Feature in a potentially prohibited manner, we may investigate and we reserve the right, in our sole discretion, to (i) terminate your access to the Site, any other Interface, and/or Features, (ii) prohibit you from participating in any reward or incentive programs or product launches and (iii) take any other action the Company deems reasonable or necessary, including cooperating with law enforcement or bringing claims against you if they result in harm or damage to the Company, to rectify the prohibited conduct or any consequences resulting therefrom. You hereby acknowledge and agree that using the Site, any other Interface, and/or Features may result in tax consequences. It is your sole responsibility to determine whether there are any tax consequences from any transactions you initiate using the Site, any other Interface, or Features, and you are solely responsible for ensuring compliance with applicable tax laws in your tax resident jurisdiction. #### c) Additional Information The Company or a third party acting on behalf of the Company may, from time to time, request additional information from you, including, but not limited to, information to confirm that you are not a Restricted Person. If you do not provide such information within the time period set by the Company or if the Company determines, in its sole discretion, that such information is not adequate, the Company may, in its sole discretion, (i) terminate your access to the Site, any other Interface, and/or Features, (ii) prohibit you from participating in any reward or incentive programs or product launches and (iii) take any other action the Company deems reasonable or necessary in its sole discretion. #### d) Your Feedback You may provide feedback to us or otherwise submit questions and inquiries through some of the Interfaces (“Feedback”). We welcome Feedback relating to improvements or updates to the Interfaces or Features, or inquiries about the same. We will try to review your Feedback but are not obligated to do so nor are we obligated to release any modifications or improvements you submit to us based on your Feedback. You acknowledge and agree that we will own all right, title, and interest in and to all Feedback you submit. You represent and warrant that (i) you and your licensors own all right, title, and interest in and to your Feedback; and (ii) you will not violate any intellectual property or other rights of third parties in providing Feedback to us. #### e) Incentive Programs Points, Rewards, and Incentives. Any points, XP, leaderboard ranking, badges, or other incentives made available through the Site or Features have no monetary value, do not represent property or financial instruments, and confer no rights. The Company may modify, restrict, or terminate any incentive programs at any time. ### 5. Intellectual Property Rights #### a) Ownership & License The Company or its licensors own all right, title, and interest, including all intellectual property rights, in and to the Site, any other Interface, and Features, including any related content and technology, unless otherwise indicated. Subject to the Terms, the Company hereby grants you a personal, limited, revocable, non-exclusive, non-sublicensable, non-transferable license to use, copy, and distribute in connection with such use the Site, any other Interface, and Features. This license is solely intended to allow you to access, use or otherwise interact with the Site, any other Interface, and Features. You acknowledge and agree that you do not receive any other rights to the Site, any other Interface, or Features other than those specified in the Terms. Certain Features may be provided to you under separate licenses such as the MIT License, or other open source licenses; third party features or applications integrated into the Site or Features may be subject to other or additional intellectual property licenses and thus, you must review any terms relevant to those third party features or applications to determine the relevant license applicable thereto. You agree you will not violate the terms of any such separate license. #### b) Reciprocal License By using the Site, any other Interface, or any Feature, you grant us a limited, non-exclusive, sublicensable, worldwide, royalty free license to use, copy, modify and display any content or Feedback you provide to us or that you post on or through the Site, any other Interface, or any Features solely for our business purposes, including but not limited to the purpose of providing the Site, any other Interface, or Features for so long as is necessary to do so. By providing any Feedback or providing any information on or through the Site, any other Interface, or via the Features (collectively, the “Content”), you hereby grant to us a royalty-free, fully paid-up, sublicensable, transferable, perpetual, irrevocable, non-exclusive, worldwide license to use, copy, modify, create derivative works of, display, perform, publish and distribute, in any form, medium, or manner, any Content, including, without limitation, for promoting the Platform, its affiliates, the Features, the Site or any other Interface. You represent and warrant that (a) you own your Content or have the right to grant the rights and licenses in these Terms; and (b) your Content and our use of your Content, as licensed herein, does not and will not violate, misappropriate or infringe on any third party’s rights. ### 6. Third Party Information or Services As discussed throughout the Terms, the Site, any other Interface, and Features may be integrated with or otherwise give access to applications, services, sites, technology, data, operations, features and resources that are provided or otherwise made available by third parties (“Third Party Services”). If the Site, any other Interface, or Features may contain links to Third Party Services, then they are provided for your convenience only. We have no control over the contents of those sites or resources, and accept no responsibility for them or for any loss or damage that may arise from your use of them. If you decide to access a Third Party Service integrated with or linked to any Interface or Feature, you do so entirely at your own risk and subject to the terms and conditions of use for such websites. We reserve the right to withdraw linking permission without notice. As further noted throughout these Terms, your access and use of Third Party Services may be subject to additional terms and conditions, privacy policies, or other agreements with those third parties, which we do not control and otherwise may have no relationship with. The Company also has no control over and is not responsible for such Third Party Services, including for the accuracy, availability, reliability, verification, or completeness of information or content shared by or available through Third Party Services, or the privacy practices of Third Party Services. Your use of any Third Party Services is directly between you and that third party, and you acknowledge and agree that we will not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with use of or reliance on any Third Party Services. You, and not we, will be responsible for any and all costs and charges associated with your use of any Third Party Services. You acknowledge and agree that the Company is not responsible for the availability of such external sites, applications or resources, and does not endorse and is not responsible or liable for any content, advertising, products, or other materials on or available from such sites or resources. You further acknowledge and agree that Company shall not be responsible or liable, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with use of or reliance on any such content, goods, or services available on or through any such site or resource. Please review any applicable terms, privacy policies or agreements of Third Party Services prior to using such services. The integration or inclusion of such Third Party Services does not imply an endorsement or recommendation of such Third Party Services. ### 7. Indemnification You agree to defend, indemnify, and hold harmless us and our licensors, and each of their respective employees, officers, directors, and representatives (collectively, the “Company Parties”) from and against all liability for monetary damages, contractual claims of any nature, economic loss (including direct, incidental or consequential damages), loss of income or profits, fines, penalties, exemplary or punitive damages, and any other injury, damage, or harm, including reasonable attorney’s fees (“Damages”) that relate in any way to any demand, claim, regulatory action, proceeding or lawsuit, regardless of the cause or alleged cause, whether the allegations are groundless, fraudulent, false, or lack merit and regardless of the theory of recovery (“Claim(s)”) arising out of or relating to: (i) your use of the Interfaces or Features (including any use by your customers, users, employees, and other personnel); (ii) breach of the Terms or violation of applicable law by you, your customers, users, employees and other personnel; (iii) a dispute between you and any third party; (iv) your alleged or actual infringement or misappropriation of any third party’s intellectual property or other rights; and (v) your Feedback. In the event we receive any third party subpoena or other compulsory legal order or process associated with Claims described in (i) through (v) above, then in addition to the indemnification set forth above, you will reimburse us for our employees’ and contractors’ time and materials spent responding to such matters at our then-current hourly rates as well as our reasonable attorneys’ fees. If you are obligated to indemnify us, then you agree that we will have the right, in our sole discretion, to control any action or proceeding and to determine whether we wish to settle, and if so, on what terms, and you agree to fully cooperate with us in the defense or settlement of such Claim. ### 8. Disclaimers and Limitations of Liability #### a) Site, Interfaces and Features By accessing the Site, any other Interface, or Features, you hereby acknowledge and agree that the Company cannot and does not guarantee the functionality, security, or availability of the Site, any other Interface, or Features. The technologies on which the Site, any other Interface, or Features rely may be subject to sudden changes and we cannot and do not guarantee that your access to the Site, any other Interface, or Features or the ability to transact thereon will be uninterrupted or error free or that your cryptoassets will be secure at all times. You assume all risks related thereto. All blockchain transactions are irreversible once broadcast. The Company cannot reverse, cancel, or modify any transaction. #### b) No Representations or Warranties THE SITE, ANY OTHER INTERFACE, AND FEATURES ARE PROVIDED “AS IS.” EXCEPT TO THE EXTENT PROHIBITED BY LAW, OR TO THE EXTENT ANY STATUTORY RIGHTS APPLY THAT CANNOT BE EXCLUDED, LIMITED OR WAIVED, NEITHER WE NOR ANY OTHER RELATED PARTY MAKES ANY REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES OF ANY KIND, WHETHER EXPRESS, IMPLIED, STATUTORY OR OTHERWISE REGARDING THE INTERFACES OR FEATURES, AND THE COMPANY EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES, INCLUDING ANY IMPLIED OR EXPRESS WARRANTIES (i) OF MERCHANTABILITY, SATISFACTORY QUALITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, NON-INFRINGEMENT, OR QUIET ENJOYMENT, (ii) ARISING OUT OF ANY COURSE OF DEALING OR USAGE OR TRADE, (iii) THAT THE SITE, ANY OTHER INTERFACE, OR FEATURES WILL BE ACCURATE, UNINTERRUPTED, ERROR FREE OR FREE OF HARMFUL COMPONENTS, AND (iv) THAT ANY CONTENT OR ASSETS WILL BE SECURE OR NOT OTHERWISE LOST OR ALTERED. #### c) Limitations of Liability TO THE EXTENT PERMITTED BY APPLICABLE LAW, NEITHER THE COMPANY NOR ANY OF ITS SERVICE PROVIDERS WILL BE LIABLE TO YOU FOR ANY INDIRECT, INCIDENTAL, SPECIAL, CONSEQUENTIAL OR EXEMPLARY DAMAGES (INCLUDING DAMAGES FOR LOSS OF PROFITS, REVENUES, CUSTOMERS OR USERS, OPPORTUNITIES, GOODWILL, USE, DATA, CONTENT OR OTHER ASSETS), EVEN IF THE COMPANY OR SERVICE PROVIDERS HAS BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES. FURTHER, THE COMPANY WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY COMPENSATION, REIMBURSEMENT, OR DAMAGES ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH (i) YOUR INABILITY TO USE, OR ANY DELAY IN THE USE OF, THE INTERFACES OR FEATURES, INCLUDING AS A RESULT OF ANY (A) TERMINATION OF THE TERMS OR YOUR USE OF OR ACCESS TO THE INTERFACES OR FEATURES, (B) OUR SUSPENSION OR DISCONTINUATION OF ANY OR ALL OF THE INTERFACES OR FEATURES, OR, (C) ANY UNANTICIPATED OR UNSCHEDULED DOWNTIME OF ALL OR A PORTION OF THE SITE, ANY INTERFACES OR FEATURES FOR ANY REASON; (ii) THE COST OF PROCUREMENT OF SUBSTITUTE GOODS OR SERVICES; (iii) ANY INVESTMENTS, EXPENDITURES, OR COMMITMENTS BY YOU IN CONNECTION WITH THE TERMS OR YOUR USE OF OR ACCESS TO THE INTERFACES OR FEATURES; (iv) ANY UNAUTHORIZED ACCESS TO, ALTERATION OF, OR THE DELETION, DESTRUCTION, DAMAGE, LOSS OR FAILURE TO STORE ANY OF YOUR DATA; (v) ANY CHANGE IN VALUE OF ANY CRYPTOASSET; OR (vi) ANY DAMAGE, LOSS, OR INJURY RESULTING FROM HACKING, TAMPERING, OR OTHER UNAUTHORIZED ACCESS OR USE OF THE INTERFACES OR FEATURES. IN ANY CASE, THE COMPANY’S AGGREGATE LIABILITY UNDER THESE TERMS WILL NOT EXCEED $100. ### 9. Governing Law, Dispute Resolution and Class Action Waiver #### a) Governing Law These Terms and any action related thereto will be governed by the BVI Arbitration Law and the laws of the BVI, without regard to its conflict of laws provisions. Except as otherwise expressly set forth in Section 14 “Dispute Resolution and Arbitration,” the exclusive jurisdiction for all Disputes that you and the Company are not required to arbitrate will be the courts located in the BVI, and you and the Company each waive any objection to jurisdiction and venue in such courts. #### b) Dispute Resolution Prior to commencing any legal proceeding against us of any kind, including an arbitration, you and we agree that we will attempt to resolve any Claim by engaging in good faith negotiations. Such negotiations require that the aggrieved party provide a written notice to the other party specifying the nature and details of the dispute (the “Initial Notice”). The party receiving such notice shall have twenty days to respond, and within forty-five days after the Initial Notice was sent, the parties shall meet and confer in good faith to try and resolve the Claim. If the parties are unable to do so within ninety days of the Initial Notice, the parties may agree to mediate their dispute or either party may submit to arbitration according to these Terms. #### c) Mandatory Arbitration Any dispute, claim or controversy arising out of or relating to the Terms, Interfaces or Features, or the breach, termination, enforcement, interpretation or validity of the Terms, including the determination of the scope or applicability of this agreement to arbitrate, will be determined by arbitration in the BVI before one arbitrator. This clause will not preclude parties from seeking provisional remedies in aid of arbitration from a court of appropriate jurisdiction. The arbitration shall be administered by the BVI International Arbitration Centre (BVI IAC) under the BVI IAC Arbitration Rules or, if unavailable, the UNCITRAL Arbitration Rules. The seat of arbitration shall be the British Virgin Islands. The language of arbitration shall be English. All arbitration proceedings, submissions, filings, and awards shall be confidential unless disclosure is required by law You and we agree that the arbitrator shall have exclusive authority to decide all issues relating to the interpretation, applicability, enforceability and scope of this arbitration agreement. Except as otherwise provided in these Terms, the arbitrator shall determine all issues of liability on the merits of any claim asserted by either party and may award declaratory or injunctive relief only in favor of the individual party seeking relief and only to the extent necessary to provide relief warranted by that party’s individual claim. To the extent that you or we prevail on a claim and seek public injunctive relief (that is, injunctive relief that has the primary purpose and effect of prohibiting unlawful acts that threaten future injury to the public), the entitlement to and extent of such relief must be litigated in a civil court of competent jurisdiction and not in arbitration. The parties agree that litigation of any issues of public injunctive relief shall be stayed pending the outcome of the merits of any individual claims in arbitration. YOU UNDERSTAND THAT BY AGREEING TO THE TERMS, THE PARTIES ARE EACH WAIVING THE RIGHT TO TRIAL BY JURY OR TO PARTICIPATE IN A CLASS ACTION OR CLASS ARBITRATION. #### d) Class Action / Representative Claim Waiver Any arbitration under the Terms will take place on an individual basis – class arbitrations and class actions are not permitted. To the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, you agree that any proceeding to resolve any dispute, claim or controversy will be brought and conducted only in your individual capacity and not as a party (plaintiff or otherwise) or member of any class (or purported class), consolidated proceeding, multi-plaintiff proceeding or representative action or proceeding. Any arbitration will not be permitted to be consolidated or aggregated with any other arbitration and the arbitrator will not have any authority to do so and will not have the authority to make an award to any person or entity not a part of the individual arbitration in which you are a party. You further agree that any arbitrator may not preside over any form of class action involving you and us. ### 10. General Terms #### a) Entire Agreement The Terms, including any policies that expressly incorporate the Terms by reference, constitute the entire agreement between you and us regarding the subject matter herein. The Terms supersede all prior or contemporaneous representations, understandings, agreements, or communications between you and us, if any, whether written or verbal, regarding the subject matter of the Terms. #### b) No Relationships or Assignments Nothing in the Terms shall be construed to create any relationship between you and us other than as defined herein. Neither you nor we are an agent of each other under these Terms or otherwise, and you shall have no right to hold yourself out as in any way having a relationship with us other than as someone using, accessing or otherwise interfacing with the Interface and/or Features.
You agree that you are not permitted to assign or otherwise transfer any of your rights and obligations under the Terms, but the Company may assign or transfer the Terms, in whole or in part, without restriction. Any assignment or transfer in violation of this Section will be void. Subject to the foregoing, the Terms will be binding upon, and inure to the benefit of, the parties and their respective permitted successors and assigns. #### c) Waiver The failure by us to enforce any provision of the Terms will not constitute a present or future waiver of such provision nor limit our right to enforce such provision at a later time. All waivers by us must be in writing to be effective. #### d) Severability If any portion of the Terms are held to be invalid or unenforceable, the remaining portions of the Terms will remain in full force and effect. Any invalid or unenforceable portions will be interpreted to effectuate the intent of the original portion. If such construction is not possible, the invalid or unenforceable portion will be severed from the Terms but the rest of the Terms will remain in full force and effect. #### e) Remedies Any right or remedy of the Company set forth in these Terms is in addition to, and not in lieu of, any other right or remedy whether described in these Terms, under Applicable Law, at law, or in equity. The failure or delay of the Company in exercising or enforcing any right, power, or privilege under these Terms shall not operate as a waiver thereof. #### f) Contact Us You may also contact us with questions, complaints, or claims concerning the Features at .
# Privacy Policy Predict's Privacy Policy: what information we collect, how it's used, and your data protection rights as a Predict.fun user. *Last Updated: November 18th, 2025* ### 1. Introduction This website-hosted user interface (this “Interface”) is made available by PDF Labs Limited, a corporation organized and existing under the laws of the British Virgin Islands (the “Company” “us” “we” or “our”). This Privacy Policy (the “Policy”) governs the manner in which we make the Interface available and how we collect, use, maintain and disclose information collected from our users (each, a "user", “you”, or “your”) through the Company’s websites, including the Interface, web applications, mobile applications and all associated sites linked thereto by the Interface, or by us or our affiliates (the “Site”).This Policy further applies to all information we collect through our Site and otherwise obtain in connection with products and Services, content, features, technologies, functions and all related websites we may provide to you or to which we may provide access (collectively with the Site, the “Services”). Please read this Policy carefully. We are committed to protecting your privacy through our compliance with the terms of this Policy. We understand that you may have questions regarding this Policy, including your personal information, how it may be collected, and how it may be used. You may e-mail us at with any concerns or privacy-related questions that you may have. Our Terms of Services (“Terms”) govern all use of our Services and, together with the Privacy Policy, constitute your agreement with us (the “Agreement”). If you do not agree with the terms of this Policy, please do not access our Site. By accessing or using our Services, you agree to the terms of this Policy. Specifically, by (i) using, visiting, or accessing the Services, (ii) using, accessing, establishing an account through or purchasing any of the Services, and/or (iii) clicking “accept”, “agree”, or “OK” (or a similar term) with respect to any of our Terms or similar policies, you consent and agree to be legally bound by each of the terms and conditions contained in this Policy. In operating the Site and providing the Services we may collect (and/or receive) certain information about you and your activities. You hereby authorize us to collect and/or receive such information to operate the Site and provide the Services. ### 2. Applicability This Policy applies to all information we collect from you in connection with the Site and offering the Services. This Policy does not apply to information collected by us offline or through any other means, including on any other website made available by us or by any third party (including our affiliates and subsidiaries). Throughout this Policy, we use the term "personal information" to describe information that can be associated with a specific person and can be used to identify that person. We do not consider personal information to include information that has been aggregated and/or anonymized so that it does not identify a specific user. Personal Information may also include the personal information of third parties that may be contained in information you provide to us through your use of the Site. ### 3. Information Collection and Use When you visit the Site and use the Services, we collect your IP address and standard web log information, such as your browser type and pages you accessed on our Site. We may also collect certain geolocation Information (as defined below). If you do not agree to our collection of this information, you may not be able to use the Services. We collect information: * Directly from you when you provide it to us; * Automatically as you navigate through the site. Information collected automatically may include usage details, IP addresses, and information collected through Cookies and other tracking technologies; and * In certain instances, from third parties, such as our business partners, third-party providers (e.g., Metamask) or other networks where you have connected your account and authorized the Site to access this information. We do not control and are not responsible for the privacy practices of your wallet provider. If you create an account with us, we may collect the following information from you: * Personal Information. Information by which you may be personally identified, such as your name, postal address, registration at place of residence, e-mail address, telephone number, date of birth, and other demographic information, such as your age, gender, hometown, and interests that you voluntarily provide to us as part of your registration with the Site to use our Service (collectively, “Personal Information”). There is no obligation for you to provide us with personal information of any kind, but your refusal to do so may prevent you from using the Services. * Derivative Information. Information our servers may collect automatically when you access the Site, such as your IP address, browser type, operating system, access times, and pages you viewed directly before and after accessing the Site. This may also include other information about your internet connection and the equipment you use to access our Site, and usage details. * Financial Information. If applicable to your use of the Site and the Services, in order for us to process payments of any fees owed to us in connection with your use of the Services and the Site, you will be required to provide certain bank account online login information, bank account and routing numbers, credit card information (e.g., card brand, expiration date, and credit-card numbers) and other data related to your payment method. You authorize our third-party payment vendors and wallet providers (e.g., MetaMask) to collect, process, and store your Financial Information in accordance with their respective privacy policies. * Mobile Device Information. If you access the Site from a mobile device we may obtain information automatically about you from your mobile device such as your device type, mobile device identification number, geolocation Information, time zone, language setting, browser type. If you provide it directly to us, we may also collect your telephone number. * Geolocation Information. We collect information that identifies, with reasonable specificity, your location by using certain longitude and latitude coordinates obtained through GPS, Wi-Fi, cell-site triangulation, or other locational data. We may collect this data for fraud prevention and risk management purposes, among other reasons. * Correspondence and Recordkeeping. We will retain records and copies of your correspondence (including e-mail addresses), if you contact us. We retain personal information only for as long as necessary to provide the Services or to comply with applicable legal obligations. * Surveys: If you decide to participate in surveys available via the Services, you may be asked to provide certain information which may include personal information. We may store such responses. We are committed to providing a safe and secure customer experience. As a result, before permitting you to use the Services, we may require additional information from you (including for instance government-issued identity documents such as passport number, driver's license details or national identity card details) that we can use to verify your identity, address or other information, prevent fraud or to manage risk and compliance throughout our relationship. Finally, we may collect additional information from or about you in other ways not specifically described here. For example, we may collect information related to your contact with our customer support team. ### 4. Children Under the Age of 18 Our Site is not intended for children under 18 years of age. No one under age 18 may provide any personal information to or on the Site. If we obtain actual knowledge that we have collected personal information from a person under the age of 18, we will promptly delete it, unless we are legally obligated to retain such data. If you believe we may have mistakenly or unintentionally collected any information from or about a person under 18, please contact us using the contact information provided below. ### 5. Use of Cookies and Other Tracking Technologies A cookie is a small file placed on the hard drive of your computer. When you visit our Site, use our Services, we and certain business partners and vendors may use cookies and other tracking technologies (collectively, "Cookies"). We use Cookies to recognize you as a customer, to customize the Services, other content and advertising, to measure the effectiveness of our promotions, to perform a wide range of analytics, to mitigate risk and prevent potential fraud, and to promote trust and safety across our Services. Most browsers are set to accept cookies by default. You can remove or reject cookies. However, certain Services in the Services are only available through the use of Cookies. Therefore, if you choose to disable or decline Cookies, your use of the Services and other Services may be limited or not possible. Pages of our Site may contain small electronic files known as web beacons (also referred to as clear gifs, pixel tags, and single-pixel gifs) that permit us, for example, to count users who have visited those pages and for other related website statistics (for example, recording the popularity of certain website content and verifying system and server integrity). You may not decline web beacons. However, they can be rendered ineffective by declining all cookies or by modifying your web browser’s settings to notify you each time a cookie is tendered, permitting you to accept or decline cookies on an individual basis. Do Not Track: Do Not Track (“DNT”) is an optional browser setting that allows you to express your preferences regarding tracking by advertisers and other third-parties. You can enable or disable DNT by visiting the preferences or settings page of your web browser. We do not respond to DNT signals. ### 6. Use of Your Information Having accurate information about you permits us to provide you with a smooth, efficient, and customized experience. Specifically, we may use information collected about you via the Site to: * Administer sweepstakes, promotions, and contests; * Compare information for accuracy and verify it with third parties; * Compile anonymous statistical data and analysis for our use internally or with third parties; * Contact you regarding your account with us, use of the Site and Services, and questions regarding the Services; * Create and manage your account, including a personal profile about you to make future visits to our Site and your use more personalized; * Customize, personalize, measure, and improve our Services and the content and layout of our Services; * Deliver the Services and provide customer support to you; * Enable user-to-user communications; * Enhance the efficiency and operation of the Site and the Services we deliver to you for our legitimate interests including for the following purposes: * Detecting security incidents, protecting against malicious, deceptive, fraudulent or illegal activity, and prosecuting those responsible for that activity; * Measuring interest and engagement in our Services and short-term, transient use, such as contextual customization of ads; * Undertaking research for technological development and demonstration; * Researching and developing products, Services, marketing or security procedures to improve their performance, resilience, reliability or efficiency; * Improving, upgrading or enhancing our Services; * Developing new products and Services; * Ensuring internal quality control; * Verifying your identity and preventing fraud; * Debugging to identify and repair errors that impair existing intended functionality; * Enforcing our terms and policies; and * Complying with our legal obligations, protecting your vital interest, or as may be required for the public good. * Fulfill any other purpose for which you may provide us with your information; * Improve the security of the Site and, if you share geolocation Information, provide you with location-specific options, functionality, offers, advertising, search results, or other location-specific content; * Monitor and analyze usage and trends to improve your experience with the Services; * Notify you of updates to the Services; * Perform such other duties as may be required by law; * Prevent potentially fraudulent, prohibited or illegal activities, and enforce our Terms of Services through the use of our risk and fraud tools; * Process transactions (including payments and refunds) and send notices about your transactions or your network activity; * Provide and improve the Services ; * Provide targeted advertising, coupons, newsletters, and other promotional information regarding the Services; * Request feedback, resolve disputes, collect fees, and troubleshoot problems; and * Respond to your inquiries or fulfill requests and provide customer Services. As noted above, we may use information we collect about you to fulfill any other purpose for which you may provide us with your information. We may also use the information we have collected from you to enable us to display advertisements to our advertisers’ target audiences. Even though we do not disclose your personal information for these purposes without your consent, if you click on or otherwise interact with an advertisement, the advertiser may assume that you meet its target criteria. Without limiting the foregoing, you also authorize us to use and/or share information as described below: * We may, from time to time, share your information with other companies, who may provide you information about the products and Services they or their partners offer. You may be entitled to prevent us from sharing and/or licensing your personal information to other companies under applicable law. If you wish to exercise this right, please send an e-mail to with the subject line, “Privacy Policy.” We reserve the right to ask for information verifying your identity before we begin complying with your request. * We will access, use, and share your information as required to fulfill our contractual obligations to you, provide you with support, and to address your questions or requests regarding our Services; * We may employ other companies and individuals to perform functions on our behalf. Examples may include providing technical, customer Services and marketing assistance. In particular, we use a third-party cloud hosting provider to store user information and configurations; * In an ongoing effort to better understand our customers and our Services, we may analyze your information in anonymized and/or aggregate form in order to operate, maintain, manage, and improve the Services. This anonymous information does not identify you personally. We may use this anonymous information and share it with our affiliates, agents, business and promotional partners, and other third parties. We may also disclose anonymous user statistics in order to describe our Services and business to current and prospective business partners and to other third parties for other lawful purposes. * We may share some or all of your information with any of our parent companies, affiliates, subsidiaries, joint ventures, or other companies under common control with us; * As we develop our businesses, we might sell or buy businesses or assets. In the event of a corporate sale, merger, reorganization, sale of assets, dissolution, liquidation, or bankruptcy or similar event, your information may be part of the transferred assets; and * To the extent permitted by law, we may also disclose your information: (i) in response to lawful requests by public authorities, including for the purpose of meeting national security or law enforcement requirements, (ii) when required by law, court order, or other government or law enforcement authority or regulatory agency; or (iii) whenever we believe that disclosing such information is necessary or advisable, for example, to protect the rights, property, or safety of us or others. If we intend to use your information in any manner that is not consistent with this Policy, you will be informed of such anticipated use prior to or at the time at which information is collected. ### 7. How We Protect and Store Your Information The security of your data is important to us but remember that no method of transmission over the Internet or method of electronic storage is 100% secure. We strive to ensure security on our systems and use administrative, technical, and other physical security measures to help protect your personal information. We also use computer safeguards such as firewalls and data encryption, we enforce access controls to our workspaces and files, and we authorize access to personal information only for those employees who require it to fulfill their job responsibilities. Despite our efforts, we cannot guarantee that personal information may not be accessed, disclosed, altered or destroyed by breach of our administrative, managerial and technical safeguards. Therefore, we urge you to take adequate precautions to protect your personal information as well, including never sharing your password with anyone. Any transmission of personal information is at your own risk. We are not responsible for circumvention of any privacy settings or security measures contained on the Services. We do not collect, store, or have access to your private keys, seed phrases, or non-custodial wallet credentials. You are solely responsible for managing and securing your wallet. ### 8. How We Share Personal Information with Other Parties We may share your information with our business partners to offer you certain products, Services, and promotions. We may also use third-party advertising companies to serve ads when you visit the Site. These companies may use information about your visits to the Site and other websites that are contained in web cookies in order to provide advertisements about goods and Services of interest to you. We do not control third parties’ collection or use of your information to serve interest-based advertising. However, these third parties may provide you with ways to choose not to have your information collected or used in this way. Some personal information is public information (this may include your web3-enabled wallet’s public address, username, profile photo, profile first and last name, month, and year of account creation, and public transactions in which you've been involved), and may be seen by anyone on the Internet due to the nature of the blockchain, whether or not they have an account with us. Public information may also be seen, accessed, reshared or downloaded through APIs, SDKs, or third-party Services that integrate with our products. We may share your personal information with: * Law enforcement, government officials, or other third parties if we are compelled to do so by a subpoena, court order or similar legal procedure, when it is necessary to do so to comply with law, or where the disclosure of personal information is reasonably necessary to prevent physical harm or financial loss, to report suspected illegal activity, or to investigate violations of the Terms of Services, or as otherwise required by law. * Third-party Services providers who assist us in providing the Services to you or who provide fraud detection or similar Services on our or any vendor’s behalf. * Other third parties with your consent or at your direction to do so, including if you authorize an account connection with a third-party account or platform: * For the purposes of this Policy, an "account connection" with such a third party is a connection you authorize or enable between your account and a payment instrument, or platform that you lawfully control or own. When you authorize such a connection, we may exchange your personal information and other information directly with such third-party. Examples of account connections include, without limitation: linking your account to a social media account or social messaging Services; connecting your account to a third-party data aggregation or financial Services company, if you provide such company with your account log-in credentials; or using your account to make payments to a merchant or allowing a merchant to charge your account. * If you connect your account to other financial accounts, directly or through a third-party Services provider, we may have access to your account balance and account and transactional information, such as purchases and funds transfers. If you choose to create an account connection, we may receive information from the third party about you and your use of the third-party’s Services. For example, if you connect your account to a social media account, we will receive personal information from the social media provider via the account connection. We will use all such information that we receive from a third-party via an account connection in a manner consistent with this Policy. * Information that we share with a third-party based on an account connection will be used and disclosed in accordance with the third-party’s privacy practices. Before authorizing an account connection, you should review the privacy notice of any third party that will gain access to your personal information as part of the account connection. We will not disclose your credit card number or bank account number to anyone except with your express, written permission or if we are required to do so to comply with a subpoena or other legal process. We do not send your personal information to third-party social networks unless you have specifically requested or authorized us to do so. When you broadcast information to such third-party social networks, such information is no longer under our control and is subject to the terms of use and privacy policies maintained by such third parties. Transactions on public blockchains are inherently transparent, any information linked to your wallet address, including transaction history, may become publicly available and is outside our control. ### 9. Third-Party Links The Services may contain links to (or allow you to link to) unaffiliated third-party Services, applications, or websites. We do not control information collection of any third-party Services, applications, or websites that can be reached through such links. We encourage our users to be aware when they are linking to a third-party Services or website and to read the privacy statements of any third-party Services or website that collects personal information. Any information you provide to any third party is not covered by this Policy and we cannot guarantee the safety and privacy of your information. Note also that third parties may use Cookies (either alone or in conjunction with web beacons or other tracking technologies) to collect information about you when you use our Services. Information third parties collect may be associated with your personal information or they may collect information, including personal information, about your online activities over time and across different websites and online Services. Third parties may use this information to provide you with interest-based advertising or other targeted content. We do not control these third parties’ tracking technologies or how they may be used. If you have any questions about an advertisement or other targeted content, we encourage you to contact the responsible provider directly. If you no longer wish to receive correspondence, e-mails, or other communications from third parties, you are responsible for contacting the third party directly. ### 10. Third-Party Analytics and Retargeters We may use third-party analytics (such as Google Analytics) to evaluate your use of the Services, compile reports on activity and events, collect demographic data, analyze performance metrics, and collect and evaluate other information relating to the Services, and mobile and Internet usage. These third parties use cookies, pixel tags, and other related tracking technologies to help analyze and provide us the data. For instance, pixel tags (also known as web beacons and clear GIFs) may be used to, among other things, track the actions of Site users and email recipients, measure the success of our marketing campaigns and compile statistics about use of the Site and response rates. By visiting and using the Services, you consent, to the extent permitted under applicable law, to the processing of data about you by these analytics in the manner and for the purposes set out in this Privacy Policy. For more information on these third parties, including how to opt out from certain data collection (if available by such third parties), please visit the sites below. Please be advised that if you opt out of any Services, you may not be able to use the full functionality of the Services. * For Google Analytics, visit: . Google Analytics is a web analytics Services offered by Google that tracks and reports website traffic. Google uses the data collected to track and monitor the use of our Services. This data is shared with other Google Services. Google may use the collected data to contextualize and personalize the ads of its own advertising network. For more information on the privacy practices of Google, please visit the Google Privacy Terms web page: . We also encourage you to review Google's policy for safeguarding your data: We may also use one or more third-party retargeting Services to advertise on third-party websites to previous visitors to our Services. These third-party retargeting Services providers use cookies to serve ads based on a past visit to the Site and may utilize cookies, pixel tags, and other related technologies. Any data collected by such third-party retargeting Services providers will be used in accordance with this Policy. By visiting and using the Services, you consent, to the extent permitted under applicable law, to the processing of data about you by these remarketer Services. For more information on such third-party retargeting Services providers, including how to opt out from certain data collection, please visit the following links: * For Google AdWords, you can set preferences for how Google advertises to you using the Google Ad Preferences page at: , and if desired, you can opt out of interest-based advertising by cookie settings or permanently using a browser plugin. ### 11. Personal Communication Preferences To the extent you have registered for the Services, you may access, review, make changes to, and delete your personal information by following the instructions found on the Site or by sending an e-mail to us at with the subject line, “Privacy Policy.” We reserve the right to ask for information verifying your identity before we begin complying with a request to review, make changes to, and delete your personal information. In addition, you may manage your receipt of marketing and non-transactional communications by clicking on the “Unsubscribe” link located on the bottom of any marketing e-mail, or by sending us an email at with the subject line, "Unsubscribe from Marketing.” Registered users cannot opt out of receiving transactional or administrative e-mails related to their account. We will use commercially reasonable efforts to process such requests in a timely manner in compliance with applicable laws. You should be aware, however, that it is not always possible to completely remove or modify information in our databases. ### 12. Transfer of Data Your personal information may be transferred to – and maintained on – computers located outside of your state, province, country or other governmental jurisdiction where the data protection laws may differ from those of your jurisdiction. 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# Binance Wallet Referral FAQs ### How do Binance Wallet referrals work? Predict.fun provides referral rewards for users who trade prediction markets via the Predict.fun dApp on Binance Wallet. When you invite friends using your Binance Wallet referral code, you earn 10% of their trading fees, while they get a 5% rebate on their own fees. Rewards do not expire. ### How do I start earning? 1. Open the Predict.fun dApp in Binance Wallet 2. Head to the **Referral** page and tap **Activate Referral Program** 3. Share your referral code (or link) with your friends 4. Once they bind your referral code and begin trading via Binance Wallet, you’ll start earning commissions on their qualifying trades. {% hint style="info" %} Note: the activation in step 2 is vital. Without it, you won’t earn rewards, even if you’ve already onboarded referrals. {% endhint %} ### Do invitees need to activate anything? No. As soon as they bind your referral code, they’re good to go, and will automatically receive their rebate on eligible fees. ### What referral code should I use? Use your Binance Wallet referral code directly. ### Where do my invitees need to trade? Only trades made via the dApp on Binance Wallet count towards your rewards. Those made via the Classic version, the Predict.fun website, or other frontends are not eligible. ### How are referral rewards calculated and paid?
* Inviters receive **10%** of invitees’ eligible trading fees * Invitees receive a **5%** rebate on eligible trading fees
For an invitee that generated $10,000 in trading volume with a trading fee of 2%: * The inviter will earn **$20** * The invitee will earn **$10**
All rewards are paid in USDT, and must be manually claimed via the Referral page.
Some fees are paid in shares. In that case: * If the share wins: it is converted into USDT and distributed. * If the share loses: there’s no reward for the trade. * If the market is unresolved: the reward is held, then distributed upon resolution.
Unless otherwise specified, rewards are available to claim the following day. ### How do I claim my rewards? Tap the **Claim** button on the **Referral** page in Binance Wallet, and your pending USDT will be credited directly to your account. Rewards never expire, so you can claim any time. # 币安钱包邀请计划常见问题 ### 币安钱包邀请计划如何运作？ Predict.fun 为通过币安钱包内 Predict.fun dApp 参与预测市场交易的用户提供邀请奖励。 当你使用币安钱包邀请码邀请好友后，你可获得好友交易手续费的 10% 作为返佣，好友则可获得其自身交易手续费的 5% 返还。奖励永久有效。 ### 如何开始赚取返佣？ 1. 在币安钱包中打开 Predict.fun dApp。 2. 进入邀请（Referral）页面，点击激活预测邀请（Activate Referral Program）。 3. 将你的邀请码或邀请链接分享给好友。 4. 好友绑定你的邀请码，并通过币安钱包开始交易后，你即可从其符合条件的交易中获得返佣。 {% hint style="info" %} 注意：第 2 步的激活操作必不可少。未激活此功能，即使你已邀请好友，也无法获得奖励。 {% endhint %} ### 受邀好友需要激活任何功能吗？ 不需要。好友绑定你的邀请码后，即可自动获得符合条件的交易手续费返还。 ### 应该使用哪个邀请码？ 直接使用你的币安钱包邀请码即可。 ### 受邀好友需要在哪里交易？ 只有通过币安钱包内的 Predict.fun dApp 进行的交易才计入邀请奖励。通过经典版（Classic）、Predict.fun 官网或其他前端进行的交易均不符合奖励条件。 ### 邀请奖励如何计算和发放？ * 邀请人可获得受邀好友符合条件的交易手续费的 10% 作为返佣。 * 受邀好友可获得自身符合条件的交易手续费的 5% 返还。 例如，某位受邀好友产生了 10,000 美元的交易额，交易手续费率为 2%，则： * 邀请人可获得 20 USDT。 * 受邀好友可获得 10 USDT。 所有奖励均以 USDT 发放，需在邀请（Referral）页面手动领取。 部分手续费以份额形式收取，此类奖励按以下规则处理： * 若该份额对应的结果获胜：将其兑换为 USDT 后发放。 * 若该份额对应的结果落败：该笔交易不产生奖励。 * 若市场尚未结算：奖励暂缓发放，待市场结算后处理。 除非另有说明，奖励可于次日领取。 ### 如何领取奖励？ 在币安钱包的邀请（Referral）页面点击领取（Claim）按钮，待领取的 USDT 奖励将直接转入你的账户。奖励永久有效，你可以随时领取。 # The Predict Cup Cheat Sheet A quick-start guide to the Predict Cup: pick World Cup teams, earn Fan Points on their matches, and see how the $2,000,000 prize pool pays out.
Welcome to Predict’s biggest event of the year so far. For the 2026 World Cup, we’ve designed a game that lasts the entire way through. You pick your team and predict their matches, then ride all the way to the final with them. Naturally, the further they progress, the more you earn. On this page, you’ll get the low-down on how it works — from picking teams to earning Fan Points. ### The TL;DR Predict is funding a prize pool for **every group** and **every knockout game** of the World Cup, with a total of **$2,000,000** in rewards on the table. You’ll pick teams and back them through the tournament. For every team’s match, there will be a corresponding set of markets in which you’ll make your predictions. Get them right, and you’ll earn Fan Points. Your Fan Points (and those of other fans) stack on your team’s very own leaderboard. At the end of each round, the top 500 backers of the winning team will share the round’s pool. ### Step 1: Pick Your Team(s)
First things first: you need to pick your team(s). Your selection here will determine your outcomes in the tournament. Do you go patriotic, supporting your own country, or pragmatic, supporting those with the best chance of winning? Remember: you’ll earn Fan Points only on your teams’ matches. Here’s what you should know: * You can select up to **twelve teams**, but each one runs totally independently: it has its own Fan Points, its own leaderboard, and its own prize pools. Nothing is shared between them. * You don’t have to pick all twelve immediately — if you’d prefer, you can fill the rest of your slots later on. * Picking a team is **free**. * Once a team is picked, your choice is **locked in**. No swaps afterwards! Cycle between your teams on Predict to stay on top of their markets, your Fan Points, and how you rank across leaderboards. {% hint style="info" %} Think of each team as its own ticket. With the maximum of twelve selected, you have twelve runs at glory. {% endhint %} ### Step 2: Earn Fan Points
Each of your team's matches has a card of markets to predict. Every market earns you a fixed number of Fan Points if the conditions are met. For instance, you’ll predict things like the match result, the match line spread, and whether the number of goals will be over/under a certain number. The amount of Fan Points that you can earn from each team is different and not fixed, as there may be different types of markets for each team’s matches. #### Qualifying for a market
To make sure Fan Points reward real trading, each market has three simple requirements. You need to meet all three for that market to count. 1. **Purchase a position.** Purchase at least 20 shares of the side you want before kickoff and lock that selection in. 2. **Hold a position.** You must hold at least 20 shares of that position when the market resolves. You’re free to trade in between, as long as you are holding your 20 shares at both kickoff and resolution. 3. **Win!** Win the bet with your position of at least 20 shares. If you miss either requirement, that market's Fan Points will not be credited, even if your prediction was correct. {% hint style="info" %} Watch your position during the match. If you sell below 20 shares and fail to buy back before the market resolves, you lose that market's Fan Points. The activity page shows your live qualification status for every market so you always know where you stand. {% endhint %} Notes: 1. The minimum share requirement for the Exact Score market is **40 shares**. 2. You must purchase the shares on the market. Splitting USDT into shares **will not count**. #### The leaderboard Every team has its own Fan Points leaderboard that ranks all of its backers. As each of your team's matches resolves, your Fan Points are credited automatically and the leaderboard updates. There is no claim step to worry about. Your total simply grows as your team plays on. The leaderboard shows the top 500 backers plus your own rank, so you can always see how close you are to being in the tier that earns rewards. ### Step 3: Collect Your Rewards Predict.fun funds a fixed prize pool for every round of the tournament: | **Stage** | **Pool per group/match** | | -------------- | ------------------------ | | Group stage | $70,000 per group | | Round of 32 | $25,000 | | Round of 16 | $30,000 | | Quarter-finals | $40,000 | | Semi-finals | $50,000 | | Final | $260,000 | At the close of each round, the top 500 backers of each surviving team share that team's pool, paid out in tiers by Fan Points rank. The higher you rank, the bigger your reward. The very top of the board is rewarded heavily. The #1 spot takes 15% of the pool through the Semi-finals, and that rises to 20% of the pool in the Final. If two or more backers finish tied on the exact same number of Fan Points, there is no tiebreaker. They simply share the combined rewards of the ranks they are tied across, split equally. Pools are paid in USDT after each round ends. Market resolution follows UMA Optimistic Oracle timing, the same trusted resolution that powers the rest of Predict.fun. ### Step 4: See Step 2 Your Fan Points are cumulative. They carry forward with your team for as long as it keeps advancing, and each round pays out on your running total. A longer run means your points, and your rewards, keep compounding. To stay in a team's pool, your team needs to keep winning: * In the group stage, backers of the teams that finish first or second in the group qualify for that group's pool. * In the knockouts, your run continues as long as your team advances. If your team is knocked out, the run stops earning and you keep everything you have already won. You cannot re-pick a new team into that slot, but any of your other teams keep going. #### A worked example Say you back a team and ride them all the way to the title, topping their leaderboard at #1 every round. | **Round** | **Round Pool** | **Your payout at #1** | | ------------- | -------------- | --------------------- | | Group Stage | $70,000 | $7,500 | | Round of 32 | $25,000 | $3,750 | | Round of 16 | $30,000 | $4,500 | | Quarter-final | $40,000 | $6,000 | | Semi-final | $50,000 | $7,500 | | Final | $260,000 | $50,000 | | **Total** |


| **$79,250** | That is a full champion run from a single team. The #1 share jumps from 15% to 20% in the Final. These figures are illustrative. Your actual payout each round depends on where you finish on your team's leaderboard, and the live pools and tiers are always shown in the app. ### FAQ **Can I really pick more than one team?** Yes, up to 12. Each is a fully separate run, and you can add teams to your empty slots whenever you like. **Can I sell my shares during a match?** Yes. You only need to hold your 20 or 40 shares at kickoff and again at resolution. What you do in between is up to you. **What if I pick a team mid-way through the World Cup?** That's fine. There is no cutoff for when you select a team. You will just start with 0 Fan Points for that team and start earning from the next match. If you miss a kickoff, you cannot earn on that match. **When do I get my rewards?** Pools pay out in USDT after each round ends, once markets have settled and points are finalized. **What happens to my points if my team loses?** You keep every Fan Point and every reward you have already earned. That run simply stops, while your other teams play on. *** Ready to play? Head to the [World Cup activity](https://predict.fun/world-cup-activity) on Predict.fun and make your team selection. # Full Rules and Reference The complete rules for the Predict Cup: team selection, market types, Fan Points values, qualification requirements, leaderboards, and prize pool payouts. ## Full Rules and Reference ### World Cup 2026 on Predict.fun: Full Rules and Reference This is the complete reference for the Predict Cup activity on Predict.fun. It serves to answer detailed questions about how teams, markets, Fan Points, qualification, leaderboards, prize pools, and payouts work. Looking for a general overview? Head over here first and return to this page for the specifics. The document below outlines the standard design for the activity. Live pools, tiers, market cards, and your qualification status are always shown in the app, and the app is the source of truth for any given match. #### 1. The Big Picture The Predict Cup is a single, long game that runs across the entire World Cup 2026 tournament. You pick a team, predict their matches, and ride with them for as long as they stay alive. The further your team goes, the more rounds you can earn from. Here is the full loop, end to end:
1. You select a team (up to twelve teams in total). 2. For each of that team's matches, Predict.fun lists a card of markets that you can participate in (ten in earlier rounds, growing to fourteen from the quarter-finals onward). 3. You make your predictions by buying and locking a position in each market you want to play. 4. When a match resolves, every market you qualified on and got right pays you a fixed amount of Fan Points. 5. Your Fan Points stack on that team's own leaderboard, alongside every other player that also picked the same team. 6. At the end of each round, Predict.fun pays a prize pool to the top 500 backers of each team that advanced, split into tiers by Fan Point ranks. 7. Your points carry forward with the team you selected, as long as it keeps winning (so a long run keeps compounding). There is $2,000,000 in total rewards across the tournament, funded entirely by Predict.fun. #### 2. Picking Your Teams Your team selection is the single most important decision in the activity, because you only earn on your own teams' matches. **How many teams can you pick?** You can select up to twelve teams for your entry into the activity. **Each team is a separate run.** Every team you pick is fully independent. It has its own Fan Points total, its own leaderboard, and its own prize pools. Nothing is shared or pooled across your teams. Think of each pick as its own ticket, so twelve picks is twelve separate runs at the prize pools. **Picking is free.** Selecting a team costs nothing. You only ever spend when you buy shares in a market. **Fill slots whenever you like.** You do not have to choose all twelve teams at the start. You can leave slots empty and add teams later in the tournament. There is no deadline to fill a slot. **Picks are final.** Once you select a team into a slot, that choice is locked for the whole tournament. You cannot swap one team out for another later, and you cannot pick the same team into two slots. **Picking late.** If you select a team partway through the tournament, that's fine. You simply start that team at zero Fan Points and begin earning from its next match. You will not be able to earn Fan Points on any matches that have already started or are in progress either. {% hint style="info" %} Patriotic or pragmatic? Backing your home nation is fun, but backing teams with realistic prospects gives you more rounds to earn from. Many players spread their twelve picks across favorites and a couple of dark horses. {% endhint %} #### 3. The Markets Each of your team's matches has a card of markets to predict. There are ten market types with only one option that will win in the earlier rounds, growing to fourteen from the quarter-finals onward as four additional markets are introduced (Team Total Goals, Total Assists (Player), Total Shots (Player), and Penalty Shootout — see 3.1.10, 3.1.11, 3.3, and 3.4 below). **3.1.1 Moneyline** The full-time result of the match: * Team A Win * Team B Win * Draw **3.1.2 Half Time Result** The result at half time only (the score at the 45-minute mark, before the second half): * Team A Win * Team B Win * Draw **3.1.3 Spread** A goal handicap. The line can be chosen from the following possibilities: * Team A -1.5 / Team B +1.5 * Team A -2.5 / Team B +2.5 * Team A +1.5 / Team B -1.5 * Team A +2.5 / Team B -2.5
For example, if Team A is a clear favorite, the listed line might be Team A -1.5, meaning Team A needs to win by two or more goals for that side to be correct. You pick the side of the listed line you think will be correct. **3.1.4 Total Goals** The total number of goals scored by both teams combined, over or under a chosen line. As with the spread, the line can be from any of the following: * Over / Under 0.5 * Over / Under 1.5 * Over / Under 2.5 * Over / Under 3.5 * Over / Under 4.5 * Over / Under 5.5 You pick **Over** or **Under** on the listed line. **3.1.5 Both Teams to Score** Whether or not both teams score a goal during the match: * Yes * No **3.1.6 Exact Score** The precise final scoreline. This is the hardest market on the card, with 17 options: * Draw 0:0 * Draw 1:1 * Draw 2:2 * Draw 3:3 * Team A 1:0 * Team A 2:0 * Team A 3:0 * Team A 2:1 * Team A 3:1 * Team A 3:2 * Team B 1:0 * Team B 2:0 * Team B 3:0 * Team B 2:1 * Team B 3:1 * Team B 3:2 * Any Other Score *Any Other Score* covers every result not listed individually (for example a 4:2, or any score with four or more goals for one side). **3.1.7 Total Corners** The total number of corners taken, over or under a chosen line: * Over \[line] * Under \[line] **3.1.8 Team to Advance** Which of the two teams will advance upon the final outcome of the game – accounting for extra time and penalty shootouts. * Team A * Team B **3.1.9 First Team to Score** Which of the two teams will score first: * Team A * Neither * Team B **3.1.10 Team Total Goals** *Introduced from the Quarter-finals onward.* The total number of goals scored by a single team (Team A or Team B), over or under a chosen line: * Over \[line] * Under \[line] This is separate from the combined Total Goals market in 3.1.4, which covers both teams' goals added together. **3.1.11 Penalty Shootout** *Introduced from the Quarter-finals onward.* Which team wins the match via a penalty shootout, if the match reaches one after extra time: * Team A * Team B This market only settles, and can only be qualified on, if the match actually goes to a shootout. **3.2 Total Goals (Player)** The number of goals a given player will score, over or under a chosen line: * Over \[line] * Under \[line] **3.3 Total Assists (Player)** *Introduced from the Quarter-finals onward.* The number of assists a given player registers, over or under a chosen line: * Over \[line] * Under \[line] **3.4 Total Shots (Player)** *Introduced from the Quarter-finals onward.* The number of shots a given player takes, over or under a chosen line: * Over \[line] * Under \[line] #### 4. Earning Fan Points Every market on the card is worth a fixed number of Fan Points if you qualify and your prediction is correct. The value is shown on each market card in the app. **4.1 Standard Fan Points by market** | Market | Fan Points (if correct) - R32 | Fan Points (if correct) - R16 | Fan Points (if correct) - QF | Fan Points (if correct) - SF | | ----------------------------- | ----------------------------- | ----------------------------- | ---------------------------- | ---------------------------- | | Moneyline | 800 | 1,600 | 2,600 | 5,500 | | Spread | 700 | 1,500 | 2,000 | 4,500 | | Total Goals | 700 | 1,500 | 2,300 | 5,500 | | Both Teams to Score | 600 | 1,500 | 2,100 | 4,600 | | Half Time Result | 600 | 1,300 | 2,200 | 5,500 | | Exact Score | 800 | 1,800 | 3,000 | 7,500 | | Total Corners | 750 | 1,600 | 2,400 | 6,000 | | Team to Advance | 400 | 800 | 1,000 | 1,600 | | First Team to Score | 500 | 1,300 | 2,000 | 4,500 | | Total Goals (Team A Player) | 600 | 1,300 | 2,000 | 4,500 | | Total Goals (Team B Player) | 600 | 1,300 | 2,000 | 4,500 | | Team Total Goals (Team A) | – | – | 1,800 | 4,000 | | Team Total Goals (Team B) | – | – | 1,800 | 4,000 | | Total Assists (Team A Player) | – | – | 1,600 | 3,700 | | Total Assists (Team B Player) | – | – | 1,600 | 3,700 | | Total Shots (Team A Player) | – | – | 1,600 | 3,800 | | Total Shots (Team B Player) | – | – | 1,600 | 3,800 | | Penalty Shootout | – | – | 1,400 | 2,800 | The most a single match can give you, if you qualify and win every market on the card, grows with each round: **15,500 Fan Points** at the Round of 16, **35,000 Fan Points** at the Quarter-finals, and **80,000 Fan Points** at the Semi-finals. The exact set of markets and their values can vary from match to match, so always read the value shown on each card. The table above is the standard set. **4.2 How points accumulate** Fan Points are credited automatically after a market resolves in your favor. There is no claim step. Your total for that team simply grows as its matches play out, and your position on the team's leaderboard updates with it. Points are only ever earned on markets where you meet all of the qualification requirements below. A correct prediction that did not qualify earns nothing. #### 5. Qualifying for a Market To make sure Fan Points reward real trading and not just clicking, each market has three requirements. You must meet all three on a given market for it to count. **5.1 The three requirements** 1. **Buy and lock a position before kickoff.** Choose the option you believe will be correct, hold at least 20 shares of it, and lock that selection in before the match kicks off. 2. **Hold the position at resolution.** You must be holding at least 20 shares of your locked option when the market resolves. You are free to trade in between, including selling and buying back, as long as you are holding the minimum at both kickoff and resolution. 3. **Win.** Your locked option must be the correct one.
If you miss any of the three, that market's Fan Points are not credited, even if your prediction turns out to be correct. Note that you must purchase the shares on the market. Splitting USDT into shares will not count. **5.2 The Exact Score market minimum** The minimum for the Exact Score market is 40 shares, not 20. Every other market uses the standard 20-share minimum. The required amount for whichever option you select is always shown on the card. **5.3 The lock lifecycle** Locking is how you commit a prediction. Here is exactly how it behaves:
* **Before kickoff:** You can select an option, lock it, unlock it, and switch to a different option as many times as you like. Nothing is final until the match starts. * **The lock button:** If you are holding enough shares of the option you have selected (20, or 40 for Exact Score), the lock control is active. If you are short on the required number of shares, the card shows a BUY prompt so you can top up your holdings. * **At kickoff:** Your locked selection becomes final for that market. You can no longer switch options or unlock. * **During the match:** You can keep trading. If your holding drops below the minimum, the market will show a warning that you are not currently eligible. You can buy back the amount of shares above the minimum any time before the market resolves to restore eligibility. * **At resolution:** The system checks that you are holding the minimum and that your locked option won. If both are true, your Fan Points are credited automatically. {% hint style="info" %} Watch your position during the match. If you sell below the minimum and do not buy back before the market resolves, you lose that market's Fan Points even if your pick was correct. The activity page shows your live qualification status for every market, so you always know where you stand. {% endhint %} #### 6. The Leaderboard Every team has its own Fan Points leaderboard that ranks all of that team's backers against each other.
* **One leaderboard per team.** Your twelve teams each have a separate board. Your rank on one has no effect on the others. * **Live and automatic.** As each of your team's matches resolves, your points are credited and the board re-ranks instantly. There is no claim step. * **What you see.** The board shows the top 500 backers plus your own rank, so even if you are outside the top 500 you can always see how far you are from the paying tier. * **Only the top 500 are paid.** Each round's prize pool is split among the top 500 ranks on the surviving team's board (see section 7 and 8). **6.1 Ties** If two or more backers finish on exactly the same number of Fan Points, there is no tiebreaker. They jointly occupy the consecutive ranks they span, and they split the combined rewards of those ranks equally. For example, on a $50,000 group pool where #1 pays $7,500 and #2 pays $2,500: if two backers tie for the top score, they together take the #1 and #2 money ($10,000 combined) and split it equally, so $5,000 each. The next distinct score down is then ranked #3. #### 7. Prize Pools Predict.fun funds a fixed prize pool for every group and every knockout round, for a total of $2,000,000. **7.1 The schedule** | **Stage** | **Pool** | | --------------------------- | -------------------------- | | Group stage, 1st place team | $50,000 per group | | Group stage, 2nd place team | $20,000 per group | | Round of 32 | $25,000 per surviving team | | Round of 16 | $30,000 per surviving team | | Quarter-finals | $40,000 per surviving team | | Semi-finals | $50,000 per surviving team | | Final | $260,000 | The group stage pays two pools per group: $50,000 to the backers of the team that finishes 1st, and $20,000 to the backers of the team that finishes 2nd, which is $70,000 per group in total. From the Round of 32 onward, each team that wins its match (and therefore survives the round) has a separate pool paid to its backers. **7.2 Which teams get paid each round** A round's pool is paid to the backers of teams that come through that round: * **Group stage:** the 1st and 2nd place teams in each group. * **Round of 32 onward:** every team that wins its match and advances. You earn a round's pool when your team comes through that round. So a team that loses in the quarter-finals earns the group, Round of 32, and Round of 16 pools (the rounds it won), but not the quarter-final pool. #### 8. How Each Pool Is Split Each pool is shared among the top 500 backers of the team, paid out in tiers by Fan Points rank. The higher you finish, the more you take. The top of the board is rewarded heavily: the #1 spot takes 15% of the pool through the semi-finals, rising to roughly 20% in the final. **8.1 Full tier table (amount per rank, by round)** This is the exact amount each rank receives in each round's pool. For tiers that span a range (for example #4 to #10), every rank inside that range receives the listed amount. | **Rank** | **Group 1st ($50k)** | **Group 2nd ($20k)** | **R32 ($25k)** | **R16 ($30k)** | **QF ($40k)** | **SF ($50k)** | **Final ($260k)** | | ------------------- | -------------------- | -------------------- | -------------- | -------------- | ------------- | ------------- | ----------------- | | #1 | $7,500 | $3,000 | $3,750 | $4,500 | $6,000 | $7,500 | $50,000 | | #2 | $2,500 | $1,000 | $1,250 | $1,500 | $2,000 | $2,500 | $20,000 | | #3 | $1,000 | $400 | $500 | $600 | $800 | $1,000 | $12,500 | | #4 to #10 (each) | $500 | $200 | $250 | $300 | $400 | $500 | $5,000 | | #11 to #50 (each) | $200 | $80 | $100 | $120 | $160 | $200 | $1,000 | | #51 to #150 (each) | $100 | $40 | $50 | $60 | $80 | $100 | $500 | | #151 to #500 (each) | $50 | $20 | $25 | $30 | $40 | $50 | $150 |
Every column adds up exactly to that round's pool across all 500 paid ranks. **8.2 The shape of the payouts** Through the quarter-finals, the pools spread wide. The large bottom band (ranks 151 to 500) is the single biggest slice of each early-round pool, so a lot of backers walk away with something. The final flips toward the top, with a $50,000 headline for the #1 backer, while still paying meaningful amounts deep down the board. #### 9. Riding Through the Tournament Your Fan Points are cumulative. They carry forward with your team for as long as it keeps advancing, and every round pays out on your running total. A longer run means your points, and your rewards, keep compounding. **9.1 Advancing out of the group** The tournament has 48 teams in 12 groups of four. The top two teams in each group advance automatically, and the eight best third-placed teams across all groups also advance, filling out the 32-team Round of 32.
* Backers of the **1st and 2nd place team** in a group share that group's pools ($50,000 and $20,000 respectively). * A **third-placed team that advances** does not earn a group pool, but its backers keep their Fan Points and carry them forward. If that team then wins its Round of 32 match, its backers share the Round of 32 pool as normal. **9.2 Advancing through the knockouts** From the Round of 32 onward, your run continues for as long as your team keeps winning. Each time the team advances, that round's pool is paid to the team's top 500 backers, and your accumulated points carry into the next round. **9.3 Elimination** If your team is knocked out, the run on that team stops earning. You keep every Fan Point and every reward you have already earned. You cannot re-pick a new team into that slot, but any of your other teams keep going on their own runs. #### 10. Worked Examples These figures are illustrative. Your actual payout each round depends on where you finish on your team's leaderboard, and live pools and tiers are always shown in the app. **10.1 A full champion run at #1** You back a team, follow them to the title, and top their leaderboard at #1 in every round.
| **Round** | **Pool** | **Payout at #1** | | ----------------------- | ----------- | ---------------- | | Group stage (1st place) | $50,000 | $7,500 | | Round of 32 | $25,000 | $3,750 | | Round of 16 | $30,000 | $4,500 | | Quarter-final | $40,000 | $6,000 | | Semi-final | $50,000 | $7,500 | | Final | $260,000 | $50,000 | | Total |


| $79,250 | The #1 share is 15% of the pool through the semi-finals and jumps to roughly 20% in the final. **10.2 A mid-pack backer on a quarter-finalist** You back a team that wins its group, then comes through the Round of 32 and Round of 16 before losing in the quarter-finals. You finish around rank #25 on its leaderboard each round (inside the #11 to #50 band). | **Round** | **Your tier** | **Payout** | | ----------------------- | ------------------------ | ---------- | | Group stage (1st place) | #11 to #50 | $200 | | Round of 32 | #11 to #50 | $100 | | Round of 16 | #11 to #50 | $120 | | Quarter-final | team eliminated, no pool | $0 | | **Total** |


| **$420** | The team earns the rounds it came through (group, Round of 32, Round of 16) but not the quarter-final, which it lost. **10.3 An early exit** You back a team that finishes 2nd in its group, then loses in the Round of 32. You finish around rank #6 on its leaderboard (inside the #4 to #10 band). | **Round** | **Your tier** | **Payout** | | ----------------------- | ------------------------ | ---------- | | Group stage (2nd place) | #4 to #10 | $200 | | Round of 32 | team eliminated, no pool | $0 | | **Total** |


| **$200** | You keep that $200 even though the run ended early, and your other teams play on. #### 11. Payouts * **Currency.** All pools are paid in USDT. * **Timing**. Pools pay out after each round ends, once markets have settled and Fan Points are finalized. * **Resolution**. Market resolution follows UMA Optimistic Oracle timing, the same trusted resolution that powers the rest of Predict.fun. #### 12. FAQ **Can I really pick more than one team?** Yes, up to twelve. Each is a fully separate run with its own points, leaderboard, and pools. You can fill empty slots whenever you like. **Can I pick two teams from the same group?** Yes. As of the round of 16, you can pick multiple teams from the same group. **Can I change my team later?** No. Once a team is selected into a slot it is locked for the whole tournament. You can still leave other slots empty and add different teams to them later. **Can I sell my shares during a match?** Yes. You only need to be holding the minimum (20 shares, or 40 for Exact Score) of your locked option at kickoff and again at resolution. What you do in between is up to you. **What happens if my holding drops below the minimum mid-match?** The market shows a warning that you are not currently eligible. Buy back above the minimum before the market resolves to restore your eligibility. If you are still below the minimum at resolution, that market does not pay. **Do I have to lock every market?** No. Lock only the markets you want to play. Each market qualifies independently. **What if I pick a team partway through the World Cup?** That is fine. You start that team at zero Fan Points and earn from its next match onward. Matches that have already kicked off are not available to earn on. **How are ties on the leaderboard handled?** There is no tiebreaker. Tied backers jointly take the combined rewards of the ranks they span and split them equally. **When do I get my rewards?** After each round ends, once markets have settled and points are finalized. Payouts are in USDT, credited automatically with no claim step. **What happens to my points if my team loses?** You keep every Fan Point and every reward you have already earned. That run simply stops, while your other teams keep playing. **Does a third-placed team that advances earn the group pool?** No. Only the 1st and 2nd place teams earn group pools. A third-placed team that advances earns nothing from the group stage, but its backers keep their points and can earn from the Round of 32 onward if the team keeps winning. #### 13. Glossary **Fan Points:** the activity's scoring points. Earned on qualifying, correct market predictions, they determine your rank on a team's leaderboard and therefore your share of the prize pools. Fan Points are separate from any trading profit or loss on your share positions. **Market:** a single prediction on a team's match, such as the moneyline or the exact score. Each market is two-sided and has exactly one correct option. **Option:** a specific outcome within a market, for example "Draw" in the moneyline or "Over 2.5" in total goals. **Lock:** committing your chosen option in a market before kickoff. A locked, qualifying, winning option is what earns Fan Points. **Qualify:** meeting all three requirements on a market: buy and lock the minimum shares before kickoff, hold the minimum at resolution, and win. **Pool:** the prize money Predict.fun funds for a given group pool or knockout round, shared by the top 500 backers of the relevant team. **Surviving team:** a team that comes through a round (finishes 1st or 2nd in its group, or wins its knockout match). Surviving teams pay out that round's pool to their backers. **Run:** the full life of one team selection, from the match you start earning on until the team is eliminated or wins the title. **Tier:** a band of leaderboard ranks that all receive the same payout amount in a round's pool.
# Predict.fun 2026 世界杯活动：完整规则与参考手册 详解 Predict Cup 完整规则与参考手册：如何选择球队、市场类型与粉丝积分数值、获得资格要求、排行榜排名及各阶段奖池奖励分配方式。 ## Predict.fun 2026 世界杯活动：完整规则与参考手册 ### Predict.fun 2026 世界杯活动：完整规则与参考手册 本文是 Predict.fun 平台 Predict Cup 活动的完整参考手册。 本手册旨在详细解答有关球队、市场、粉丝积分、资格要求、排行榜、奖池和奖励发放等方面的具体问题。如需了解整体概览，请先查看概览页面，再返回本页查阅具体细节。 以下文档阐述了活动的标准设计方案。实时奖池、分级、市场卡片以及你的资格状态均会在应用内显示，应用内信息为任何特定比赛的最终依据。 #### 1. 总览 Predict Cup 是一场贯穿整届 2026 世界杯的长线活动。你选择一支球队，预测他们的比赛，并在他们比赛期间一路相伴。球队走得越远，你能赚取奖励就越多。 以下是完整的游戏流程，从头到尾： 1. 你选择一支球队（最多可选十二支）。 2. 该球队的每场比赛，Predict.fun 都会列出一组市场供你参与（早期轮次为十个，自八强赛起增至十四个）。 3. 你通过买入并持有每个想参与市场的仓位来进行预测。 4. 比赛结算后，你获得资格且预测正确的每个市场都将为你带来固定数量的粉丝积分。 5. 你的粉丝积分将与所有同样选择该球队的玩家一起，累积到该球队的专属排行榜上。 6. 每轮赛事结束后，Predict.fun 将向每支晋级球队的前 500 名支持者发放奖池，按粉丝积分排名分级分配。 7. 只要你选择的球队持续获胜，你的积分就会一直积累（获得的奖金也会积累！）。 整届赛事总奖励高达 $2,000,000，Predict.fun 赞助你玩世界杯！ #### 2. 选择你的球队 选队是本活动中最重要的决策，因为你只能在自己所选球队的比赛中赚取积分。 **可以选几支球队？** 参与本活动最多可选择十二支球队。 **每支球队独立运作。** 你选择的每支球队都完全独立，各有专属的粉丝积分总额、专属排行榜和专属奖池。各球队之间不共享、不合并任何数据。把每次选择想象成一张独立的彩票，十二支球队即代表十二次冲击奖池的独立机会。 **选队免费。** 选择球队无需任何花费，只有在市场中买入份额时才会产生支出。 **随时填补名额。** 你无需在开始时就选满十二支球队，可以保留空余名额，并在赛事后期再添加球队。填补名额没有截止时间。 **选择不可更改。** 一旦将某支球队选入名额，该选择在整届赛事中锁定。你不能事后更换球队，也不能将同一支球队选入两个名额。 **中途选队。** 你可以在赛事中途才选择某支球队，但你在该球队的粉丝积分将从零开始，从其下一场比赛起开始赚取。你将无法在任何已开始或正在进行的比赛中赚取粉丝积分。 {% hint style="info" %} 感情用事还是理性出击？力挺自己的主队固然有趣，但押注更有现实晋级前景的球队，能让你拥有更多赚取奖励的轮次。许多玩家会将十二支选择分散押注在夺冠热门和几匹黑马身上。 {% endhint %} #### 3. 市场类型 你选择的球队的每场比赛都有一组预测市场。早期轮次共有十种市场类型，每种只有一个选项会获胜；自八强赛起增至十四种（新增单队总进球数、点球大战、球员助攻数及球员射门数，详见 3.10、3.11、3.13 及 3.14）。 **3.1 胜平负（Moneyline）** 比赛的全场最终结果。 * A 队胜 * B 队胜 * 平局 **3.2 半场结果** 仅指半场结束时的比分（第 45 分钟、下半场开始前的比分）。 * A 队胜 * B 队胜 * 平局 **3.3 让球盘（Spread）** 进球让分盘。盘口可从以下选项中选择： * A 队 -1.5 / B 队 +1.5 * A 队 -2.5 / B 队 +2.5 * A 队 +1.5 / B 队 -1.5 * A 队 +2.5 / B 队 -2.5 例如，如果 A 队是明显的夺冠热门，列出的盘口可能是 A 队 -1.5，意味着 A 队需要净胜两球或以上，押注该方才算正确。你需要选择你认为正确的一方。 **3.4 总进球数（Total Goals）** 双方合计的总进球数，相对于某一盘口的大球或小球。与让球盘类似，盘口可从以下选项中选择： * 大 / 小 0.5 * 大 / 小 1.5 * 大 / 小 2.5 * 大 / 小 3.5 * 大 / 小 4.5 * 大 / 小 5.5 你需要在列出的盘口上选择「大」或「小」。 **3.5 双方均进球（Both Teams to Score）** 比赛中双方是否都有进球。 * 是 * 否 **3.6 精确比分（Exact Score）** 精确的最终比分。这是市场卡片中难度最高的市场，共有 17 个选项： * 平局 0:0 * 平局 1:1 * 平局 2:2 * 平局 3:3 * A 队 1:0 * A 队 2:0 * A 队 3:0 * A 队 2:1 * A 队 3:1 * A 队 3:2 * B 队 1:0 * B 队 2:0 * B 队 3:0 * B 队 2:1 * B 队 3:1 * B 队 3:2 * 其他任何比分 「其他任何比分」涵盖所有未单独列出的结果（例如 4:2，或任意一方进球数达到四个或以上的比分）。 **3.7 角球总数（Total Corners）** 比赛中角球总数相对于某一盘口的大球或小球： * 大 \[盘口] * 小 \[盘口] **3.8 晋级队伍（Team to Advance）** 综合考虑加时赛和点球大战后，最终哪支球队将晋级： * A 队 * B 队 **3.9 首个进球队伍（First Team to Score）** 哪支球队将率先进球： * A 队 * 均未进球 * B 队 #### 3.10 单队总进球数（Team Total Goals） *自八强赛起新增。* 指定球队（A 队或 B 队）的总进球数相对于某一盘口的大球或小球： * 大 \[盘口] * 小 \[盘口] 该市场与 3.4 中双方合计的总进球数市场不同，后者统计的是双方总进球数之和。 #### 3.11 点球大战（Penalty Shootout） *自八强赛起新增。* 若比赛在加时赛后进入点球大战，预测哪支球队将获胜： * A 队 * B 队 该市场仅在比赛实际进入点球大战时才会结算，也只有在此情况下才能获得资格。 #### 3.12 球员进球数（Total Goals — Player） 指定球员的进球数相对于某一盘口的大球或小球： * 大 \[盘口] * 小 \[盘口] #### 3.13 球员助攻数（Total Assists — Player） *自八强赛起新增。* 指定球员的助攻数相对于某一盘口的大球或小球： * 大 \[盘口] * 小 \[盘口] #### 3.14 球员射门数（Total Shots — Player） *自八强赛起新增。* 指定球员的射门数相对于某一盘口的大球或小球： * 大 \[盘口] * 小 \[盘口] #### 4. 赚取粉丝积分 市场卡片中的每个市场，只要你获得资格且预测正确，都将获得固定数量的粉丝积分。具体数值显示在应用内每张市场卡片上。 **4.1 各市场标准粉丝积分** | 市场类型 | 粉丝积分（预测正确）· 32 强赛 | 粉丝积分（预测正确）· 16 强赛 | 粉丝积分（预测正确）· 八强赛 | 粉丝积分（预测正确）· 四强赛 | | ------------ | ----------------- | ----------------- | --------------- | --------------- | | 胜平负 | 800 | 1,600 | 2,600 | 5,500 | | 让球盘 | 700 | 1,500 | 2,000 | 4,500 | | 总进球数 | 700 | 1,500 | 2,300 | 5,500 | | 双方均进球 | 600 | 1,500 | 2,100 | 4,600 | | 半场结果 | 600 | 1,300 | 2,200 | 5,500 | | 精确比分 | 800 | 1,800 | 3,000 | 7,500 | | 角球总数 | 750 | 1,600 | 2,400 | 6,000 | | 晋级队伍 | 400 | 800 | 1,000 | 1,600 | | 首个进球队伍 | 500 | 1,300 | 2,000 | 4,500 | | 球员进球数（A 队球员） | 600 | 1,300 | 2,000 | 4,500 | | 球员进球数（B 队球员） | 600 | 1,300 | 2,000 | 4,500 | | 单队总进球数（A 队） | – | – | 1,800 | 4,000 | | 单队总进球数（B 队） | – | – | 1,800 | 4,000 | | 球员助攻数（A 队球员） | – | – | 1,600 | 3,700 | | 球员助攻数（B 队球员） | – | – | 1,600 | 3,700 | | 球员射门数（A 队球员） | – | – | 1,600 | 3,800 | | 球员射门数（B 队球员） | – | – | 1,600 | 3,800 | | 点球大战 | – | – | 1,400 | 2,800 | 如果你在单场比赛中获得资格并赢下卡片上的所有市场，可获得的粉丝积分上限会随轮次提升：16 强赛为 **15,500**，八强赛为 **35,000**，四强赛为 **80,000**。 具体的市场组合及其积分数值可能因比赛而异，因此请务必查看每张卡片上显示的数值。上表为标准配置。 **4.2 积分如何累积** 当市场以对你有利的方式结算后，粉丝积分将自动计入，无需手动领取。随着该球队的比赛逐步进行，你在该队的积分总额会持续增长，你在该队排行榜上的排名也随之更新。 只有在满足以下所有资格要求的市场中，你才能赚取积分。未获得资格的正确预测不会带来任何积分。 #### 5. 获得市场资格 为确保粉丝积分真正奖励实质性交易而非单纯点击，每个市场设有三项要求。在某个市场中，你必须满足全部三项要求，该市场才算有效。 **5.1 三项要求** 1. **开赛前买入并锁定仓位。** 选择你认为正确的选项，持有至少 20 份份额，并在比赛开始前锁定该选择。 2. **结算时持有仓位。** 市场结算时，你必须持有所选项至少 20 份份额。中途可自由交易，包括卖出后再买回，只要在开赛时和结算时都持有最低份额即可。 3. **预测正确。** 你持有的选项必须是正确的那一个。 若未满足三项中的任一项，即使预测最终正确，该市场的粉丝积分也不会被计入。 请注意，份额必须通过市场购买。将 USDT 拆分为份额的方式不计入资格。 **5.2 精确比分市场的最低要求** 精确比分市场的最低份额要求为 40 份，而非 20 份。其他所有市场均采用标准的 20 份最低要求。你所选选项所需的份额数量始终显示在卡片上。 **5.3 持有你的筹码** 持有份额是你提交预测的方式。其具体运作机制如下： * **开赛前：** 你可以任意次数地选择选项、锁定、解锁，并切换到其他选项。在比赛开始前，一切都不是最终结果。 * **锁定按钮：** 如果你持有所选选项足够的份额（20 份，或精确比分的 40 份），锁定控件即为可用状态。如果份额不足，卡片会显示「买入」提示，让你补足持仓。 * **开赛时：** 你锁定的选择将成为该市场的最终选择。你将无法再切换选项或解锁。 * **比赛进行中：** 你可以继续交易。如果持仓低于最低要求，市场将显示警告，提示你当前不符合资格。你可以在市场结算前任意时间买回超过最低要求的份额，以恢复资格。 * **结算时：** 系统会检查你是否持有最低份额，以及你锁定的选项是否获胜。若两者均满足，粉丝积分将自动计入。 {% hint style="warning" %} 请在比赛过程中留意你的持仓。如果你在市场结算前卖至最低要求以下且未及时买回，即使预测正确，该市场的粉丝积分也将作废。活动页面会实时显示你在每个市场的资格状态，让你随时掌握自己的情况。 {% endhint %} #### 6. 排行榜 每支球队都有专属的粉丝积分排行榜，对该队所有支持者进行相互排名。 **每队一个排行榜。** 你的十二支球队各有独立的排行榜，你在其中一个的排名不影响其他球队。 **实时自动更新。** 每当你选择的球队的某场比赛结算后，积分立即计入，排行榜即时重新排名，无需手动领取。 **你能看到的内容。** 排行榜显示前 500 名支持者及你自己的排名，因此即使你排在 500 名之外，也能随时看到自己距离奖励区间还有多远。 **仅前 500 名获得奖励。** 每轮奖池将在晋级球队排行榜的前 500 名之间分配（详见第 7 和第 8 节）。 **6.1 并列名次** 如果两名或多名支持者以完全相同的粉丝积分结束，则不设加赛决胜机制。他们将共同占据所跨越的连续名次，并平均分配这些名次的合计奖励。 例如，在一个 $50,000 的小组奖池中，第 1 名奖励 $7,500，第 2 名奖励 $2,500：如果两名支持者以最高分并列，他们将共同获得第 1 和第 2 的奖金（合计 $10,000）并平均分配，即每人 $5,000。下一个不同分数的支持者则排名第 3。 #### 7. 奖池 Predict.fun 为每个小组及每轮淘汰赛设立固定奖池，总额为 $2,000,000。 **7.1 奖池时间表** | 赛事阶段 | 奖池 | | ------------- | -------------- | | 小组赛 · 小组第一名球队 | 每组 $50,000 | | 小组赛 · 小组第二名球队 | 每组 $20,000 | | 32 强赛 | 每支晋级球队 $25,000 | | 16 强赛 | 每支晋级球队 $30,000 | | 八强赛 | 每支晋级球队 $40,000 | | 四强赛 | 每支晋级球队 $50,000 | | 决赛 | $260,000 | 小组赛阶段每组发放两份奖池：$50,000 给小组第一名球队的支持者，$20,000 给小组第二名球队的支持者，即每组合计 $70,000。从 32 强赛开始，每支赢得比赛（即在该轮存活）的球队都有一份独立奖池发放给其支持者。 **7.2 每轮哪些球队获得奖励** 某轮奖池将发放给成功通过该轮的球队的支持者： * **小组赛：** 每组的第一名和第二名球队。 * **32 强赛及之后：** 每支赢得比赛并晋级的球队。 当你的球队通过某一轮时，你便能赚取该轮奖池。因此，一支在八强赛落败的球队可赚取小组赛、32 强赛和 16 强赛的奖池（即它赢下的轮次），但不能赚取八强赛奖池。 #### 8. 每个奖池如何分配 每个奖池在该球队前 500 名支持者之间分配，按粉丝积分排名分级发放。排名越高，所得越多。榜首奖励极为丰厚：第 1 名在半决赛前可获得奖池的 15%，决赛阶段则升至约 20%。 **8.1 完整分级表（各轮次每个名次的金额）** 下表为每轮奖池中各名次所获得的确切金额。对于跨越区间的分级（例如 #4 至 #10），该区间内每个名次均获得所列金额。 | 名次 | 小组第一 ($50k) | 小组第二 ($20k) | 32强 ($25k) | 16强 ($30k) | 八强 ($40k) | 四强 ($50k) | 决赛 ($260k) | | ------------- | ----------- | ----------- | ---------- | ---------- | --------- | --------- | ---------- | | #1 | $7,500 | $3,000 | $3,750 | $4,500 | $6,000 | $7,500 | $50,000 | | #2 | $2,500 | $1,000 | $1,250 | $1,500 | $2,000 | $2,500 | $20,000 | | #3 | $1,000 | $400 | $500 | $600 | $800 | $1,000 | $12,500 | | #4–#10（每名） | $500 | $200 | $250 | $300 | $400 | $500 | $5,000 | | #11–#50（每名） | $200 | $80 | $100 | $120 | $160 | $200 | $1,000 | | #51–#150（每名） | $100 | $40 | $50 | $60 | $80 | $100 | $500 | | #151–#500（每名） | $50 | $20 | $25 | $30 | $40 | $50 | $150 | 每一列在全部 500 个获奖名次中的金额合计，恰好等于该轮奖池总额。 **8.2 奖励分配的形态** 在八强赛之前，奖池分布较为广泛。底部的大区间（第 151 至 500 名）是每个早期轮次奖池中最大的一块，因此许多支持者都能有所斩获。决赛则向榜首倾斜，#1 名支持者可获得 $50,000 的头奖，同时排名靠后的名次仍能获得可观的金额。 #### 9. 一路征战赛事 你的粉丝积分是累计叠加的。只要球队持续晋级，积分就会一直累计，且每轮都基于你的累计总积分进行结算。晋级越多，你的积分和奖励就会越多。 **9.1 小组出线** 赛事共有 48 支球队，分为 12 个小组，每组四队。每组前两名自动晋级，此外所有小组中成绩最好的八支小组第三名也将晋级，共同组成 32 强阵容。 * 小组第一名和第二名球队的支持者瓜分该组奖池（分别为 $50,000 和 $20,000）。 * 晋级的小组第三名球队不能赚取小组奖池，但其支持者保留粉丝积分并携带向前。若该队随后赢得 32 强赛，其支持者将照常瓜分 32 强赛奖池。 **9.2 淘汰赛晋级** 从 32 强赛开始，只要你的球队持续获胜，你的旅程就会延续。每当球队晋级，该轮奖池将发放给球队的前 500 名支持者，你的累计积分也会带入下一轮。 **9.3 淘汰出局** 如果你的球队被淘汰，该球队的积分积累就此停止。你已赚取的所有粉丝积分和奖励将全部保留。你不能为该名额重新选择新球队，但你其他球队的旅程仍各自照常进行。 #### 10. 示例演示 以下数字仅供参考。实际每轮奖励取决于你在所选球队排行榜上的最终排名，应用内将实时显示当前奖池和分级情况。 **10.1 以第 1 名完成全程冠军之旅** 你押注一支球队，陪伴他们勇夺冠军，并在每轮排行榜中均位列第 1。 | 赛事轮次 | 奖池 | #1 名所得 | | -------- | -------- | ----------- | | 小组赛（第一名） | $50,000 | $7,500 | | 32 强赛 | $25,000 | $3,750 | | 16 强赛 | $30,000 | $4,500 | | 八强赛 | $40,000 | $6,000 | | 四强赛 | $50,000 | $7,500 | | 决赛 | $260,000 | $50,000 | | **合计** | — | **$79,250** | \#1 名的份额在半决赛前为奖池的 15%，决赛阶段升至约 20%。 **10.2 押注八强球队的中游支持者** 你押注一支球队，该队赢得小组赛，随后通过 32 强赛和 16 强赛，但在八强赛落败。你每轮在其排行榜上排名约 #25（处于 #11 至 #50 区间）。 | 赛事轮次 | 你的分级 | 所得奖励 | | -------- | --------- | -------- | | 小组赛（第一名） | #11–#50 | $200 | | 32 强赛 | #11–#50 | $100 | | 16 强赛 | #11–#50 | $120 | | 八强赛 | 球队被淘汰，无奖池 | $0 | | **合计** | — | **$420** | 该球队赚取了它所通过的轮次（小组赛、32 强赛、16 强赛）的奖励，但未赚取它落败的八强赛奖励。 **10.3 早早出局** 你押注一支球队，该队小组赛排名第二，随后在 32 强赛落败。你在其排行榜上排名约 #6（处于 #4 至 #10 区间）。 | 赛事轮次 | 你的分级 | 所得奖励 | | -------- | --------- | -------- | | 小组赛（第二名） | #4–#10 | $200 | | 32 强赛 | 球队被淘汰，无奖池 | $0 | | **合计** | — | **$200** | 即使旅程早早结束，你仍保留这 $200，而你其他球队的旅程仍照常进行。 #### 11. 奖励发放 * **币种。** 所有奖池均以 USDT 发放。 * **时间。** 每轮结束后，待市场结算、粉丝积分最终确认后发放。 * **结算。** 市场结算采用 UMA 预言机，与 Predict.fun 平台其他市场采用相同的可信结算机制。 #### 12. 常见问题
我可以选多支球队吗？ 可以，最多十二支。每支球队都是完全独立的旅程，各有专属积分、排行榜和奖池。你可以随时填补空余名额。
我可以从同一小组选两支球队吗？ 可以。自 16 强赛起，你可以从同一小组选择多支球队。
我之后可以更换球队吗？ 不可以。一旦将球队选入某个名额，该选择在整届赛事中锁定。但你仍可保留其他空余名额，之后再添加不同的球队。
比赛进行中可以卖出份额吗？ 可以。你只需在开赛时和结算时持有所锁定选项的最低份额（20 份，或精确比分的 40 份）即可，中途如何操作由你自行决定。
如果比赛中途我的持仓低于最低要求怎么办？ 市场会显示警告，提示你当前不符合资格。在市场结算前买回至最低要求以上即可恢复资格。如果结算时你仍低于最低要求，该市场将不发放奖励。
我必须参与每个市场吗？ 不必。只参与你想参与的市场即可。每个市场的资格独立判定。
如果我在世界杯中途才选队怎么办？ 没问题。该球队的粉丝积分从零开始，从其下一场比赛起开始赚取。已经开赛的比赛无法在其中赚取积分。
排行榜并列名次如何处理？ 不设加赛决胜机制。并列的支持者将共同获得所跨越名次的合计奖励，并平均分配。
我什么时候能拿到奖励？ 每轮结束后，待市场结算、积分最终确认后发放。奖励以 USDT 形式自动计入，无需手动领取。
我的球队输了，积分怎么办？ 你已赚取的所有粉丝积分和奖励都将完整保留。该球队的旅程就此停止，而你其他球队的旅程仍照常继续。
晋级的小组第三名球队能赚取小组奖池吗？ 不能。只有小组第一名和第二名球队才能赚取小组奖池。晋级的小组第三名球队在小组赛阶段没有任何收益，但其支持者保留积分，若球队持续获胜，从 32 强赛开始即可赚取奖励。
#### 13. 术语表 **粉丝积分（Fan Points）：** 本活动的计分点数。通过在符合资格的市场中做出正确预测而获得，决定你在球队排行榜上的排名，从而决定你在奖池中的分成。粉丝积分独立于你份额仓位的交易盈亏。 **市场（Market）：** 针对球队某场比赛的单项预测，例如胜平负或精确比分。每个市场为双向，且恰好只有一个正确选项。 **选项（Option）：** 市场内的某个具体结果，例如胜平负中的「平局」或总进球数中的「大 2.5」。 **锁定（Lock）：** 在开赛前提交你在某市场所选的选项。一个已锁定、符合资格且获胜的选项才能赚取粉丝积分。 **获得资格（Qualify）：** 满足某市场的全部三项要求：开赛前买入并锁定最低份额、结算时持有最低份额、预测正确。 **奖池（Pool）：** Predict.fun 为某个小组奖池或淘汰赛轮次出资的奖金，由相关球队的前 500 名支持者分享。 **存活球队（Surviving team）：** 成功通过某轮的球队（小组赛排名第一或第二，或赢得淘汰赛比赛）。存活球队将该轮奖池发放给其支持者。 **旅程（Run）：** 一次球队选择的完整生命周期，从你开始赚取积分的那场比赛起，直至球队被淘汰或夺冠为止。 **分级（Tier）：** 在某轮奖池中获得相同奖励金额的一组排行榜名次区间。 # Predict Cup 活动速查手册 Predict Cup 活动速查手册：选队、赚取粉丝积分、瓜分高达 $2,000,000 的世界杯奖池，快速了解玩法。 ## Predict Cup 活动速查手册
欢迎来到 Predict 年度最重磅的赛事活动。 为迎接 2026 年世界杯，我们精心打造了一款贯穿整届赛事的竞猜游戏。你选择一支球队，预测他们的每场比赛，并一路陪伴他们走向决赛。 球队走得越远，你赢得的奖励将越多。 本手册将带你一站式全面了解活动玩法——从选择球队到赚取粉丝积分。 ### 简要说明 Predict 将为世界杯每个小组及每场淘汰赛设立奖池，总奖金高达 $2,000,000。 你选择一支球队，陪伴他们征战整届赛事。每场比赛都有对应的预测市场，猜对即可赚取粉丝积分（Fan Points）。 你的粉丝积分（以及其他球迷的积分）将汇总到该球队的专属排行榜。每轮赛事结束后，该球队的前 500 名支持者将瓜分当轮奖池。 {% stepper %} {% step %} ### 选择你的球队
万事开头先选队！ 你在这里的选择将决定你在整届赛事中的走向。是感情用事，力挺自己的主队？还是理性出击，押注夺冠热门？ 请注意：你只能为自己选择的球队赚取粉丝积分。 以下是你需要了解的规则： * 最多可选十二支球队，但每支球队完全独立运作：各有专属粉丝积分、专属排行榜和专属奖池，彼此之间互不影响。 * 无需一次性选满十二支——你可以先选一支，之后再陆续填入剩余名额。 * 选队免费。 * 一旦选定，锁定生效，无法更换！ 在 Predict 上随时切换查看你的各支球队，掌握最新市场动态、粉丝积分和排行榜排名。 {% hint style="info" %} 把每支球队想象成一张独立的彩票。最多选十二支，就意味着你有十二次冲击荣耀的机会。 {% endhint %} {% endstep %} {% step %} ### 赚取粉丝积分
你选择的每支球队，每场比赛都有一组对应的预测市场。每个市场在满足条件后将为你带来固定数量的粉丝积分。 例如，你可以预测比赛结果、比赛让球盘口、进球总数的大小盘等。 各支球队可赚取的粉丝积分数量不同且不固定，因为每支球队每场比赛的市场类型可能有所差异。 #### 市场资格要求
为确保粉丝积分真正奖励实质性交易，每个市场设有三项简单要求，必须全部满足，该市场才算有效。 1. **建立仓位。** 在开赛前，买入你看好一方的至少 20 份份额，并锁定该选择。 2. **持有仓位。** 市场结算时，你必须持有该仓位至少 20 份份额。中途可以自由交易，但开赛时和结算时都必须持有至少 20 份。 3. **预测正确。** 持有至少 20 份份额，并赢得该赌注。 若未满足任一要求，即使预测正确，该市场的粉丝积分也不会被计入。 {% hint style="warning" %} 请在比赛过程中留意你的持仓状态。如果你在市场结算前将份额卖至 20 份以下，且未能及时补仓，该市场的粉丝积分将作废。活动页面会实时显示你在每个市场的资格状态，让你随时掌握自己的情况。 {% endhint %} 注意事项： * 精确比分市场的最低份额要求为 40 份。 * 份额必须通过市场购买。将 USDT 拆分为份额的方式不计入资格。 #### 排行榜 每支球队都有专属的粉丝积分排行榜，对该队所有支持者进行排名。 每当你选择的球队的某场比赛结算后，粉丝积分将自动累加，排行榜随之更新，无需手动领取。你的总积分会随着球队的晋级而持续增长。 排行榜显示前 500 名支持者及你自己的排名，让你随时掌握自己距离奖励区间还有多远。 {% endstep %} {% step %} ### 领取奖励 Predict.fun 为赛事每个阶段设立了固定奖池： | 赛事阶段 | 每组/每场奖池 | | ----- | ---------- | | 小组赛 | 每组 $70,000 | | 32 强赛 | $25,000 | | 16 强赛 | $30,000 | | 八强赛 | $40,000 | | 四强赛 | $50,000 | | 决赛 | $260,000 | 每轮赛事结束后，每支晋级球队的前 500 名支持者将按粉丝积分排名分级瓜分该队奖池。排名越高，奖励越丰厚。 榜首位置奖励极为丰厚——第 1 名在半决赛前可获得奖池的 15%，决赛阶段更高达 20%。 若两名或多名支持者以完全相同的粉丝积分并列，则不设加赛决胜机制，并列名次的奖励将平均分配。 奖励在每轮结束后以 USDT 形式发放。市场结算采用 UMA 预言机，与 Predict.fun 平台其他市场采用相同的可信结算机制。 {% endstep %} {% step %} ### 回到第二步 你的粉丝积分是累计叠加的。只要你的球队持续晋级，积分就会一直积累，且每轮都会基于你的累计总积分进行结算。球队走得越远，你的积分和奖励就会持续增长！ 要持续参与某支球队的奖池，该队必须保持晋级： * **小组赛阶段：** 小组赛出线（排名第一或第二）的球队支持者有资格参与该组奖池。 * **淘汰赛阶段：** 只要你的球队持续晋级，你的旅程就继续。 若你的球队被淘汰，该球队的积分积累停止，但你已赢得的所有奖励将全部保留。该名额无法重新选择其他球队，但你其他球队的旅程仍照常进行。 {% endstep %} {% endstepper %} ### 示例演示 假设你押注了一支球队，并一路陪伴他们勇夺冠军，且在每轮排行榜中均位列第 1。 | 赛事轮次 | 当轮奖池 | 第 1 名所得奖励 | | ------ | -------- | ----------- | | 小组赛 | $70,000 | $7,500 | | 32 强赛 | $25,000 | $3,750 | | 16 强赛 | $30,000 | $4,500 | | 八强赛 | $40,000 | $6,000 | | 四强赛 | $50,000 | $7,500 | | 决赛 | $260,000 | $50,000 | | **合计** | — | **$79,250** | 这是以一支球队完成全程冠军之旅的收益示例。第 #1 名的奖励比例在决赛中从 15% 提升至 20%。 以上数字仅供参考。实际每轮奖励取决于你在所选球队排行榜上的最终排名，应用内将实时显示当前奖池金额和分级情况。 ### 常见问题
我可以选多支球队吗？ 可以，最多可选 12 支。每支球队完全独立运作，你可以随时将新球队填入空余名额。
比赛进行中可以卖出份额吗？ 可以。你只需在开赛时和结算时各持有至少 20 份（或 40 份）即可，中途如何操作由你自行决定。
如果我在世界杯中途才选队怎么办？ 没问题。选队没有截止时间限制。但该球队的粉丝积分从 0 开始计算，从下一场比赛起才能开始积累。错过开赛的比赛将无法在该场赛事中赚取积分。
奖励什么时候发放？ 每轮结束后，待市场全部结算、积分最终确认后，奖励以 USDT 形式发放。
我的球队输了，积分怎么办？ 你已赚取的所有粉丝积分和奖励都将完整保留。该球队的旅程就此停止，但你其他球队的旅程仍照常继续。
*** 准备好了吗？前往 Predict.fun 的[世界杯活动页面](https://predict.fun/world-cup-activity)，开始选择你的球队吧！ # Technical Overview A technical overview of the Predict.fun protocol: the CLOB exchange, conditional token contracts, multi-outcome markets, oracle resolution, and yield. ### Predict.fun Protocol Technical Overview Predict.fun operates on a hybrid model combining decentralized and centralized components to deliver a secure and seamless prediction market trading platform. The system utilizes an off-chain Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) for order matching and ordering, while on-chain smart contracts handle the execution, settlement, and resolution of markets. #### Core Architecture **Conditional Tokens Framework** At the foundation of the system is the `ConditionalTokens` contract, adapted from the Gnosis Conditional Tokens standard. This contract manages the creation, interaction, and resolution of conditions linked to specific market outcomes. Key functions include: * Condition Preparation: Creates a condition by initializing a payout vector, where the oracle is enforced to be the message sender to prevent front-running attacks. * Position Splitting: Converts collateral into conditional tokens (ERC1155) representing different outcomes. * Position Merging: Combines complementary conditional tokens back into collateral. * Redemption: After condition resolution, token holders can redeem their positions according to the final outcome. The contract includes optional access-control gating via `SPLIT_POSITION_ROLE` and `MERGE_POSITIONS_ROLE` for granular permission management. **Exchange Layer** The `CTFExchange` contract facilitates on-chain execution and settlement of off-chain orders. When orders are matched, the contract handles swaps between binary outcome tokens (ERC1155) and collateral assets (ERC20). Orders are represented as signed, typed structured data (EIP712). The key trading operation is `matchOrders`, where the operator matches a taker order against multiple maker orders, with automatic minting/merging when matching buy-vs-buy or sell-vs-sell orders The `FeeModuleV2` acts as a proxy to the exchange, enabling dynamic fee calculations and refunds to ensure makers and takers pay only the actual fees determined at match time rather than worst-case fees encoded in orders. #### Multi-Outcome Markets (NegRisk System) For mutually exclusive multi-outcome markets—where exactly one outcome must resolve true—the protocol uses specialized "NegRisk" contracts: **NegRiskAdapter** The `NegRiskAdapter` links a set of binary YES/NO markets into a single multi-outcome structure with these key features: * Market Preparation: Creates a multi-outcome market * Question Preparation: Adds individual binary questions to a market * Wrapped Collateral: Uses a `WrappedCollateral` ERC20 token to represent collateral within the CTF system. Wrapped collaterals are backed by USDT. * Position Conversion: Enables conversion of NO positions to complementary YES positions plus collateral. For example, holding N NO positions can be converted to (N-1) units of collateral plus one of each complementary YES position. * Resolution Enforcement: Prevents more than one question per market from resolving true The `NegRiskCtfExchange` extends the base `CTFExchange` with automatic approvals for the `NegRiskAdapter`. **NegRiskOperator** The `NegRiskOperator` provides a permissioned layer for oracle operations: * Prepares markets and questions with unique request IDs * Receives outcome reports from a designated oracle * Supports flagging/unflagging questions for emergency resolution by admins #### Oracle System **UmaCompatibleCtfAdapter & UmaCompatibleOptimisticOracle** A streamlined oracle system for predict.fun with: * Whitelisted requestors for market creation * Whitelisted proposers for price proposals * No bonding or dispute mechanism (simplified trust model) * Valid prices: 0 (NO), 0.5 (50/50), 1 (YES) #### Yield Generation The protocol optionally generates yield on locked collateral through Venus protocol integration: **YieldBearingConditionalTokens** Extends the base ConditionalTokens with yield generation: * Deposits collateral to Venus vTokens when splitting positions * Redeems from Venus when merging or redeeming positions * Allows yield managers to claim accumulated yield * Can toggle yield generation on/off per underlying token **YieldBearingNegRiskAdapter & YieldBearingWrappedCollateral** Similar yield-bearing functionality for multi-outcome markets, with wrapped collateral that can generate yield through Venus while backing conditional token positions. **Yield-Bearing vs Non Yield-Bearing Markets** predict.fun has two sets of contracts. One set of contracts enables yield and another set of contract has no yield. Our backend monitors Venus USDT pool's utilization rate and stops yield-bearing markets from being created when the rate is too high. There is a max cap on allowed exposure and it decreases linearly from 75% (100% of the cap is allowed) to 90% (no more exposure is allowed except for existing markets) utilization rate. Instant redemption is of utmost importance to predict.fun and predict.fun does not put user deposit into a situation where redemptions fail. Each yield-bearing contract has an admin only function that allows the team to enable or disable the use of Venus. If the team deems the fund deposited into Venus is at risk, we will withdraw everything from Venus until any incident is resolved. predict.fun's backend has a configuration that specifies the max resolution time of a yield-bearing market. This allows us to control our max time exposure. The max resolution time will gradually increase and be eventually removed as predict.fun matures. In the future, predict.fun will integrate with multiple yield sources to diversify risks and provide better yield for traders. # Audits Independent security audit reports for the Predict.fun protocol, covering the Venus integration, UMA-based resolution, and Chainlink price markets. #### Venus Integration + UMA Compatible Resolution Architecture #### Chainlink Integration {% embed url="" %} # Chainlink Price Markets How Predict.fun's up/down price markets resolve using Chainlink Data Streams, covering round mechanics, price reporting, and emergency resolution. For recurring up/down price-prediction market where each round settles based on whether an asset price moved up, down, or stayed flat, the protocol uses Chainlink Data Streams for tamper-resistant, low-latency price delivery. **Streams Used** [BTC/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usdt-topofbook-datalink) [ETH/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usdt-topofbook-datalink) [BNB/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usdt-topofbook-datalink) [SPY/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/spy-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [QQQ/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/qqq-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [MSFT/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/msft-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [NVDA/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [GOOGL/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/googl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [META/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/meta-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [TSM/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/tsm-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [AMZN/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [MU/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [AVGO/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/avgo-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) [SPCX/USDT](https://data.chain.link/streams/spcx-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink) **ChainlinkUpDownAdapter** The `ChainlinkUpDownAdapter` runs continuous round-based markets on top of the CTF. Each round is a fixed-duration window with a known start price; it closes when a verified Chainlink Data Streams v3 report is delivered on-chain. The contract resolves the CTF condition as: * **Up** - end price is higher than start price * **Down** - end price is lower than start price * **Flat** - end price equals start price Rounds are pre-created in advance (typically 24 hours ahead) so that CTF conditional token markets are immediately tradeable even before the start price of a future round is known. When a round closes, its end price propagates automatically as the next round's start price. **ChainlinkReceiverProxy** The `ChainlinkReceiverProxy` sits in front of the adapter and routes incoming price reports from two sources: * **Predict forwarder (backend)**: For single-timestamp reports, predict.fun's backend fetches the Data Streams v3 report and submits it directly. These reports must have `validFromTimestamp == observationsTimestamp`. No buffer window is permitted on this path. * **Chainlink CRE forwarder**: For multi-second reports where `validFromTimestamp` and `observationsTimestamp` differ, reports are fetched and delivered via the Chainlink Compute Runtime Environment (CRE) through the Keystone forwarder. This path is used specifically to ensure trustlessness when an observation buffer is present. The protocol accepts a maximum buffer of 5s. Reports arriving from the Chainlink forwarder are forwarded to the adapter as-is. Reports from Predict forwarders are first validated to enforce the zero-buffer constraint before being forwarded. **Emergency Resolution** If no reports can be retrieved within the 5s buffer, an account with `EMERGENCY_CLOSE_ROUND_ROLE` can call `emergencyCloseRounds` to settle rounds manually. This function is only callable when the contract is paused, ensuring it is a last-resort mechanism. # GitHub & BitBucket HTML Preview Enter URL of the HTML file to preview: Or prepend to the URL: `http://htmlpreview.github.io/?https://github.com/twbs/bootstrap/blob/gh-pages/2.3.2/index.html` Developed by [niu tech](https://github.com/niutech) | Contribute on [GitHub](https://github.com/htmlpreview/htmlpreview.github.com) # Binance Wallet Referral FAQs ## How do Binance Wallet referrals work? Predict.fun provides referral rewards for users who trade prediction markets via the Predict.fun dApp on Binance Wallet. When you invite friends using your Binance Wallet referral code, you earn 10% of their trading fees, while they get a 5% rebate on their own fees. Rewards do not expire. ## How do I start earning? {% stepper %} {% step %} ## Open the Predict.fun dApp Open the Predict.fun dApp in Binance Wallet. {% endstep %} {% step %} ## Activate Prediction Referral Head to the **Referral** page and tap **Activate Prediction Referral**. {% endstep %} {% step %} ## Share your referral code Share your referral code (or link) with your friends. {% endstep %} {% step %} ## Earn commissions Once they bind your referral code and begin trading via Binance Wallet, you'll start earning commissions on their qualifying trades. {% endstep %} {% endstepper %} {% hint style="warning" %} The activation in step 2 is vital. Without it, you won't earn rewards, even if you've already onboarded referrals. {% endhint %} ## Do invitees need to activate anything? No. As soon as they bind your referral code, they're good to go, and will automatically receive their rebate on eligible fees. ## What referral code should I use? Use your Binance Wallet referral code directly. ## Where do my invitees need to trade? Only trades made via the dApp on Binance Wallet count towards your rewards. Those made via the Classic version, the Predict.fun website, or other frontends are not eligible. ## How are referral rewards calculated and paid? * Inviters receive **10%** of invitees' eligible trading fees. * Invitees receive a **5%** rebate on eligible trading fees. For an invitee that generated $10,000 in trading volume with a trading fee of 2%: * The inviter will earn **$20**. * The invitee will earn **$10**. All rewards are paid in USDT, and must be manually claimed via the Referral page. Some fees are paid in shares. In that case: * **If the share wins:** it is converted into USDT and distributed. * **If the share loses:** there's no reward for the trade. * **If the market is unresolved:** the reward is held, then distributed upon resolution. Unless otherwise specified, rewards are available to claim the following day. ## How do I claim my rewards? Tap the **Claim** button on the **Referral** page in Binance Wallet, and your pending USDT will be credited directly to your account. Rewards never expire, so you can claim any time. # GitHub & BitBucket HTML Preview Enter URL of the HTML file to preview: Or prepend to the URL: `**http://htmlpreview.github.io/?**https://github.com/twbs/bootstrap/blob/gh-pages/2.3.2/index.html` Developed by [niu tech](https://github.com/niutech) | Contribute on [GitHub](https://github.com/htmlpreview/htmlpreview.github.com) # 币安钱包邀请计划常见问题 ## 币安钱包邀请计划如何运作？ Predict.fun 为通过币安钱包内 Predict.fun dApp 参与预测市场交易的用户提供邀请奖励。 当你使用币安钱包邀请码邀请好友后，你可获得好友交易手续费的 **10% 作为返佣**，好友则可获得其自身交易手续费的 **5% 返还**。奖励永久有效。 ## 如何开始赚取返佣？ {% stepper %} {% step %} ## 打开 Predict.fun dApp 在币安钱包中打开 Predict.fun dApp。 {% endstep %} {% step %} ## 激活预测邀请 进入**邀请（Referral）页面，点击激活预测邀请（Activate Prediction Referral）**。 {% endstep %} {% step %} ## 分享邀请码或邀请链接 将你的邀请码或邀请链接分享给好友。 {% endstep %} {% step %} ## 好友绑定邀请码并开始交易 好友绑定你的邀请码，并通过币安钱包开始交易后，你即可从其符合条件的交易中获得返佣。 {% endstep %} {% endstepper %} {% hint style="warning" %} 第 2 步的激活操作必不可少。未激活此功能，即使你已邀请好友，也无法获得奖励。 {% endhint %} ## 受邀好友需要激活任何功能吗？ 不需要。好友绑定你的邀请码后，即可自动获得符合条件的交易手续费返还。 ## 应该使用哪个邀请码？ 直接使用你的币安钱包邀请码即可。 ## 受邀好友需要在哪里交易？ 只有通过**币安钱包内的 Predict.fun dApp** 进行的交易才计入邀请奖励。通过经典版（Classic）、Predict.fun 官网或其他前端进行的交易均不符合奖励条件。 ## 邀请奖励如何计算和发放？ * 邀请人可获得受邀好友符合条件的交易手续费的 **10% 作为返佣**。 * 受邀好友可获得自身符合条件的交易手续费的 **5% 返还**。 例如，某位受邀好友产生了 10,000 美元的交易额，交易手续费率为 2%，则： * 邀请人可获得 **20 USDT**。 * 受邀好友可获得 **10 USDT**。 所有奖励均以 USDT 发放，需在邀请（Referral）页面手动领取。 部分手续费以份额形式收取，此类奖励按以下规则处理： * \*\*若该份额对应的结果获胜：\*\*将其兑换为 USDT 后发放。 * \*\*若该份额对应的结果落败：\*\*该笔交易不产生奖励。 * \*\*若市场尚未结算：\*\*奖励暂缓发放，待市场结算后处理。 除非另有说明，奖励可于次日领取。 ## 如何领取奖励？ 在币安钱包的\*\*邀请（Referral）**页面点击**领取（Claim）\*\*按钮，待领取的 USDT 奖励将直接转入你的账户。奖励永久有效，你可以随时领取。